Polydata
Hurtful-Nonconformist

@Hurtful-Nonconformist

#2,800,81829

0xf6f2dc0dc941ee5440a017b03b8f1a37de6fb422

85d· 298 markets · 1292 tradesVol: $1,503,2012026-06-09T11:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 0.96x2/15
HHI 10510/10
Profit Days 56%7/10
DD/Peak 132%0/10

Summary

Hurtful-Nonconformist is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,292 trades across 247 markets over 91 days. Despite a high trading volume of over $1.5 million, their net PnL stands at -$6,975.71, placing them at rank #2,800,818 globally. Their Smart Score is below average at 29/100, and their current portfolio value is zero, indicating no open positions at the moment.

This trader focuses on a diverse range of markets but shows no participation in weather-related questions. Hurtful-Nonconformist’s trading style appears to be aggressive, as suggested by a low sell percentage of 14% and a semi-automated approach combining bot and manual strategies. They maintain a high win rate of 79% and a profit factor of 4.73, implying that their winning trades significantly outweigh losses. However, the negative Sharpe ratio of -0.02 indicates that risk-adjusted returns are currently poor, possibly due to volatility or timing issues.

Key strengths include a strong win streak and high roller badges, reflecting the trader’s ability to sustain wins and handle large volumes. However, the negative net profit and below-average smart score highlight risks related to strategy effectiveness and capital preservation. Hurtful-Nonconformist’s upward equity trend is encouraging but should be monitored carefully for stability in future Polymarket activity.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$441,623
High Roller
$4,853/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,697,214$-6,976Vol: $1,503,201

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,976
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,503,201
Total Redeem
$195,259
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
298
total markets
Trades
1115B / 177S
Daily Volume
$4,853
Account Age
85d
since Mar 16, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$558
Vol: $1,053
Week
$270
Vol: $37,264
Month
$4,278
Vol: $70,991
All Time
$-6,976
Vol: $1,503,201

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
142W / 124L events
Realized PnL
$130,577
Win Rate
79%
117W / 30L
Profit Factor
4.73x
Avg Win
$1,191
Avg Loss
$-982

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,270 (17.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$9,211
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Qingdao Eagles$5,378
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova$4,680
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$4,136
Hornets vs. Celtics$3,824
Trail Blazers vs. Suns$3,774
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$3,761
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$3,725
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$3,420
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs$3,173

Top Losers

Rockets vs. Lakers$-8,439
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group $-5,254
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group St$-2,371
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)$-1,418
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets$-1,338
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner$-1,202
Spread: Suns (-2.5)$-1,194
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-1,071
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards$-815
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)$-783

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.023
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.051
Kelly %
64.9%
Half-Kelly
32.5%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
14.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
49s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 49s — typical for humanSize CV 2.44 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.07 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active319 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.5
Moderate DCA
<=1
115 entries
<=2
157 entries
<=5
200 entries
<=10
222 entries
<=20
238 entries
<=50
246 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)65.4%
High (>55c)32.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$100,685
Beijing$3,272
Chicago$2,849
Seattle$1,396
Toronto$759
Shenzhen$716
Madrid$175
Dallas$21
Los Angeles$12
Seoul$0
Shanghai$0
Atlanta$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
225

Single bracket

<=1
205 brackets
<=2
223 brackets
<=3
225 brackets
<=4
225 brackets
<=5
225 brackets
<=8
225 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/16/2026, 10:44:11 AM1 trades$710 min
3/16/2026, 2:02:21 PM1 trades$8150 min
3/17/2026, 12:24:27 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/17/2026, 12:50:11 AM1 trades$2,0000 min
3/19/2026, 12:47:25 AM1 trades$2,1070 min
3/19/2026, 2:43:31 AM2 trades$1,3780 min
3/21/2026, 2:15:51 PM1 trades$5130 min
3/22/2026, 12:32:09 AM1 trades$1430 min
3/22/2026, 8:29:37 AM1 trades$300 min
3/23/2026, 2:59:41 AM1 trades$2000 min
3/23/2026, 1:53:23 PM8 trades$6243 min
3/24/2026, 1:58:17 AM1 trades$5400 min
3/24/2026, 2:50:29 AM1 trades$1,3570 min
3/24/2026, 12:12:29 PM5 trades$1281 min
3/25/2026, 12:15:19 AM5 trades$4552 min
3/25/2026, 1:15:53 AM1 trades$2320 min
3/25/2026, 2:47:21 AM1 trades$2200 min
3/25/2026, 8:36:49 AM3 trades$4961 min
3/26/2026, 10:04:05 AM12 trades$4301 min
3/27/2026, 2:34:07 PM1 trades$6280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
03-29
04-10
04-22
05-04
05-19
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event