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@0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

#86175

0x424eb20fcd25113e3b98f42522a54580350b263b

58d· 44446 markets · 9560 tradesVol: $17,821,4842026-05-14T09:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.01x0/15
Sharpe 1.36015/15
Sortino 4456602.78610/10
HHI 4810/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

The trader 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 is moderately active on Polymarket, with 9,560 trades executed across 402 markets over 282 days. Currently ranked #861 on the global PnL leaderboard, the trader has accumulated a net profit of $179,752.79 from a total trading volume of $17.8 million. Their portfolio value remains stable at $3,691.69, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 1.36, indicating reasonable risk-adjusted returns.

This trader favors a contrarian, sniper-style approach, as reflected by badges like "Sniper" and "Contrarian." Despite a low win rate of 24%, they maintain a positive PnL, suggesting selective, high-impact bets. The zero sell percentage and "Diamond Hands" badge imply a buy-and-hold tendency rather than frequent position flipping. The trader's smart score of 75 and bot score of 50 indicate a semi-automated strategy, blending manual and algorithmic trading with an emphasis on timing precision over volume.

Key strengths for 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 include a strong profit factor of 0.01 and a flat equity trend, showing resilience without significant drawdowns. However, the relatively low win rate combined with a low profit factor suggests high-risk trades that may lead to volatility. The absence of weather market exposure and a max drawdown duration of zero days reduces some risk, but the semi-bot trading style requires ongoing monitoring for consistency on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+179,753
Contrarian
50% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$265,980
Consistent
50/50 days

Categories

2
CRYPTO#170$148,298Vol: $14,282,639
SPORTS#1,543$31,705Vol: $3,537,714

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$179,753
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,821,484
Total Redeem
$20,813
Portfolio
$3,692
Predictions
44446
total markets
Trades
9560B / 0S
Daily Volume
$943
Account Age
58d
since Mar 24, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-5,024
Vol: $75,778
Week
$2,436
Vol: $1,304,947
Month
$28,848
Vol: $4,030,109
All Time
$179,753
Vol: $17,821,484

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
229W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$222,650
Win Rate
24%
86W / 272L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-879

Top Winners

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5$255
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$216
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$171
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$161
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$111
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$105
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$105
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$93
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$72

Top Losers

Knicks vs. 76ers$-3,628
Penguins vs. Blues$-3,533
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$-2,892
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$-2,731
Stars vs. Sabres$-2,426
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score$-2,403
Kraken vs. Avalanche$-2,389
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)$-2,323
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)$-2,286
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-2,216

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.360
Sortino
inf
HHI
48
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.917
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
5.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
228.9
Very active
Markets / Day
9.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
23s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 23s — typical for humanSize CV 1.99 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness229 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
8 entries
<=2
18 entries
<=5
53 entries
<=10
115 entries
<=20
241 entries
<=50
365 entries
>50
37 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)65.1%
High (>55c)33.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 35.5%

Houston$-551
Milan$-554
San Francisco$-734
Miami$-1,204
Chicago$-2,332
Seattle$-2,596
Atlanta$-2,612
Los Angeles$-3,228
Paris$-7,013
Madrid$-12,482
Other$-202,599

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
339

Single bracket

<=1
296 brackets
<=2
325 brackets
<=3
335 brackets
<=4
338 brackets
<=5
338 brackets
<=8
339 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 2:40:13 PM156 trades$9074 min
4/6/2026, 12:15:17 AM180 trades$6544 min
4/12/2026, 3:23:27 PM3 trades$5985 min
4/12/2026, 3:44:37 PM1 trades$2310 min
4/12/2026, 3:53:15 PM4 trades$4254 min
4/12/2026, 4:26:17 PM1 trades$2270 min
4/12/2026, 4:57:25 PM3 trades$2425 min
4/13/2026, 1:35:17 AM1 trades$520 min
4/13/2026, 2:24:51 AM1 trades$510 min
4/13/2026, 2:42:43 AM3 trades$1002 min
4/13/2026, 2:52:49 AM2 trades$1000 min
4/13/2026, 3:05:23 AM3 trades$1530 min
4/13/2026, 3:51:27 AM5 trades$886 min
4/13/2026, 7:45:37 AM1 trades$640 min
4/13/2026, 7:57:45 AM1 trades$690 min
4/13/2026, 11:25:13 AM1 trades$720 min
4/13/2026, 11:30:35 AM1 trades$1000 min
4/13/2026, 1:07:01 PM1 trades$1460 min
4/13/2026, 1:18:09 PM8 trades$2700 min
4/13/2026, 1:23:53 PM10 trades$1350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-06
04-19
04-27
05-05
05-13
05-21
05-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event