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@0x662E8B1d8b5cCEFFf22E8799306aE4f4110a4B20-1773318981383

#19,38173

0x662e8b1d8b5ccefff22e8799306ae4f4110a4b20

116d· 153 markets · 1110 tradesVol: $85,4132026-06-29T20:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 63%17/20
Profit Factor 1.97x15/15
Sharpe 0.2384/15
Sortino 0.2292/10
EV $+1.20810/10
HHI 17310/10
Profit Days 65%9/10
DD/Peak 38%6/10

Summary

Trader 0x662E8B1d8b5cCEFFf22E8799306aE4f4110a4B20-1773318981383 is moderately active on Polymarket, with 1,110 trades across 153 markets over 104 days. Holding a net profit of $6,529.54 and ranking #19,381 globally on the PnL leaderboard, their overall performance shows a very good Smart Score of 73/100. Despite a substantial total volume of $85,413, the trader's portfolio value currently stands at $480.86, with a low Sharpe Ratio of 0.24 and no prolonged drawdown periods.

This trader demonstrates a clear preference for weather-related markets, which make up 96% of their activity. Their trading style appears to be contrarian and methodical, given badges like Contrarian and DCA Master, with a high win rate of 87.4% and a profit factor of 7.85 suggesting effective risk management. The sell percentage is relatively low at 20%, indicating a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently cashing out. The bot score suggests a likely human trader using a fast interface, implying active engagement but not automated trading.

Strengths for 0x662E8B1d8b5cCEFFf22E8799306aE4f4110a4B20-1773318981383 include strong profitability metrics, consistency, and niche expertise in weather markets on Polymarket. However, the declining equity trend and relatively low portfolio value compared to total volume may indicate recent losses or capital erosion. Additionally, the low Sharpe Ratio points to modest risk-adjusted returns, which could be a concern if volatility increases.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+6,530
Contrarian
61% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 5.8 entries/market
Weather Pro
96% weather
Hedger
avg 2.2 brackets/event
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Consistent
37/57 days

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#248$6,769Vol: $84,913
SPORTS#1,626,352$-147Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,530
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,413
Total Redeem
$29,638
Portfolio
$481
Predictions
153
total markets
Trades
893B / 217S
Daily Volume
$341
Account Age
116d
since Mar 12, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-206
Vol: $1,425
Week
$-206
Vol: $2,905
Month
$2,235
Vol: $26,715
All Time
$6,530
Vol: $85,413

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
38W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$8,521
Win Rate
87%
104W / 15L
Profit Factor
7.85x
Avg Win
$110
Avg Loss
$-98

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,052 (20.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$770
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on Ma$652
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?$630
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on Ap$450
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9?$427
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?$394
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?$391
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$332
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on Ma$331
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?$302

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?$-244
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on Ap$-206
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?$-206
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?$-173
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 24?$-127
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?$-106
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on Ap$-93
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?$-71
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on Ju$-68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$-59

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.238
Sortino
0.229
HHI
173
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.208
Kelly %
72.7%
Half-Kelly
36.4%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — typical for humanSize CV 2.44 — diverse, typical for human40% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness11 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.8
Active DCA
<=1
53 entries
<=2
75 entries
<=5
106 entries
<=10
125 entries
<=20
144 entries
<=50
153 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)45.5%
High (>55c)33.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 39.7%

Hong Kong$10,027
Other$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.2
Events covered
71

Moderate coverage

<=1
25 brackets
<=2
44 brackets
<=3
62 brackets
<=4
71 brackets
<=5
71 brackets
<=8
71 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/17/2026, 11:14:51 PM4 trades$55 min
3/17/2026, 11:28:03 PM3 trades$23 min
3/17/2026, 11:40:43 PM1 trades$10 min
3/17/2026, 11:46:35 PM2 trades$43 min
3/18/2026, 12:00:19 AM7 trades$71 min
3/18/2026, 2:04:45 AM3 trades$680 min
3/18/2026, 2:29:17 AM1 trades$120 min
3/18/2026, 2:57:49 AM1 trades$60 min
3/18/2026, 6:08:03 AM6 trades$885 min
3/18/2026, 6:59:53 AM4 trades$152 min
3/18/2026, 7:37:15 AM1 trades$140 min
3/18/2026, 8:08:45 AM2 trades$130 min
3/18/2026, 9:01:01 AM3 trades$95 min
3/18/2026, 9:18:57 AM2 trades$94 min
3/18/2026, 9:45:37 AM1 trades$10 min
3/18/2026, 11:39:11 AM4 trades$107 min
3/18/2026, 11:55:57 AM1 trades$90 min
3/18/2026, 12:05:17 PM1 trades$60 min
3/18/2026, 12:17:55 PM1 trades$80 min
3/18/2026, 12:23:19 PM3 trades$98 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-19
03-30
04-20
05-01
05-13
06-01
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.2 br/event