Polydata
Plush-Airspace

@Plush-Airspace

#70,76469

0x900e3c7bc26b51dfd607cd152e8ffadbe11aa4d3

224d· 566 markets · 7413 tradesVol: $2,586,744 @SalasManito4k2026-06-09T20:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.13x0/15
Sharpe 0.4899/15
Sortino 121136.25110/10
HHI 15610/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Plush-Airspace is an experienced Polymarket trader with a moderate presence, ranked #70,764 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 411 active days, they completed 7,413 trades across 259 markets, generating a net profit of $1,097.99 from a total volume exceeding $2.5 million. Their Smart Score of 69/100 indicates decent trading skill, while a portfolio value of $1,598.92 and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.49 reflect relatively stable but modest returns.

The trader favors a diverse range of markets, with a slight preference for non-weather-related events. Plush-Airspace demonstrates a balanced risk profile, reflected in a 65.2% win rate and a profit factor of 0.13, suggesting many small gains offset by occasional larger losses. Their trading style includes a mix of manual and automated strategies, supported by a Bot Score of 45/100, and a tendency to sell 58% of positions promptly. Plush-Airspace also employs dollar-cost averaging, which helps manage entry timing and reduce volatility impact.

Strengths for Plush-Airspace include consistent activity and a solid win streak, supported by badges like Sniper and Profitable. However, the relatively low profit factor and flat equity trend indicate limited upside and potential vulnerability to drawdowns. The trader’s mix of bot and manual trades could pose risks if automation is not carefully managed. Overall, Plush-Airspace shows steady performance on Polymarket but may benefit from refining risk controls to improve profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+1,098
DCA Master
avg 12.0 entries/market
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
Whale
$1,032,699
Consistent
65/65 days
High Roller
$2,513/day

Categories

9
CRYPTO#38,592$551Vol: $1,415,295
🏛️ POLITICS#15,751$1,213Vol: $584,519
SPORTS#1,665,194$-1,227Vol: $190,774
💰 FINANCE#6,614$480Vol: $176,168
📈 ECONOMICS#7,193$204Vol: $161,415
🎭 CULTURE#753,699$-80Vol: $36,311
💻 TECH#21,989$5Vol: $11,224
📢 MENTIONS#152,033$-76Vol: $5,586
🌤️ WEATHER#12,983$25Vol: $482

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,098
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,586,744
Total Redeem
$5,083
Portfolio
$1,599
Predictions
566
total markets
Trades
3107B / 4306S
Daily Volume
$2,513
Account Age
224d
since Oct 28, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-257
Vol: $5,248
Week
$-278
Vol: $25,567
Month
$-1,150
Vol: $93,368
All Time
$1,098
Vol: $2,586,744

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
136W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$7,874
Win Rate
65%
161W / 86L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-608

Top Winners

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1,386
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$1,145
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$551
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $478
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$127
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$121
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?$115
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?$105
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$104
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$101

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-3,913
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-3,861
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$-2,046
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$-1,846
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$-1,635
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$-1,598
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$-1,516
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$-1,463
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$-1,379
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$-1,262

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.489
Sortino
inf
HHI
156
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.044
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
18.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — typical for humanSize CV 1.51 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.95 — human randomness33 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12
Heavy DCA
<=1
56 entries
<=2
101 entries
<=5
150 entries
<=10
190 entries
<=20
215 entries
<=50
246 entries
>50
13 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)98.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 10.3%

Austin$25
Los Angeles$17
Chicago$12
Up or Down$5
Ankara$1
Corpus Christi$-27
Denver$-467
Madrid$-693
Other$-44,616

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
142

Single bracket

<=1
101 brackets
<=2
124 brackets
<=3
131 brackets
<=4
132 brackets
<=5
132 brackets
<=8
138 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/30/2025, 10:28:41 PM1 trades$500 min
11/3/2025, 9:26:05 PM1 trades$510 min
11/6/2025, 2:15:29 AM1 trades$2200 min
11/6/2025, 2:55:57 AM1 trades$2180 min
11/11/2025, 3:12:44 AM1 trades$160 min
11/11/2025, 5:44:01 PM1 trades$180 min
11/12/2025, 3:25:35 AM1 trades$130 min
11/12/2025, 5:14:25 PM1 trades$100 min
11/12/2025, 5:22:41 PM1 trades$00 min
11/12/2025, 5:35:51 PM1 trades$00 min
11/12/2025, 6:27:25 PM1 trades$00 min
11/12/2025, 6:41:11 PM1 trades$20 min
11/14/2025, 11:54:10 PM1 trades$100 min
11/15/2025, 5:41:37 PM4 trades$1147 min
11/15/2025, 6:07:27 PM3 trades$1180 min
11/16/2025, 6:29:03 AM1 trades$10 min
11/16/2025, 8:46:41 AM1 trades$70 min
11/16/2025, 3:01:13 PM3 trades$1441 min
11/16/2025, 8:13:53 PM1 trades$1240 min
11/17/2025, 9:05:13 PM1 trades$1220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-23
02-20
03-18
04-06
05-16
12-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event