Polydata

@xiaoaojiang

#177,63815

0x519556f235d1f76572211b03862f54ca178644eb

~24d· 568 markets · 18245 tradesVol: $50,2062026-07-31 13:12:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (17/140)0/20
0.67x (win $394 / loss $591)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9310/15
Sortino -3.9900/10
$-0.0270 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 483 (140 markets)10/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($276 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+190
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#9,135$170Vol: $26,565
🏛️ POLITICS#137,215$19Vol: $11,960
🎭 CULTURE#714,666$-17Vol: $4,555
💰 FINANCE#38,449$22Vol: $4,285
💻 TECH#229,615$-13Vol: $1,180
🌤️ WEATHER#37,130$3Vol: $485
SPORTS#378,152$3Vol: $380
CRYPTO#802,709$-0Vol: $110

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,206
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
568
total markets
Trades
8942B / 9303S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $570
Week
$23
Vol: $13,930
Month
$190
Vol: $50,206
All Time
$190
Vol: $50,206

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
12%
17W / 123L events
Realized PnL
$190
Win Rate
12%
17W / 123L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $252 (1.3219199663900851% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?$122
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$95
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$25
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$24
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?$21
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?$15
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?$12
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$12
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?$8

Top Losers

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$-183
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$-155
Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?$-24
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?$-17
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 84%-85%?$-16
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?$-16
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor <83%?$-14
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?$-14
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 86%+?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.197
Sortino
-0.139
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.168
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
701.7
Very active
Markets / Day
21.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.6m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
205.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
72% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock702 trades/day — automation22 markets/day — mass coverage49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.8%
Mid (20-55c)16.5%
High (>55c)9.7%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 5:43:13 PM1278 trades$1,81115 min
7/18/2026, 9:50:49 PM452 trades$8285 min
7/27/2026, 3:14:01 PM1083 trades$73711 min
7/23/2026, 10:29:48 AM524 trades$7177 min
7/11/2026, 8:18:11 PM529 trades$61830 min
7/28/2026, 9:11:07 PM396 trades$6167 min
7/27/2026, 11:46:19 AM672 trades$4476 min
7/23/2026, 1:03:37 PM282 trades$3193 min
7/11/2026, 7:26:02 PM161 trades$24915 min
7/15/2026, 10:14:19 PM182 trades$2481 min
7/23/2026, 1:52:49 PM211 trades$2252 min
7/13/2026, 10:31:40 PM184 trades$2071 min
7/18/2026, 10:40:21 PM90 trades$1961 min
7/26/2026, 8:45:54 AM172 trades$1922 min
7/11/2026, 7:43:17 AM108 trades$18210 min
7/25/2026, 4:05:45 AM66 trades$1812 min
7/15/2026, 1:24:01 PM171 trades$1714 min
7/20/2026, 11:12:10 PM130 trades$1701 min
7/11/2026, 4:11:08 AM125 trades$1692 min
7/22/2026, 6:21:40 PM204 trades$1662 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-06
07-09
07-11
07-14
07-22
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.8 / M16.5 / H9.7