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@0x1fC46eb3939bB1f77698D326609586E4DAA17AE7-1771437801102

#2,696,707100

0x1fc46eb3939bb1f77698d326609586e4daa17ae7

91d· 810 markets · 1620 tradesVol: $257,1852026-05-14T14:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 12.11x15/15
Sharpe 0.82915/15
Sortino 1.58910/10
EV $+8.34610/10
HHI 18210/10
Profit Days 89%10/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

0x1fC46eb3939bB1f77698D326609586E4DAA17AE7-1771437801102 is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 1,620 trades across 459 markets over 298 days. Despite a high win rate of 91.4% and a profit factor of 2.85, their net PnL stands at negative $6,012.12, placing them low on the global leaderboard at rank #2,696,707. Their portfolio value is currently $172.28, indicating limited realized gains relative to their total trading volume of $257,185.

This trader exhibits a cautious but consistent style, favoring weather-related markets which comprise 29% of their activity. They maintain a low sell percentage of 15%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exits. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.83 and a max drawdown duration of zero days imply controlled risk and stable equity trends, while the semi-bot score of 55/100 indicates a hybrid manual and automated trading approach. The badges earned, including Sniper and Contrarian, reflect a strategic, patient entry style with a cool-headed demeanor.

0x1fC46eb3939bB1f77698D326609586E4DAA17AE7-1771437801102’s key strength lies in their high consistency and risk management, supported by a strong win streak and solid profit factor. However, the significant negative net PnL despite these metrics raises questions about position sizing or payout timing. Their semi-automated approach may also introduce variability in execution. Continued observation is needed to assess if their stable equity trend can translate into positive realized returns on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Contrarian
52% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
41 wins in a row
Consistent
51/57 days
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#258,161$-4,691Vol: $138,584
SPORTS#1,591,757$-901Vol: $66,755
🏛️ POLITICS#1,478,895$-261Vol: $19,971
🎭 CULTURE#721,328$-52Vol: $13,053
📢 MENTIONS#127,440$-18Vol: $11,050
CRYPTO#1,320,562$-99Vol: $4,162
💰 FINANCE#51,274$9Vol: $3,609

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,012
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$257,185
Total Redeem
$28,436
Portfolio
$172
Predictions
810
total markets
Trades
1372B / 248S
Daily Volume
$155
Account Age
91d
since Feb 18, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-16
Vol: $2,909
Week
$-351
Vol: $7,812
Month
$-3,446
Vol: $81,344
All Time
$-6,012
Vol: $257,185

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
91%
227W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$9,715
Win Rate
91%
245W / 23L
Profit Factor
2.85x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-109

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,030 (22.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?$456
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)$289
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5$285
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?$224
Hawks vs. Knicks$205
Hornets vs. Magic$181
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?$158
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?$155
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?$130
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$128

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?$-1,846
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?$-142
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 6?$-85
Avalanche vs. Oilers$-71
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or higher on Ma$-65
Trail Blazers vs. Suns$-59
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May $-40
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs$-38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 8?$-29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 3?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.829
Sortino
1.589
HHI
182
Diversified
EV per $1
$8.346
Kelly %
83.4%
Half-Kelly
41.7%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
22%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.9
Active
Markets / Day
10.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.3m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 96s — typical for humanSize CV 2.15 — diverse, typical for human39% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.99 — human randomness37 trades/day — suspiciously high10 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA
<=1
266 entries
<=2
344 entries
<=5
408 entries
<=10
435 entries
<=20
452 entries
<=50
458 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.5%
Mid (20-55c)41.1%
High (>55c)42.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 23.7%

Other$4,197
Seoul$759
Toronto$568
Madrid$332
Chicago$129
Los Angeles$98
Milan$68
Singapore$60
Chengdu$47
Paris$43
Jakarta$31
Munich$26
Tel Aviv$22
Atlanta$20
Seattle$15
Panama City$14
Dallas$14
Beijing$13

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
370

Single bracket

<=1
314 brackets
<=2
350 brackets
<=3
364 brackets
<=4
366 brackets
<=5
368 brackets
<=8
370 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 12:27:27 PM2 trades$202 min
4/1/2026, 8:46:07 PM4 trades$93 min
4/1/2026, 8:55:09 PM1 trades$50 min
4/1/2026, 9:00:51 PM2 trades$50 min
4/1/2026, 9:07:35 PM1 trades$50 min
4/1/2026, 9:17:17 PM2 trades$91 min
4/1/2026, 9:30:39 PM2 trades$93 min
4/1/2026, 9:48:33 PM1 trades$50 min
4/1/2026, 9:59:37 PM2 trades$50 min
4/1/2026, 10:15:05 PM4 trades$90 min
4/1/2026, 10:45:31 PM3 trades$91 min
4/1/2026, 10:51:45 PM1 trades$50 min
4/1/2026, 11:15:07 PM3 trades$50 min
4/1/2026, 11:26:09 PM3 trades$94 min
4/2/2026, 7:59:29 AM1 trades$50 min
4/2/2026, 8:15:49 AM1 trades$50 min
4/2/2026, 8:30:03 AM3 trades$94 min
4/2/2026, 11:33:43 AM1 trades$770 min
4/2/2026, 11:59:21 AM7 trades$2127 min
4/2/2026, 12:29:27 PM4 trades$450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-25
04-06
04-17
04-26
05-05
05-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
28.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event