Polydata

@tiger5511

#2,974,54566

0x3e6aee1898c37494b2cdb06da1f43c10b16ae86d

~95d· 435 markets · 74279 tradesVol: $2,614,5512026-07-31 15:31:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (52/166)0.7/20
2.53x (win $78,061 / loss $30,827)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.02515/15
Sortino 20.03710/10
$+0.1027 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 261 (166 markets)10/10
12/43 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($7,883 / $48,463)10/10

Badges

5
Whale
$460,139 invested
High Roller
$4,844/day
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,616,033$-1,259Vol: $1,400,748
CRYPTO#1,486,515$-117Vol: $346,539
📈 ECONOMICS#645,265$-43Vol: $324,338
SPORTS#1,779,400$-380Vol: $226,480
🌤️ WEATHER#18,886$15Vol: $130,778
💰 FINANCE#605,221$-30Vol: $117,667
🎭 CULTURE#714,817$-17Vol: $30,004
💻 TECH#14,274$17Vol: $10,354

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,683
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,614,551
Total Redeem
$1,780
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
435
total markets
Trades
66262B / 8017S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $28
Week
$-162
Vol: $32,171
Month
$-841
Vol: $546,463
All Time
$-1,683
Vol: $2,614,551

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
31%
52W / 114L events
Realized PnL
$-1,686
Win Rate
31%
52W / 114L
Profit Factor
2.53x
Avg Win
$1,501
Avg Loss
$-270

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $51,675 (30.646127021593312% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$26,517
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15,281
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$9,877
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5,257
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3,323
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$3,192
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$2,745
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$1,857
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$1,162
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$908

Top Losers

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-5,374
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-3,406
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$-1,736
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-1,502
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,101
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-1,074
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-920
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-875
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-861
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$-852

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.157
Sortino
1.015
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.245
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
12.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
781.9
Very active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
262 min
Avg Trades / Session
636.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 1.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock782 trades/day — automation4.6 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
197.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)7%
High (>55c)70.7%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 11:14:01 AM3591 trades$27,2821132 min
5/7/2026, 12:45:34 PM1605 trades$12,588508 min
5/8/2026, 9:29:49 AM1824 trades$12,107635 min
5/18/2026, 12:15:47 PM1250 trades$7,881552 min
5/16/2026, 6:38:53 AM1183 trades$7,321378 min
5/17/2026, 9:22:26 PM1153 trades$6,988624 min
5/15/2026, 7:21:15 PM1066 trades$6,717450 min
6/12/2026, 3:51:27 PM517 trades$5,998270 min
5/21/2026, 3:05:56 PM727 trades$5,633394 min
5/12/2026, 2:44:33 PM823 trades$5,552314 min
5/10/2026, 10:14:04 PM910 trades$5,487318 min
6/8/2026, 3:34:19 PM44 trades$5,38941 min
5/12/2026, 1:00:44 AM761 trades$5,060363 min
5/15/2026, 4:13:42 AM918 trades$4,747485 min
5/13/2026, 4:16:19 AM635 trades$4,668334 min
5/10/2026, 2:32:44 PM748 trades$4,631326 min
5/11/2026, 1:06:51 PM736 trades$4,514319 min
6/10/2026, 11:37:15 AM155 trades$4,330100 min
5/8/2026, 6:13:44 AM930 trades$4,042189 min
5/15/2026, 12:43:32 PM609 trades$4,006226 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-01
05-16
05-23
05-30
06-10
06-18
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 197.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M7 / H70.7