Polydata

@0x2a2C53bD278c04DA9962Fcf96490E17F3DfB9Bc1-1772479215461

#2082

0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1

78d· 3630 markets · 12225 tradesVol: $476,611,8412026-05-17T15:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 41%5/20
Profit Factor 5.51x15/15
Sharpe 0.61412/15
Sortino 2.77210/10
EV $+3.70510/10
HHI 14710/10
Profit Days 77%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Trader 0x2a2C53bD278c04DA9962Fcf96490E17F3DfB9Bc1-1772479215461 is a highly active and successful participant on Polymarket, ranked #20 on the global PnL leaderboard. With over 12,000 trades across 536 markets and nearly $4.2 million in net profit, this trader has demonstrated consistent profitability over 393 days. Their large total volume of $476 million and a portfolio value exceeding $1.4 million reflect significant market engagement and capital allocation.

The trader’s strategy favors a diversified approach, engaging in numerous markets with a high win rate of 74.1% and a strong profit factor of 3.30. Their low sell percentage of 9% and bot score of 85 suggest a primarily automated, long-term holding style combined with disciplined dollar-cost averaging. This approach minimizes drawdown durations and supports an upward equity trend. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.61 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, aligning with a balanced but slightly conservative risk profile.

Key strengths for 0x2a2C53bD278c04DA9962Fcf96490E17F3DfB9Bc1-1772479215461 include consistent profitability, effective automation, and disciplined trade management, as evidenced by their badges and win streak. Potential risks involve reliance on automated strategies that may underperform in rapidly changing market conditions, and a Sharpe ratio below 1 suggests room for improvement in managing volatility. Nonetheless, this trader remains a strong and reliable figure on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+4,195,820
Diamond Hands
9% sell
DCA Master
avg 20.9 entries/market
Bot
Score 85/100
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$16,434,985
Consistent
64/83 days
High Roller
$41,819/day
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

5
SPORTS#10$4,047,539Vol: $474,854,124
🏛️ POLITICS#1,250$34,864Vol: $1,056,465
CRYPTO#704$47,945Vol: $457,094
💰 FINANCE#602,598$-2,737Vol: $39,100
🎭 CULTURE#153,256$1Vol: $3,586

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,195,820
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$476,611,841
Total Redeem
$2,094,413
Portfolio
$1,460,965
Predictions
3630
total markets
Trades
11121B / 1104S
Daily Volume
$41,819
Account Age
78d
since Mar 2, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$3,500
Vol: $0
Week
$2,277,885
Vol: $0
Month
$1,605,145
Vol: $45,371,576
All Time
$4,195,820
Vol: $476,611,841

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
259W / 354L events
Realized PnL
$38,662,788
Win Rate
74%
43W / 15L
Profit Factor
3.3x
Avg Win
$24,753
Avg Loss
$-21,502

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $569,254 (76.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$296,167
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers$190,525
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?$82,561
Thunder vs. Lakers$51,421
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$41,731
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner$38,614
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)$35,263
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$32,465
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$29,440
Games Total: O/U 2.5$29,167

Top Losers

Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-157,895
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$-115,795
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)$-7,379
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets$-7,298
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva$-6,882
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)$-6,698
Sabres vs. Canadiens$-6,041
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers$-5,826
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov$-5,155
Ducks vs. Golden Knights$-1,697

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.614
Sortino
2.772
HHI
147
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.705
Kelly %
46.8%
Half-Kelly
23.4%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
355.7
Very active
Markets / Day
15.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
13s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
85
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 13s — suspiciously fastSize CV 7.74 — diverse, typical for human34% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness356 trades/day — automation16 markets/day — mass coverage757 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
136 entries
<=2
222 entries
<=5
318 entries
<=10
385 entries
<=20
443 entries
<=50
490 entries
>50
41 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.3%
Mid (20-55c)38.3%
High (>55c)49.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 26.8%

Other$716,201
Madrid$25,090
Los Angeles$8,917
Seattle$6,290
Toronto$1,456
Miami$0
San Francisco$0
New York City$0
Houston$0
Paris$0
Chicago$0
Milan$0
Atlanta$-16,116

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
436

Single bracket

<=1
375 brackets
<=2
419 brackets
<=3
430 brackets
<=4
434 brackets
<=5
434 brackets
<=8
435 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 7:54:51 PM1 trades$30 min
4/10/2026, 8:34:33 PM1 trades$2070 min
4/10/2026, 8:42:23 PM1 trades$500 min
4/10/2026, 10:13:23 PM7 trades$8433 min
4/10/2026, 10:29:49 PM9 trades$3190 min
4/11/2026, 1:40:35 AM1 trades$180 min
4/11/2026, 2:25:01 AM1 trades$20 min
4/11/2026, 10:42:29 AM3 trades$2091 min
4/11/2026, 10:49:35 AM2 trades$60 min
4/11/2026, 11:19:35 AM1 trades$1070 min
4/11/2026, 11:48:21 AM1 trades$3620 min
4/11/2026, 12:15:05 PM2 trades$50 min
4/11/2026, 12:46:47 PM1 trades$10 min
4/11/2026, 2:10:09 PM1 trades$30 min
4/11/2026, 2:16:33 PM2 trades$40 min
4/11/2026, 2:55:59 PM2 trades$2140 min
4/11/2026, 3:22:53 PM1 trades$3680 min
4/11/2026, 3:31:19 PM3 trades$154 min
4/11/2026, 4:21:21 PM1 trades$30 min
4/11/2026, 4:36:09 PM1 trades$1570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-16
03-31
04-13
04-26
05-09
05-20
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event