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@0x3744811a81863BD979E73779ED7960384b9f5657-1776323647598

#6,57286

0x3744811a81863bd979e73779ed7960384b9f5657

35d· 187 markets · 5322 tradesVol: $326,1852026-05-16T03:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 51%11/20
Profit Factor 1.66x11/15
Sharpe 0.83015/15
Sortino 4960027.10710/10
EV $+1.08510/10
HHI 11610/10
Profit Days 75%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 0x3744811a81863BD979E73779ED7960384b9f5657-1776323647598 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, with 5,322 trades completed across 187 markets in just 8 days. They hold an elite Smart Score of 86/100 and rank #6572 globally based on net profit and loss, having generated a net PnL of $19,455.94 on a total trading volume of $326,185. Despite a portfolio value currently at zero, their performance metrics indicate consistent profitability.

This trader demonstrates a moderately aggressive strategy with a 54% win rate and a profit factor of 1.47, suggesting more winning trades than losses. Their trading style appears automated, supported by a Bot Score of 70/100 and a low sell percentage of 9%, implying a tendency to hold positions longer, consistent with their "Diamond Hands" badge. They avoid weather markets entirely and favor a contrarian approach, as noted by their badges, and appear to engage in dollar-cost averaging (DCA), which may help mitigate risk over time.

The strengths of 0x3744811a81863BD979E73779ED7960384b9f5657-1776323647598 include a solid Sharpe ratio of 0.83 and zero days of max drawdown duration, indicating resilient risk management and stability in volatile conditions. However, the short active period of only 8 days limits the historical reliability of their performance data. The reliance on automated trading introduces both efficiency and potential vulnerabilities if market conditions shift rapidly or algorithms fail to adapt. Overall, this trader shows promise but should be monitored for consistency over a longer timeframe.

Badges

10
Profitable
PnL $+19,456
Contrarian
64% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
9% sell
DCA Master
avg 26.0 entries/market
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$77,108
Consistent
3/4 days
High Roller
$10,104/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,979$19,456Vol: $326,185

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$19,456
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$326,185
Total Redeem
$36,182
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
187
total markets
Trades
4855B / 467S
Daily Volume
$10,104
Account Age
35d
since Apr 16, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
97W / 90L events
Realized PnL
$38,130
Win Rate
54%
67W / 57L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$445
Avg Loss
$-355

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,207 (85.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$3,504
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2,584
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2,118
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2AM ET$1,775
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8PM ET$1,160
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1,049
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$947
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$899
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$693
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$667

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-3,983
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$-1,474
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$-1,365
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$-969
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-826
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$-662
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$-587
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$-587
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$-531
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$-528

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.830
Sortino
inf
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.085
Kelly %
21.5%
Half-Kelly
10.7%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
13.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
697.4
Very active
Markets / Day
24.5
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7m
between trades
Night Trading
63%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
73.2

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
50% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 3.70 — diverse, typical for human63% at night — bot never sleeps14/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.83 — human randomness697 trades/day — automation25 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26
Heavy DCA
<=1
17 entries
<=2
31 entries
<=5
64 entries
<=10
93 entries
<=20
123 entries
<=50
156 entries
>50
31 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)47.9%
High (>55c)24.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.7%

Other$9,574

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
187

Single bracket

<=1
187 brackets
<=2
187 brackets
<=3
187 brackets
<=4
187 brackets
<=5
187 brackets
<=8
187 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 12:08:24 AM146 trades$2,08816 min
4/16/2026, 12:29:32 AM119 trades$2334 min
4/16/2026, 12:40:42 AM220 trades$4,04723 min
4/16/2026, 1:08:54 AM5 trades$131 min
4/16/2026, 1:24:10 AM14 trades$410 min
4/16/2026, 1:34:14 AM161 trades$1,0994 min
4/16/2026, 1:43:42 AM73 trades$1711 min
4/16/2026, 1:59:34 AM113 trades$2,75015 min
4/16/2026, 2:24:10 AM176 trades$64324 min
4/16/2026, 2:58:50 AM13 trades$36211 min
4/16/2026, 4:23:40 AM5 trades$1641 min
4/16/2026, 4:33:00 AM2 trades$1370 min
4/16/2026, 4:40:34 AM65 trades$1,70519 min
4/16/2026, 5:13:46 AM74 trades$2,04017 min
4/16/2026, 5:37:22 AM28 trades$1,9886 min
4/16/2026, 5:51:02 AM77 trades$1,22619 min
4/16/2026, 6:14:56 AM41 trades$2555 min
4/16/2026, 6:48:54 AM101 trades$2,95320 min
4/16/2026, 7:19:56 AM1 trades$90 min
4/16/2026, 7:25:44 AM74 trades$3,1038 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
04-17
04-18
04-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event