Polydata

@x5w6n

#2,961,99213

0x2801d61ecdcc23054a4c0d95822ed81f838c9dfe

~62d· 167 markets · 5153 tradesVol: $576,3672026-07-31 12:39:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (25/62)5.2/20
0.28x (win $371 / loss $1,346)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4950/15
Sortino -5.4910/10
$-0.0688 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 984 (62 markets)7.6/10
7/27 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 5058% of peak ($1,183 / $23)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,611,689$-1,015Vol: $516,082
📈 ECONOMICS#673,331$-428Vol: $54,870
SPORTS#1,552,626$-38Vol: $5,305
💰 FINANCE#496,482$-2Vol: $66
🎭 CULTURE#180,643$1Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,482
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$576,367
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
167
total markets
Trades
2047B / 3106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $204
Week
$-360
Vol: $271,979
Month
$-1,334
Vol: $551,755
All Time
$-1,482
Vol: $576,367

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
40%
25W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-1,484
Win Rate
40%
25W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $330 (0.2223622662874243% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$290
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$27
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?$13
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$3
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?$3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$2

Top Losers

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-547
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$-302
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-152
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-115
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-50
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-26
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$-22
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.282
Sortino
-0.241
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.309
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
14.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
75.8
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
36.5m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 3.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock76 trades/day — mass trading2.5 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.45
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.4%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)79.9%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 5:05:26 PM29 trades$3,5140 min
7/26/2026, 8:58:51 PM104 trades$3,2314 min
7/19/2026, 11:11:36 PM219 trades$2,5623 min
7/22/2026, 3:56:52 PM52 trades$2,0390 min
7/26/2026, 10:20:37 PM30 trades$1,9764 min
7/26/2026, 4:01:48 PM15 trades$1,4200 min
6/24/2026, 10:01:07 PM272 trades$1,21816 min
7/21/2026, 2:33:07 PM46 trades$1,1058 min
7/21/2026, 1:52:13 AM59 trades$1,0817 min
7/29/2026, 8:17:45 PM22 trades$9942 min
7/30/2026, 5:05:21 PM14 trades$9370 min
7/27/2026, 8:07:13 AM37 trades$8130 min
5/25/2026, 1:24:34 PM60 trades$8098 min
7/26/2026, 11:30:12 PM10 trades$8004 min
6/21/2026, 10:00:17 PM5 trades$7810 min
7/21/2026, 8:56:55 PM39 trades$7401 min
7/21/2026, 8:19:07 PM53 trades$7126 min
6/21/2026, 10:10:43 PM20 trades$6431 min
7/21/2026, 6:20:57 AM10 trades$6040 min
6/1/2026, 7:35:54 PM4 trades$5720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-25
05-31
06-10
06-17
06-25
07-17
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 63 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.4 / M6.7 / H79.9