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@Unwieldy-Billing

#44193

0x1521b47bf0c41f6b7fd3ad41cdec566812c8f23e

298d· 348 markets · 36406 tradesVol: $115,314,5442026-07-17T03:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 19.86x15/15
Sharpe 0.4428/15
Sortino 27579914.74510/10
EV $+6.06810/10
HHI 21210/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Unwieldy-Billing is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #441 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $454,202.54. Over 458 days, they executed 36,406 trades across 238 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $115 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $300,000, supported by a strong Smart Score of 93/100, placing them in the elite category.

The trading style of Unwieldy-Billing appears to be consistent and long-term focused, with a relatively moderate win rate of 40% and a profit factor of 0.41, indicating risk-taking with selective positions. They do not engage in weather markets and maintain a sell percentage of 39%, suggesting a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.44 implies moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their bot score of 50 indicates a hybrid strategy combining manual and automated trades.

Unwieldy-Billing’s key strengths lie in their consistency and sustained upward equity trend, reinforced by badges like Sniper and Profitable. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio highlight potential vulnerability to market volatility. The absence of drawdown duration suggests effective risk management, but ongoing performance depends on maintaining discipline amid fluctuating Polymarket conditions.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+454,203
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$29,064,154
Consistent
66/66 days
High Roller
$63,459/day

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#171$301,376Vol: $86,121,494
CRYPTO#5,503$8,986Vol: $15,393,105
📈 ECONOMICS#114$58,517Vol: $7,829,012
🎭 CULTURE#79$75,021Vol: $2,929,941
📢 MENTIONS#234$8,076Vol: $1,421,879
💰 FINANCE#645,703$-1,745Vol: $662,723
💻 TECH#561$2,972Vol: $396,390
SPORTS#43,092$798Vol: $360,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$454,203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$115,314,544
Total Redeem
$120,002
Portfolio
$300,000
Predictions
348
total markets
Trades
22046B / 14360S
Daily Volume
$63,459
Account Age
298d
since Sep 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$35,824
Vol: $447,834
Month
$35,625
Vol: $1,569,144
All Time
$454,203
Vol: $115,314,544

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
177W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$1,820,274
Win Rate
40%
94W / 141L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$48,853
Avg Loss
$-78,612

Top Winners

US government shutdown Saturday?$1,021,093
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$641,024
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$402,345
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$279,850
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meetin$203,482
Maduro out in 2025?$184,344
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$181,230
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026$162,552
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$159,499
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$128,257

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-550,497
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 3$-545,913
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$-410,042
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-406,550
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$-393,319
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?$-383,678
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-339,496
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?$-320,445
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$-284,248
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-263,460

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.442
Sortino
inf
HHI
212
Diversified
EV per $1
$6.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
23.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
124.7
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.3m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — typical for humanSize CV 5.04 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness125 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
93
Heavy DCA
<=1
13 entries
<=2
25 entries
<=5
45 entries
<=10
69 entries
<=20
97 entries
<=50
142 entries
>50
95 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16%
Mid (20-55c)12.1%
High (>55c)71.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 65%

New York City$129,453
Seoul$43,099
Gaza$-114,670
Other$-6,549,984

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
178

Single bracket

<=1
138 brackets
<=2
167 brackets
<=3
172 brackets
<=4
176 brackets
<=5
177 brackets
<=8
178 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/25/2025, 11:13:05 AM1 trades$530 min
9/25/2025, 6:02:40 PM1 trades$9940 min
9/25/2025, 6:21:26 PM1 trades$2670 min
9/25/2025, 7:13:03 PM1 trades$4050 min
9/25/2025, 9:36:01 PM1 trades$240 min
9/25/2025, 11:17:25 PM2 trades$8,1290 min
9/25/2025, 11:23:07 PM1 trades$7340 min
9/25/2025, 11:33:23 PM1 trades$9340 min
9/25/2025, 11:58:07 PM2 trades$1,6052 min
9/26/2025, 1:22:29 AM1 trades$1540 min
9/26/2025, 1:33:11 AM1 trades$550 min
9/26/2025, 1:59:49 AM2 trades$404 min
9/26/2025, 6:50:05 AM1 trades$1710 min
9/26/2025, 7:51:18 AM1 trades$1,1200 min
9/26/2025, 8:00:14 AM1 trades$620 min
9/26/2025, 9:38:45 AM1 trades$1100 min
9/26/2025, 11:05:35 AM1 trades$3010 min
9/26/2025, 12:33:55 PM1 trades$5000 min
9/26/2025, 3:08:25 PM1 trades$2,0060 min
9/26/2025, 3:20:39 PM1 trades$2,1500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-11
01-31
03-31
05-15
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 93/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event