Polydata
PLMTK1

@PLMTK1

#3,008,58937

0x1fa8a49046f3c5f30b4feb86a34138a4ed2d36a2

~29d· 169 markets · 1664 tradesVol: $290,5162026-07-31 12:05:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (136/168)20/20
0.76x (win $12,057 / loss $15,967)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6130/15
Sortino -2.0060/10
$-0.0487 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 402 (168 markets)10/10
15/26 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 188% of peak ($8,403 / $4,480)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 81%
DCA Master
Avg 9.8 entries/market
Whale
$80,262 invested
High Roller
$1,216/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#6,688$4,588Vol: $168,627
🌤️ WEATHER#297,968$-3,240Vol: $65,346
SPORTS#1,820,164$-899Vol: $29,969
🎭 CULTURE#813,578$-2,678Vol: $16,946
💰 FINANCE#29,183$40Vol: $2,268
💻 TECH#12,399$23Vol: $1,374
📢 MENTIONS#25,701$5Vol: $410

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,565
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$290,516
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
169
total markets
Trades
394B / 1270S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Month
$-2,511
Vol: $106,495
All Time
$-2,565
Vol: $290,516

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
136W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-2,565
Win Rate
81%
136W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$89
Avg Loss
$-614

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,294 (2.844295056014162% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$4,610
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?$1,464
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1,220
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$953
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$805
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?$733
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?$398
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$348
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 20?$236
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?$99

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-6,453
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?$-1,321
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?$-1,026
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$-1,000
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$-1,000
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?$-952
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$-773
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?$-533
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-483
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
354
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
33.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 593s — normal for humanCV 1.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency2.6 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)91.4%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 11:10:32 PM4 trades$10,2400 min
6/21/2026, 1:34:40 AM170 trades$8,13424 min
6/18/2026, 7:36:01 AM2 trades$7,5860 min
6/23/2026, 6:35:31 PM20 trades$4,9312 min
6/21/2026, 3:52:16 PM24 trades$4,6356 min
6/19/2026, 9:49:52 PM2 trades$4,4610 min
6/30/2026, 6:51:11 PM20 trades$4,2032 min
6/21/2026, 9:11:46 AM11 trades$4,1736 min
6/23/2026, 6:51:31 PM15 trades$3,7670 min
6/15/2026, 1:01:33 PM12 trades$3,0800 min
6/20/2026, 11:57:07 PM213 trades$2,79314 min
6/19/2026, 11:47:04 AM16 trades$2,7082 min
6/19/2026, 12:09:46 PM24 trades$2,6692 min
6/29/2026, 5:00:40 PM11 trades$2,3451 min
7/1/2026, 3:22:23 AM7 trades$2,2330 min
6/20/2026, 1:41:01 PM15 trades$2,2060 min
6/29/2026, 3:35:35 PM3 trades$1,9040 min
6/21/2026, 12:50:41 AM2 trades$1,7380 min
6/21/2026, 11:12:02 AM8 trades$1,7050 min
6/19/2026, 12:20:26 PM27 trades$1,5644 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
06-13
06-19
06-23
06-27
07-01
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
44% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3 / M5.6 / H91.4