Polydata

@Gobblewobble

#47486

0x0fe40e887acbd0022f89d996acce26ab428501b7

223d· 1603 markets · 19221 tradesVol: $36,534,1752026-07-20T06:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 9.25x15/15
Sharpe 0.53810/15
Sortino 5.61510/10
EV $+4.03210/10
HHI 11810/10
Profit Days 75%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Gobblewobble is an experienced and active trader on Polymarket, ranked #474 on the global PnL leaderboard with an elite Smart Score of 86/100. Over 225 days, they executed 19,221 trades across 404 markets, generating a net profit of $432,410.71 from a total volume exceeding $36.5 million. Despite a moderate Sharpe Ratio of 0.54 and a stable equity trend, Gobblewobble maintains a portfolio valued at $309,094.11 and demonstrates consistent engagement in the platform.

Gobblewobble’s trading style is characterized by a contrarian approach and a preference for holding positions, as indicated by a low sell percentage of 4% and badges like "Contrarian" and "Diamond Hands." They show a relatively low win rate of 40.4% and a profit factor of 0.12, suggesting a high-risk strategy that likely involves frequent, smaller wins balanced against occasional larger losses. The trader does not engage in weather markets and has a semi-automated approach with a Bot Score of 55/100, blending manual decision-making with algorithmic elements to time their entries and exits.

Key strengths for Gobblewobble include a strong ability to maintain stable equity without significant drawdowns and a proven track record of profitability in a wide range of markets. However, the low profit factor and win rate indicate potential vulnerability to prolonged losing streaks or volatile market conditions. Their semi-bot trading style mitigates some emotional risks but may also limit flexibility. Overall, Gobblewobble’s data-driven, contrarian methodology positions them as a disciplined yet high-risk trader on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+432,411
Lottery Player
32% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
63% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$2,165,951
Consistent
124/166 days
High Roller
$9,626/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#49$434,034Vol: $36,523,828
SPORTS#1,838,059$-1,623Vol: $2,432

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$432,411
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,534,175
Total Redeem
$364,934
Portfolio
$309,094
Predictions
1603
total markets
Trades
18545B / 676S
Daily Volume
$9,626
Account Age
223d
since Dec 10, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,161
Vol: $28,637
Week
$-1,161
Vol: $59,328
Month
$-477
Vol: $1,949,317
All Time
$432,411
Vol: $36,534,175

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
64%
221W / 124L events
Realized PnL
$2,975,237
Win Rate
40%
21W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$1,756
Avg Loss
$-10,324

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$6,860
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?$5,311
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?$3,868
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$3,757
Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?$2,872
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8?$2,745
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$2,642
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?$2,321
Ethereum Up or Down on July 11?$1,333
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?$1,238

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?$-72,486
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?$-64,178
Ethereum Up or Down on February 6?$-38,356
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 26?$-34,022
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$-23,195
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?$-10,648
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?$-10,393
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?$-8,918
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$-8,377
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$-6,664

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.538
Sortino
5.615
HHI
118
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
14.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
90.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.8m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — typical for humanSize CV 2.81 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness90 trades/day — mass trading634 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
45.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
48 entries
<=2
66 entries
<=5
108 entries
<=10
162 entries
<=20
229 entries
<=50
302 entries
>50
102 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.7%
Mid (20-55c)34.5%
High (>55c)33.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38.2%

Up or Down$-59,473
Other$-223,702

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
226

Single bracket

<=1
144 brackets
<=2
178 brackets
<=3
210 brackets
<=4
221 brackets
<=5
221 brackets
<=8
224 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/18/2025, 8:19:55 PM28 trades$1,04720 min
12/18/2025, 8:46:53 PM1 trades$200 min
12/18/2025, 8:56:11 PM19 trades$1,12812 min
12/18/2025, 9:13:57 PM1 trades$360 min
12/18/2025, 9:19:55 PM2 trades$1211 min
12/18/2025, 9:28:03 PM21 trades$1,33421 min
12/18/2025, 9:54:21 PM3 trades$1575 min
12/18/2025, 10:04:15 PM1 trades$860 min
12/18/2025, 10:10:21 PM11 trades$67421 min
12/18/2025, 10:39:59 PM4 trades$381 min
12/18/2025, 11:23:13 PM1 trades$870 min
12/18/2025, 11:28:41 PM2 trades$1753 min
12/18/2025, 11:40:51 PM1 trades$870 min
12/18/2025, 11:48:31 PM6 trades$2196 min
12/19/2025, 12:00:01 AM5 trades$1666 min
12/19/2025, 12:23:53 AM2 trades$1610 min
12/19/2025, 12:29:53 AM1 trades$890 min
12/19/2025, 12:51:31 AM1 trades$790 min
12/19/2025, 12:57:31 AM2 trades$1005 min
12/19/2025, 1:09:41 AM1 trades$890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
02-13
03-12
04-09
05-08
06-05
07-20
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 45.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event