Polydata

@lazarcr

#117,09873

0x1f35cbfdf080f7155df02d05c7e7211bb11dfcdb

~128d· 1517 markets · 5313 tradesVol: $375,1662026-07-31 13:38:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (881/1517)14/20
1.52x (win $5,600 / loss $3,688)9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.60515/15
Sortino 3.22210/10
$+0.0096 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 48 (1517 markets)10/10
90/127 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($1,174 / $2,381)4.1/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+487
Whale
$198,882 invested
Consistent
90/127 profitable days
High Roller
$1,150/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#1,199$1,495Vol: $274,524
CRYPTO#1,619,066$-1,139Vol: $61,352
🎭 CULTURE#22,126$90Vol: $25,690
SPORTS#179,948$41Vol: $13,601

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$487
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$375,166
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1517
total markets
Trades
3045B / 2268S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~128d

Periods

#2
Week
$14
Vol: $1,963
Month
$-703
Vol: $65,973
All Time
$487
Vol: $375,166

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
58%
881W / 636L events
Realized PnL
$487
Win Rate
58%
881W / 636L
Profit Factor
1.52x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $540 (1.1093868826177216% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$312
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$141
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 3?$88
Will Kylian Mbappe score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$87
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$87
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?$71
Will Kylian Mbappe score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$71
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 6?$64
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?$64
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?$60

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-825
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-345
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$-291
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-190
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-187
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$-101
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-100
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 4?$-97
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$-91
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 4?$-69

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.136
Sortino
0.096
HHI
46
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.7
Active
Markets / Day
8.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.1m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 276s — normal for humanCV 2.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency8.8 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.9%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)68.5%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 9:47:43 PM12 trades$3,9033 min
7/19/2026, 2:27:15 PM7 trades$2,7346 min
6/11/2026, 7:33:25 PM7 trades$2,2131 min
6/21/2026, 6:26:50 PM1 trades$1,7180 min
6/4/2026, 8:14:15 PM10 trades$1,7063 min
6/11/2026, 10:37:55 AM45 trades$1,70117 min
6/20/2026, 6:35:52 PM3 trades$1,6454 min
6/7/2026, 2:32:22 PM15 trades$1,5595 min
2/27/2026, 7:49:49 AM2 trades$1,5275 min
2/26/2026, 10:59:40 AM2 trades$1,5175 min
6/11/2026, 8:06:09 AM18 trades$1,5135 min
6/20/2026, 5:49:46 PM15 trades$1,4381 min
6/16/2026, 4:24:37 PM3 trades$1,4323 min
6/15/2026, 5:56:33 PM4 trades$1,3967 min
6/21/2026, 11:35:35 AM12 trades$1,3771 min
6/16/2026, 7:12:14 PM15 trades$1,3735 min
6/9/2026, 1:56:10 PM26 trades$1,3492 min
6/14/2026, 4:23:34 PM1 trades$1,3170 min
6/10/2026, 5:10:43 PM7 trades$1,2861 min
2/21/2026, 9:59:38 AM10 trades$1,24320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
02-26
03-19
04-29
06-04
06-25
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
52% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.9 / M9.7 / H68.5