Polydata

@0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188

#2,966,02833

0x492442eab586f242b53bda933fd5de859c8a3782

196d· 1696 markets · 5207 tradesVol: $506,700,2852026-07-03T13:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.33x0/15
HHI 2710/10
Profit Days 44%3/10

Summary

The trader known as 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 is moderately active on Polymarket, having executed 5,207 trades across 512 markets over 188 days. Despite a high total trading volume exceeding $506 million, this trader currently ranks #2,966,028 globally by net profit and holds a net PnL of negative $3.29 million. Their smart score is below average at 33 out of 100, and their portfolio value stands at zero, indicating significant realized losses.

This trader appears to follow a high-frequency, high-volume approach with a semi-automated strategy, as reflected in their bot score of 45/100. They maintain a low sell percentage of 1%, suggesting a tendency to hold positions rather than exit quickly. Their win rate is 42.8%, below the breakeven threshold, and their profit factor of 0.33 signals that losses outweigh gains. The equity trend shows upward growth, possibly from increased trading activity or portfolio adjustments despite overall losses.

Key strengths for 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782 include strong engagement and consistent market participation, which can offer opportunities for pattern recognition and strategy refinement. However, the substantial drawdown reflected in a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.34) and a negative net PnL highlights risks related to capital preservation and risk management on Polymarket. This trader’s low smart score and profit factor suggest the need for strategic reassessment to improve long-term performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
80 wins in a row
Whale
$96,598,469
High Roller
$513,831/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,792,943$-3,293,494Vol: $506,700,285

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,293,494
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$506,700,285
Total Redeem
$39,462,629
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1696
total markets
Trades
5153B / 54S
Daily Volume
$513,831
Account Age
196d
since Dec 21, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-105,220
Vol: $214,734
All Time
$-3,293,494
Vol: $506,700,285

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
241W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$70,708,579
Win Rate
43%
163W / 218L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$123,201
Avg Loss
$-277,306

Top Winners

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)$426,171
Penguins vs. Flyers$416,819
Sabres vs. Bruins$398,119
Spread: Suns (-10.5)$394,819
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$364,970
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)$352,342
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$349,805
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)$329,531
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$327,209
Sabres vs. Bruins$303,055

Top Losers

Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-8.5)$-394,795
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5$-392,996
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)$-380,027
Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 137.5$-365,526
Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)$-364,618
Spread: Howard Bison (-9.5)$-363,946
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5$-361,689
Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)$-360,943
Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5$-359,810
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-11.5)$-359,315

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.341
Sortino
-0.345
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.497
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
34.0m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — typical for humanSize CV 2.48 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
77 entries
<=2
141 entries
<=5
281 entries
<=10
394 entries
<=20
456 entries
<=50
496 entries
>50
16 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)90.7%
High (>55c)9.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 78.1%

Dallas$78,062
Paris$53,674
Seattle$-288,559
Madrid$-294,690
Chicago$-318,700
Houston$-578,464
Other$-39,022,169

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
379

Single bracket

<=1
284 brackets
<=2
353 brackets
<=3
369 brackets
<=4
377 brackets
<=5
379 brackets
<=8
379 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/23/2025, 2:02:39 AM2 trades$38,4620 min
12/23/2025, 2:11:07 AM74 trades$253,45921 min
12/27/2025, 9:45:11 PM2 trades$181,4251 min
12/27/2025, 9:53:29 PM2 trades$145,4141 min
12/27/2025, 11:11:17 PM1 trades$58,2870 min
12/27/2025, 11:43:07 PM3 trades$241,8751 min
12/30/2025, 12:05:31 AM1 trades$109,5270 min
12/30/2025, 12:10:59 AM1 trades$82,5950 min
12/30/2025, 12:20:45 AM1 trades$6,6000 min
12/30/2025, 12:29:03 AM40 trades$76,6542 min
12/30/2025, 1:03:31 PM1 trades$580 min
12/30/2025, 6:45:41 PM14 trades$215,5719 min
12/30/2025, 7:01:51 PM1 trades$3190 min
12/30/2025, 7:10:01 PM3 trades$26,2543 min
12/30/2025, 7:18:21 PM3 trades$150,7942 min
12/31/2025, 1:33:23 AM31 trades$247,12524 min
12/31/2025, 8:04:59 PM2 trades$16,2314 min
12/31/2025, 8:14:49 PM1 trades$294,5850 min
12/31/2025, 8:21:21 PM1 trades$1,4930 min
1/3/2026, 2:57:15 AM6 trades$316,2492 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-23
01-19
02-22
03-21
04-10
05-06
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event