Polydata
Data is 10 days old — refreshing in background...

@0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

#89475

0x424eb20fcd25113e3b98f42522a54580350b263b

104d· 80397 markets · 8119 tradesVol: $28,284,5992026-06-27T09:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 0.01x0/15
Sharpe 1.61815/15
Sortino 4536287.92210/10
HHI 4910/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, with over 8,100 trades across 438 markets in just 95 days. Ranked #894 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of approximately $210,000 on a total volume exceeding $28 million. Their portfolio value remains stable at around $1,800, supported by a solid Sharpe Ratio of 1.62, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return.

This trader exhibits a mixed strategy with a relatively low win rate of 31.3% but compensates with a strong profit factor of 0.01, suggesting selective high-reward trades. Their approach appears semi-automated, combining bot assistance with manual intervention, as reflected in a Bot Score of 60/100. They avoid weather markets entirely and have no recorded sell percentage, which could imply a focus on holding positions or specific market types. The short max drawdown duration hints at effective risk management and quick recovery from losses.

The key strengths of 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 include consistent profitability, a stable equity trend, and badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, indicating precision and resilience. However, the low profit factor and win rate, alongside a semi-bot trading style, suggest some exposure to volatility and potential reliance on algorithmic signals. Monitoring their evolving strategy on Polymarket will be important to understand long-term sustainability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+209,922
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$334,666
Consistent
64/64 days
High Roller
$3,523/day

Categories

3
CRYPTO#129$198,575Vol: $22,846,185
SPORTS#2,805$17,055Vol: $5,342,994
🏛️ POLITICS#265,772$2Vol: $0

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$209,922
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,284,599
Total Redeem
$12,843
Portfolio
$1,806
Predictions
80397
total markets
Trades
8119B / 0S
Daily Volume
$3,523
Account Age
104d
since Mar 24, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-414
Vol: $25,602
Week
$177
Vol: $536,565
Month
$1,215
Vol: $5,051,362
All Time
$209,922
Vol: $28,284,599

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
226W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$290,367
Win Rate
31%
125W / 274L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-1,170

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$151
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$105
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$96
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$89
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$82
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$82
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$78

Top Losers

Knicks vs. 76ers$-3,628
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Majo$-3,337
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals$-3,200
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros$-3,150
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$-3,013
Spurs vs. Thunder$-2,962
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies$-2,950
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-2,900
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)$-2,878
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners$-2,850

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.618
Sortino
inf
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.961
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
107.2
Very active
Markets / Day
5.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.4m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 33s — typical for humanSize CV 3.81 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness107 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
55 entries
<=2
81 entries
<=5
124 entries
<=10
169 entries
<=20
275 entries
<=50
419 entries
>50
19 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)67.1%
High (>55c)31.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 27.4%

San Francisco$-1,693
Houston$-3,150
Chicago$-3,183
Milan$-4,333
Toronto$-4,678
Atlanta$-6,213
Paris$-7,013
Los Angeles$-8,400
Madrid$-8,998
Miami$-9,016
Seattle$-9,077
Other$-251,605

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
403

Single bracket

<=1
376 brackets
<=2
396 brackets
<=3
402 brackets
<=4
403 brackets
<=5
403 brackets
<=8
403 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 3:44:37 PM1 trades$2310 min
4/12/2026, 3:57:19 PM1 trades$2270 min
4/12/2026, 4:26:17 PM1 trades$2270 min
4/12/2026, 4:57:25 PM3 trades$2425 min
4/14/2026, 8:55:47 AM1 trades$490 min
4/14/2026, 11:43:25 AM4 trades$1270 min
4/14/2026, 11:59:15 AM1 trades$150 min
4/14/2026, 3:24:25 PM1 trades$350 min
4/14/2026, 7:46:36 PM1 trades$2040 min
4/15/2026, 12:41:06 AM8 trades$26511 min
4/15/2026, 1:26:22 AM1 trades$3020 min
4/15/2026, 1:50:02 AM5 trades$3072 min
4/15/2026, 1:58:02 AM2 trades$3070 min
4/15/2026, 6:18:06 AM1 trades$1540 min
4/15/2026, 6:28:16 AM6 trades$1227 min
4/15/2026, 7:46:50 AM4 trades$1980 min
4/15/2026, 8:04:32 AM21 trades$4599 min
4/15/2026, 11:04:54 AM1 trades$250 min
4/15/2026, 11:15:04 AM1 trades$20 min
4/15/2026, 11:34:08 AM12 trades$33016 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-19
04-29
05-09
05-19
05-30
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event