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@0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188

#2,945,67634

0x492442eab586f242b53bda933fd5de859c8a3782

194d· 1696 markets · 5129 tradesVol: $506,700,2852026-06-30T05:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.33x0/15
HHI 2710/10
Profit Days 44%4/10

Summary

The trader 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 is moderately active on Polymarket, with 5,129 trades across 509 markets over 188 days. Despite a high total volume of over $506 million, the trader ranks low at #2,945,676 on the global PnL leaderboard, showing a significant net loss of approximately $3.29 million. Their win rate stands at 42.9%, with a profit factor of 0.33 and a Sharpe ratio of -0.34, indicating underperformance relative to risk taken.

This trader appears to favor a high-frequency trading style, engaging broadly across many markets with a low sell percentage of just 1%, suggesting a strong buy-and-hold tendency in positions. Their Smart Score of 34/100 and Bot Score of 45/100 classify them as a semi-bot trader, combining automated and manual strategies. The equity trend shows upward growth, hinting at some recovery or improved capital allocation despite the losses. Their badges, including Sniper and Diamond Hands, imply a focus on precision entries and holding through volatility.

Key strengths for 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 include high trading volume and consistent market participation, which can leverage Polymarket’s liquidity. However, the large net losses, below-average Smart Score, and negative profit factor indicate substantial risk exposure and potential strategy inefficiencies. The low sell rate might also signal limited risk management, increasing vulnerability during adverse market moves.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
80 wins in a row
Whale
$96,260,272
High Roller
$512,023/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,775,574$-3,293,494Vol: $506,700,285

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,293,494
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$506,700,285
Total Redeem
$39,462,629
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1696
total markets
Trades
5075B / 54S
Daily Volume
$512,023
Account Age
194d
since Dec 21, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-105,220
Vol: $214,734
Month
$-583,200
Vol: $5,678,754
All Time
$-3,293,494
Vol: $506,700,285

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
241W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$70,708,038
Win Rate
43%
163W / 217L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$122,226
Avg Loss
$-276,852

Top Winners

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)$419,903
Penguins vs. Flyers$411,071
Sabres vs. Bruins$392,384
Spread: Suns (-10.5)$389,204
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$359,591
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)$349,958
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$349,805
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)$324,887
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$322,587
Sabres vs. Bruins$303,055

Top Losers

Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-8.5)$-394,795
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5$-392,996
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)$-380,027
Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 137.5$-365,526
Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)$-364,618
Spread: Howard Bison (-9.5)$-363,946
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5$-361,689
Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)$-360,943
Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5$-359,810
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-11.5)$-359,315

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.341
Sortino
-0.344
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.496
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
34.6m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 2.47 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10
Active DCA
<=1
76 entries
<=2
140 entries
<=5
280 entries
<=10
391 entries
<=20
454 entries
<=50
494 entries
>50
15 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)90.5%
High (>55c)9.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 77.8%

Dallas$78,062
Paris$49,107
Seattle$-288,559
Madrid$-294,690
Chicago$-318,700
Houston$-578,464
Other$-38,800,855

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
378

Single bracket

<=1
284 brackets
<=2
352 brackets
<=3
369 brackets
<=4
376 brackets
<=5
378 brackets
<=8
378 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/27/2025, 9:45:11 PM2 trades$181,4251 min
12/27/2025, 9:53:29 PM2 trades$145,4141 min
12/27/2025, 11:11:17 PM1 trades$58,2870 min
12/27/2025, 11:43:07 PM3 trades$241,8751 min
12/30/2025, 12:05:31 AM1 trades$109,5270 min
12/30/2025, 12:10:59 AM1 trades$82,5950 min
12/30/2025, 12:20:45 AM1 trades$6,6000 min
12/30/2025, 12:29:03 AM40 trades$76,6542 min
12/30/2025, 1:03:31 PM1 trades$580 min
12/30/2025, 6:45:41 PM14 trades$215,5719 min
12/30/2025, 7:01:51 PM1 trades$3190 min
12/30/2025, 7:10:01 PM3 trades$26,2543 min
12/30/2025, 7:18:21 PM3 trades$150,7942 min
12/31/2025, 1:33:23 AM31 trades$247,12524 min
12/31/2025, 8:04:59 PM2 trades$16,2314 min
12/31/2025, 8:14:49 PM1 trades$294,5850 min
12/31/2025, 8:21:21 PM1 trades$1,4930 min
1/3/2026, 2:57:15 AM6 trades$316,2492 min
1/3/2026, 5:05:09 PM24 trades$232,9309 min
1/4/2026, 2:40:07 AM1 trades$313,1110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-27
01-20
02-23
03-22
04-11
05-07
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event