Polydata

@0x2a2C53bD278c04DA9962Fcf96490E17F3DfB9Bc1-1772479215461

#2782

0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1

122d· 3632 markets · 11359 tradesVol: $477,330,2712026-07-03T05:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 40%5/20
Profit Factor 5.39x15/15
Sharpe 0.61111/15
Sortino 2.84710/10
EV $+4.18210/10
HHI 14110/10
Profit Days 75%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

0x2a2C53bD278c04DA9962Fcf96490E17F3DfB9Bc1-1772479215461 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #27 on the global PnL leaderboard. With over 11,000 trades across 517 markets and a net profit of more than $4.1 million, this trader demonstrates sustained success over 393 days of activity. Their portfolio value currently stands near $220,000, supported by a strong Smart Score of 82 and a notable profit factor of 2.92.

This trader favors a diversified approach, engaging in a wide array of markets while maintaining a consistent 75% win rate. Their low sell percentage of 5% and bot score of 75 indicate a largely automated strategy with disciplined dollar-cost averaging, which aligns with badges like "DCA Master" and "Bot." The equity trend is upward with no significant drawdown periods, reflecting a moderate risk profile and steady timing in trade execution.

Key strengths of 0x2a2C53bD278c04DA9962Fcf96490E17F3DfB9Bc1-1772479215461 include their high win rate, scalability across numerous markets, and effective use of automation on Polymarket. However, a Sharpe ratio of 0.61 suggests moderate volatility, and reliance on automated systems may pose risks if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, their disciplined and data-driven style underpins their strong performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+4,185,262
Diamond Hands
5% sell
DCA Master
avg 21.1 entries/market
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Whale
$14,466,124
Consistent
62/83 days
High Roller
$36,809/day
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

5
SPORTS#34$2,423,312Vol: $443,928,340
🏛️ POLITICS#1,338$35,462Vol: $1,056,465
CRYPTO#789$47,945Vol: $457,094
💰 FINANCE#642,073$-2,737Vol: $39,100
🎭 CULTURE#159,114$1Vol: $3,586

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,185,262
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$477,330,271
Total Redeem
$3,285,167
Portfolio
$219,825
Predictions
3632
total markets
Trades
10764B / 595S
Daily Volume
$36,809
Account Age
122d
since Mar 2, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-4,999
Vol: $0
Week
$-48,256
Vol: $0
Month
$-17,166
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,185,262
Vol: $477,330,271

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
254W / 357L events
Realized PnL
$38,616,219
Win Rate
75%
45W / 15L
Profit Factor
2.92x
Avg Win
$20,902
Avg Loss
$-21,502

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $371,278 (60.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers$190,525
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$98,192
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?$82,561
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$58,000
Thunder vs. Lakers$51,421
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$41,731
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner$38,614
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)$35,263
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$32,465
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$29,440

Top Losers

Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-157,895
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$-115,795
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)$-7,379
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets$-7,298
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva$-6,882
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)$-6,698
Sabres vs. Canadiens$-6,041
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers$-5,826
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov$-5,155
Ducks vs. Golden Knights$-1,697

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.611
Sortino
2.847
HHI
141
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.182
Kelly %
43.6%
Half-Kelly
21.8%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
16.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
183.3
Very active
Markets / Day
8.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.2m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 7.06 — diverse, typical for human35% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.23 — human randomness183 trades/day — automation751 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
132 entries
<=2
213 entries
<=5
307 entries
<=10
372 entries
<=20
427 entries
<=50
471 entries
>50
40 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11%
Mid (20-55c)39%
High (>55c)50%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 21.6%

Other$592,412
Madrid$25,090
Los Angeles$8,917
Seattle$6,290
Toronto$1,456
Miami$0
San Francisco$0
New York City$0
Houston$0
Paris$0
Chicago$0
Milan$0
Atlanta$-16,116

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
422

Single bracket

<=1
363 brackets
<=2
405 brackets
<=3
416 brackets
<=4
421 brackets
<=5
421 brackets
<=8
421 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 7:54:51 PM1 trades$30 min
4/10/2026, 8:34:33 PM1 trades$2070 min
4/10/2026, 8:42:23 PM1 trades$500 min
4/10/2026, 10:13:23 PM7 trades$8433 min
4/10/2026, 10:29:49 PM9 trades$3190 min
4/11/2026, 1:40:35 AM1 trades$180 min
4/11/2026, 2:25:01 AM1 trades$20 min
4/11/2026, 10:42:29 AM3 trades$2091 min
4/11/2026, 10:49:35 AM2 trades$60 min
4/11/2026, 11:19:35 AM1 trades$1070 min
4/11/2026, 11:48:21 AM1 trades$3620 min
4/11/2026, 12:15:05 PM2 trades$50 min
4/11/2026, 12:46:47 PM1 trades$10 min
4/11/2026, 2:10:09 PM1 trades$30 min
4/11/2026, 2:16:33 PM2 trades$40 min
4/11/2026, 2:55:59 PM2 trades$2140 min
4/11/2026, 3:22:53 PM1 trades$3680 min
4/11/2026, 3:31:19 PM3 trades$154 min
4/11/2026, 4:21:21 PM1 trades$30 min
4/11/2026, 4:36:09 PM1 trades$1570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-16
03-31
04-13
04-26
05-09
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event