Polydata

@thesingularityisnear

#12238

0x3a6a2e7a7707c720219228eb8efa7398bc0e458e

~9d· 9 markets · 3682 tradesVol: $27,226,2242026-07-31 13:23:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (1/9)0/20
2.19x (win $286,408 / loss $130,878)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0578 per $1 invested2.9/10
HHI 6207 (9 markets)0/10
1/1 profitable days (100%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $155,531)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+1,432,114
Lottery Player
99% entries < $0.20
Whale
$2,689,334 invested
Consistent
1/1 profitable days
High Roller
$128,064/day
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#82$1,432,114Vol: $27,226,224

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,432,114
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,226,224
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
2369B / 1313S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Month
$1,261,085
Vol: $16,737,173
All Time
$1,432,114
Vol: $27,226,224

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
11%
1W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$1,432,114
Win Rate
11%
1W / 8L
Profit Factor
2.19x
Avg Win
$286,408
Avg Loss
$-16,360

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $286,408 (0.19998976338332888% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$286,408

Top Losers

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-51,225
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-45,136
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,338
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,152
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,463
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,442
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,067
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-55

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
7427
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
86%
Top-5 markets
96.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
175.3
Very active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
20.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
61.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 20.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock175 trades/day — automation0.4 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
409.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)98.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)1.1%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 12:16:00 AM84 trades$2,800,7420 min
7/19/2026, 6:42:55 PM4 trades$613,2000 min
7/19/2026, 6:28:45 PM58 trades$590,2561 min
7/1/2026, 2:08:59 PM102 trades$308,33110 min
7/1/2026, 9:55:19 AM45 trades$234,1731 min
7/1/2026, 1:02:34 PM214 trades$233,52661 min
7/3/2026, 3:08:05 PM41 trades$188,5140 min
6/30/2026, 2:26:47 AM396 trades$162,52874 min
6/30/2026, 6:47:44 PM128 trades$140,97734 min
7/3/2026, 12:51:52 PM95 trades$113,1925 min
7/2/2026, 5:42:31 PM82 trades$105,7076 min
7/5/2026, 7:48:17 PM29 trades$66,2570 min
7/6/2026, 9:55:01 AM28 trades$31,3480 min
7/1/2026, 11:28:50 AM16 trades$29,44412 min
7/3/2026, 1:53:52 PM7 trades$28,7330 min
7/1/2026, 3:30:34 PM30 trades$23,3012 min
7/1/2026, 2:43:49 PM106 trades$22,7181 min
6/30/2026, 10:08:19 PM911 trades$22,08885 min
7/1/2026, 7:40:55 PM44 trades$21,6740 min
7/4/2026, 12:47:52 AM8 trades$20,4050 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-20 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 409.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L98.9 / M0 / H1.1