Polydata

@0cb03848

#1,65875

0x0cb038487586d1119b165466072e9baf666f3a90

~18d· 6151 markets · 27838 tradesVol: $18,426,2302026-07-29T14:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.03x0/15
Sharpe 0.77815/15
Sortino 25451215.38110/10
HHI 4110/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 0cb03848 is an active participant on Polymarket, ranked #1658 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $115,708.75. Over 18 days, they executed 27,838 trades across 336 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $18 million. Their portfolio value stands at $714.47, supported by a very good Smart Score of 75/100 and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.78, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

0cb03848 employs an automated trading strategy, as reflected by their Bot Score of 75/100 and the presence of the 🤖 Bot badge. Their approach appears to favor high-frequency, high-volume trading with a relatively low win rate of 16.9% but a very large trading scale. The trader maintains a low profit factor of 0.03 and a sell percentage of 31%, suggesting a willingness to cut losses quickly or exit positions strategically. There is no engagement in weather markets, pointing to a preference for other event types on Polymarket.

The key strength of 0cb03848 lies in their capacity to sustain an upward equity trend and maintain zero maximum drawdown duration, indicating strong risk management and resilience. However, the low profit factor and modest win rate highlight potential concerns about the efficiency of individual trades. The automated nature of their strategy offers consistency but may pose risks if market conditions shift abruptly beyond the bot’s parameters.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+115,709
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$873,080
Consistent
13/13 days
High Roller
$48,504/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#283$115,709Vol: $18,426,230

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$115,709
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,426,230
Total Redeem
$90,189
Portfolio
$714
Predictions
6151
total markets
Trades
19316B / 8522S
Daily Volume
$48,504
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$14,469
Vol: $528,304
Week
$34,309
Vol: $3,265,311
Month
$115,733
Vol: $18,353,016
All Time
$115,709
Vol: $18,426,230

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
251W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$330,940
Win Rate
17%
56W / 275L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$274
Avg Loss
$-1,793

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$766
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$679
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$644
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$616
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$603
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$602
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$578
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$572
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$546
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$501

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$-9,199
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$-4,784
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$-4,688
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$-4,599
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$-4,544
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$-4,488
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$-4,382
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$-4,319
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$-4,156
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-4,079

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.778
Sortino
inf
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.548
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
4.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1792.9
Very active
Markets / Day
21.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
47s
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
202.2

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
48% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 1.85 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.53 — human randomness1793 trades/day — automation22 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
57.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
1 entries
<=5
5 entries
<=10
30 entries
<=20
66 entries
<=50
143 entries
>50
193 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.7%
Mid (20-55c)45.3%
High (>55c)45.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.9%

Other$-477,858

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
336

Single bracket

<=1
336 brackets
<=2
336 brackets
<=3
336 brackets
<=4
336 brackets
<=5
336 brackets
<=8
336 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 2:00:04 AM38 trades$4,7973 min
7/14/2026, 8:30:05 PM53 trades$1,81013 min
7/16/2026, 5:35:11 PM124 trades$4,8104 min
7/16/2026, 5:45:16 PM262 trades$9,9269 min
7/16/2026, 6:20:05 PM394 trades$22,14614 min
7/16/2026, 6:40:05 PM179 trades$7,2715 min
7/16/2026, 6:55:04 PM136 trades$13,7145 min
7/16/2026, 7:05:04 PM248 trades$19,60110 min
7/16/2026, 7:20:05 PM407 trades$34,41014 min
7/16/2026, 7:45:17 PM58 trades$3,8052 min
7/16/2026, 8:00:04 PM151 trades$10,5674 min
7/16/2026, 8:10:05 PM166 trades$11,7716 min
7/16/2026, 8:55:10 PM137 trades$8,5784 min
7/16/2026, 9:20:04 PM215 trades$14,84210 min
7/16/2026, 9:35:04 PM159 trades$5,9745 min
7/16/2026, 11:30:05 PM259 trades$7,5789 min
7/16/2026, 11:45:14 PM155 trades$9,2334 min
7/17/2026, 12:00:05 AM304 trades$11,0589 min
7/17/2026, 12:20:05 AM348 trades$11,40812 min
7/17/2026, 12:50:04 AM177 trades$5,0814 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-11
07-13
07-16
07-20
07-22
07-24
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 57.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event