Polydata

@discretionary

#54,71977

0x5c9784bf224923c3bdba9823c1b922786d43fa05

~46d· 80 markets · 603 tradesVol: $168,5522026-07-31 17:08:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (54/67)20/20
1.48x (win $34,058 / loss $22,954)8.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.40315/15
Sortino 1.76510/10
$+0.1273 per $1 invested6.4/10
HHI 1024 (67 markets)7.4/10
26/33 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 168% of peak ($20,922 / $12,454)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+1,865
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$87,240 invested
Consistent
26/33 profitable days
High Roller
$1,179/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#8,132$5,783Vol: $115,780
🏛️ POLITICS#1,510,292$-94Vol: $30,135
📢 MENTIONS#175,882$-2,523Vol: $7,953
🎭 CULTURE#812,213$-1,609Vol: $6,141
💻 TECH#4,440$168Vol: $4,919
📈 ECONOMICS#11,279$119Vol: $1,581
💰 FINANCE#561,194$-8Vol: $952
🌤️ WEATHER#8,245$76Vol: $800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,872
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$168,552
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
328B / 275S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-12
Vol: $493
Week
$70
Vol: $7,079
Month
$-2,386
Vol: $50,169
All Time
$1,872
Vol: $168,552

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
54W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$1,865
Win Rate
81%
54W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.48x
Avg Win
$631
Avg Loss
$-2,087

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27,086 (14.526601164873593% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$11,055
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$8,100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$7,931
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1,770
Will Ao Tanaka be in Japan's Starting 11?$692
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$643
Will Kaishu Sano be in Japan's Starting 11?$623
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$195
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?$189
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$177

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-20,922
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?$-508
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$-321
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-309
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$-232
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$-180
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-159
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-123
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$-98
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-74

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.072
Sortino
0.040
HHI
816
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.138
Kelly %
34.1%
Half-Kelly
17.1%
Top-1 market
18%
Top-5 markets
55.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1132s — normal for humanCV 3.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)28.7%
High (>55c)69.2%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 5:43:09 PM5 trades$11,3210 min
6/19/2026, 11:47:32 PM11 trades$11,1640 min
6/14/2026, 7:22:30 PM2 trades$11,1100 min
6/19/2026, 9:47:14 PM2 trades$8,6210 min
6/20/2026, 6:18:47 PM2 trades$7,7000 min
6/9/2026, 2:21:36 AM23 trades$6,8377 min
6/26/2026, 7:37:23 PM2 trades$5,9500 min
7/23/2026, 9:48:39 AM13 trades$5,9400 min
6/23/2026, 6:49:22 AM2 trades$5,9000 min
6/13/2026, 12:34:54 AM2 trades$5,3190 min
6/12/2026, 8:08:48 AM2 trades$5,2080 min
6/20/2026, 11:21:46 PM5 trades$5,1590 min
7/19/2026, 8:24:00 PM14 trades$3,5274 min
7/28/2026, 11:47:56 AM4 trades$3,2530 min
6/26/2026, 9:22:10 PM10 trades$1,5492 min
6/23/2026, 2:40:56 AM2 trades$1,5020 min
6/22/2026, 2:47:23 AM2 trades$1,1160 min
7/18/2026, 11:03:37 PM1 trades$1,0800 min
6/16/2026, 10:25:40 AM9 trades$9747 min
6/14/2026, 2:48:25 AM11 trades$8172 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-20
05-31
06-10
06-17
06-22
07-08
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M28.7 / H69.2