Polydata

@Sparse-Barbeque

#2,557,91519

0x44547ab4e076d346d42467356448ec6cdd519d5f

50d· 6835 markets · 2805 tradesVol: $170,0672026-06-09T18:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 14%0/20
Profit Factor 0.97x2/15
HHI 1910/10
Profit Days 59%7/10
DD/Peak 115%0/10

Summary

Sparse-Barbeque is a relatively new and highly active trader on Polymarket, having made 2,805 trades across 2,600 markets in just 42 days. Despite this high activity, their net PnL stands at -$296.83, placing them at rank #2,557,915 globally. Their overall Smart Score of 19/100 indicates a beginner level of trading skill, while their portfolio value has declined to $14 from a higher starting point, showing a downward equity trend.

The trading style of Sparse-Barbeque appears to be automated, as reflected by a bot score of 70/100 and badges such as 🤖 Bot and 💎 Diamond Hands. They exhibit a contrarian approach but have not engaged in selling positions, holding all trades rather than exiting early. Their win rate is reported as 100%, yet a profit factor of 0 and a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.04) suggest that winning trades have not translated into profitability. Sparse-Barbeque’s strategy involves high volume and frequent trading with a risk profile that has led to consistent losses.

Sparse-Barbeque’s key strength lies in their high trade volume and commitment to holding positions, which could be advantageous if combined with improved market timing or strategy adjustments. However, the persistent negative returns and declining equity raise concerns about risk management and the effectiveness of their automated system. Without corrective measures, their current approach on Polymarket carries significant downside risk despite an active presence.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Contrarian
57% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
844 wins in a row
High Roller
$1,029/day

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,458,555$-277Vol: $169,689
SPORTS#1,297,845$-14Vol: $176
🌤️ WEATHER#225,046$-8Vol: $151
🏛️ POLITICS#340,647$1Vol: $35
📢 MENTIONS#63,525$-0Vol: $10
🎭 CULTURE#163,425$1Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$170,067
Total Redeem
$35,511
Portfolio
$14
Predictions
6835
total markets
Trades
2804B / 1S
Daily Volume
$1,029
Account Age
50d
since Apr 20, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$268
Vol: $21,378
Week
$1,007
Vol: $50,321
Month
$543
Vol: $94,138
All Time
$-297
Vol: $170,067

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
14%
251W / 1490L events
Realized PnL
$17,610
Win Rate
100%
844W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,084 (6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$531
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$283
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$270
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$256
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$194
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$180
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$164
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$161
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$157
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$146

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.037
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
5.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
142.2
Very active
Markets / Day
131.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.9m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 271s — typical for humanSize CV 1.80 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.30 — human randomness142 trades/day — automation132 markets/day — mass coverage1741 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
2460 entries
<=2
2566 entries
<=5
2595 entries
<=10
2600 entries
<=20
2600 entries
<=50
2600 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)94.3%
High (>55c)5.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 61.8%

Other$18,223

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
2600

Single bracket

<=1
2600 brackets
<=2
2600 brackets
<=3
2600 brackets
<=4
2600 brackets
<=5
2600 brackets
<=8
2600 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/21/2026, 12:55:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 1:05:04 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 1:25:02 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 2:05:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 2:20:03 AM3 trades$115 min
5/21/2026, 2:55:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 3:30:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 4:05:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 4:25:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 5:05:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 5:20:04 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 5:40:45 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 5:50:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 6:00:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 6:25:45 AM2 trades$65 min
5/21/2026, 6:35:26 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 8:30:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 9:30:03 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 10:16:29 AM1 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 11:30:03 AM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-28
05-10
05-21
05-25
05-29
06-03
06-07
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event