Polydata

@0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188

#2,735,90933

0x492442eab586f242b53bda933fd5de859c8a3782

148d· 1643 markets · 5056 tradesVol: $492,491,5822026-05-19T02:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.37x0/15
HHI 2710/10
Profit Days 40%3/10

Summary

Trader 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 is an active participant on Polymarket, with over 5,000 trades across 504 markets over 143 days. Despite a high total volume nearing $492 million, their net profit and loss stands at a significant negative $1.56 million, placing them at rank #2,735,909 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their overall performance metrics, including a below-average Smart Score of 33 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.32, reflect challenges in generating consistent profits.

This trader appears to adopt a high-risk, high-volume trading strategy, evidenced by a low win rate of 43.8% and a profit factor of 0.37. Their activity suggests a preference for frequent market entries with minimal selling, as indicated by a sell percentage of only 1%. The absence of weather market trades and a rapid interface interaction pattern imply a focus on other event categories, possibly favoring quick, high-stakes bets rather than long-term positions.

Strengths for 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 include an upward equity trend and badges suggesting persistence and high engagement, such as "Diamond Hands" and "High Roller." However, the substantial losses and negative profit metrics highlight risks around capital preservation and strategy effectiveness. Continued monitoring on Polymarket is advisable to assess whether performance improvements emerge.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
91 wins in a row
Whale
$95,418,705
High Roller
$667,851/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,654,440$-1,563,336Vol: $492,491,582

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,563,336
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$492,491,582
Total Redeem
$42,411,730
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1643
total markets
Trades
5002B / 54S
Daily Volume
$667,851
Account Age
148d
since Dec 21, 2025

Periods

#2
Month
$2,018,422
Vol: $9,099,380
All Time
$-1,563,336
Vol: $492,491,582

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
241W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$70,490,259
Win Rate
44%
166W / 213L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$129,986
Avg Loss
$-276,389

Top Winners

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)$419,903
Penguins vs. Flyers$411,071
Sabres vs. Bruins$392,384
Spread: Suns (-10.5)$389,204
Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5$385,073
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)$365,124
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$359,591
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)$349,958
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)$325,129
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)$324,887

Top Losers

Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-8.5)$-394,795
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5$-392,996
Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 137.5$-365,526
Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)$-364,618
Spread: Howard Bison (-9.5)$-363,946
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5$-361,689
Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)$-360,943
Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5$-359,810
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-11.5)$-359,315
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5$-356,055

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.323
Sortino
-0.342
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.460
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.7m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 2.43 — diverse, typical for human34% at night — bot never sleeps18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.14 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.9
Active DCA
<=1
66 entries
<=2
125 entries
<=5
266 entries
<=10
385 entries
<=20
449 entries
<=50
490 entries
>50
14 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)91.7%
High (>55c)8.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 76.6%

Paris$49,107
Seattle$-288,559
Madrid$-294,690
Chicago$-318,700
Houston$-578,464
Other$-35,861,943

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
367

Single bracket

<=1
269 brackets
<=2
341 brackets
<=3
357 brackets
<=4
364 brackets
<=5
367 brackets
<=8
367 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/23/2025, 2:02:39 AM2 trades$38,4620 min
12/23/2025, 2:11:07 AM74 trades$253,45921 min
12/27/2025, 9:45:11 PM2 trades$181,4251 min
12/27/2025, 9:53:29 PM2 trades$145,4141 min
12/27/2025, 11:11:17 PM1 trades$58,2870 min
12/27/2025, 11:43:07 PM3 trades$241,8751 min
12/30/2025, 12:05:31 AM1 trades$109,5270 min
12/30/2025, 12:10:59 AM1 trades$82,5950 min
12/30/2025, 12:20:45 AM1 trades$6,6000 min
12/30/2025, 12:29:03 AM40 trades$76,6542 min
12/30/2025, 1:03:31 PM1 trades$580 min
12/30/2025, 6:45:41 PM14 trades$215,5719 min
12/30/2025, 7:01:51 PM1 trades$3190 min
12/30/2025, 7:10:01 PM3 trades$26,2543 min
12/30/2025, 7:18:21 PM3 trades$150,7942 min
12/31/2025, 1:33:23 AM31 trades$247,12524 min
12/31/2025, 8:04:59 PM2 trades$16,2314 min
12/31/2025, 8:14:49 PM1 trades$294,5850 min
12/31/2025, 8:21:21 PM1 trades$1,4930 min
1/3/2026, 2:57:15 AM6 trades$316,2492 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-23
01-17
02-10
03-13
04-01
04-23
05-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event