Polydata

@0x241F...e15a

#30,02384

0x241ff966f22080fbee3928e194763e575847e15a

~202d· 196 markets · 3748 tradesVol: $1,916,0962026-07-31 15:15:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (123/169)20/20
1.96x (win $18,286 / loss $9,311)14.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.16415/15
Sortino 3.56610/10
$+0.0122 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 390 (169 markets)10/10
74/102 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($5,650 / $11,022)3.7/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+4,032
DCA Master
Avg 19.7 entries/market
Whale
$734,202 invested
Consistent
74/102 profitable days
High Roller
$1,096/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#15,883$1,212Vol: $1,205,582
📈 ECONOMICS#4,963$477Vol: $438,085
💰 FINANCE#3,012$1,545Vol: $93,468
CRYPTO#1,601,735$-733Vol: $83,319
💻 TECH#1,083$1,428Vol: $58,885
🎭 CULTURE#45,564$23Vol: $33,162
🌤️ WEATHER#7,744$84Vol: $3,595

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,036
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,916,096
Total Redeem
$11,981
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
196
total markets
Trades
2194B / 1554S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~202d

Periods

#2
Today
$15
Vol: $725
Week
$445
Vol: $20,603
Month
$729
Vol: $226,340
All Time
$4,036
Vol: $1,916,096

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
73%
123W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$4,032
Win Rate
73%
123W / 46L
Profit Factor
1.96x
Avg Win
$149
Avg Loss
$-222

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,602 (2.1332083482125146% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4,880
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2,280
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1,442
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$955
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?$677
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$673
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$662
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$530
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$515
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$430

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-4,348
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-1,625
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$-452
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-449
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$-436
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-394
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$-304
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?$-287
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?$-189
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-152

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.113
Sortino
0.098
HHI
371
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
26.8%
Half-Kelly
13.4%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
35.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 281s — normal for humanCV 2.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.73
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)76.8%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 10:34:38 AM4 trades$28,9603 min
6/3/2026, 7:57:58 PM4 trades$14,4002 min
7/3/2026, 4:24:59 PM18 trades$10,2505 min
6/11/2026, 6:50:15 AM2 trades$9,6200 min
6/8/2026, 6:25:58 PM2 trades$9,4000 min
5/15/2026, 5:08:18 PM3 trades$8,8265 min
4/28/2026, 12:57:42 PM3 trades$8,6581 min
4/7/2026, 3:24:37 PM8 trades$7,8041 min
3/24/2026, 4:40:25 PM10 trades$7,6906 min
5/10/2026, 10:22:00 PM6 trades$7,6530 min
4/26/2026, 12:06:06 PM4 trades$7,6246 min
3/19/2026, 8:06:13 AM22 trades$7,5586 min
5/18/2026, 11:34:50 AM24 trades$7,5514 min
5/1/2026, 12:59:24 PM2 trades$7,4880 min
5/12/2026, 8:55:26 AM25 trades$7,1011 min
5/5/2026, 10:52:58 PM2 trades$6,7801 min
5/1/2026, 6:37:36 PM16 trades$6,57411 min
5/7/2026, 7:12:15 AM6 trades$6,5180 min
4/30/2026, 5:32:14 PM12 trades$6,19314 min
5/2/2026, 9:18:24 AM6 trades$6,1004 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
12-17
01-30
03-16
04-25
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.9 / M2.4 / H76.8