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@0x662E8B1d8b5cCEFFf22E8799306aE4f4110a4B20-1773318981383

#29,94666

0x662e8b1d8b5ccefff22e8799306ae4f4110a4b20

67d· 98 markets · 748 tradesVol: $51,6422026-05-15T11:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 63%16/20
Profit Factor 1.80x12/15
Sharpe 0.2154/15
Sortino 0.1822/10
EV $+0.71310/10
HHI 30610/10
Profit Days 69%10/10
DD/Peak 62%2/10

Summary

0x662E8B1d8b5cCEFFf22E8799306aE4f4110a4B20-1773318981383 is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 748 trades across 98 markets over 58 days. Their net PnL stands at $3,393.44, placing them at rank #29,946 on the global leaderboard. The trader maintains a portfolio value of $2,455.80 and has demonstrated consistent profitability with a win rate of 85.3% and a profit factor of 6.10.

This trader predominantly focuses on weather markets, accounting for 94% of their trading volume, suggesting a niche specialization. Their trading style seems calculated and risk-conscious, reflected in a low sell percentage of 20% and a disciplined approach to Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA). The timing pattern indicates a preference for quick, precise entries as highlighted by the "Sniper" badge, coupled with contrarian moves that may exploit market inefficiencies.

The strengths of 0x662E8B1d8b5cCEFFf22E8799306aE4f4110a4B20-1773318981383 include a strong win rate and upward equity trend, supported by a good Smart Score of 66. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.21 and a Bot Score of 35 suggest potential volatility and a human-driven trading pattern that might lack systematic consistency. Their heavy concentration in weather markets also poses sector-specific risks.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+3,393
Contrarian
65% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 6.1 entries/market
Weather Pro
94% weather
Hedger
avg 2.3 brackets/event
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
Consistent
27/39 days

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#399$3,632Vol: $51,142
SPORTS#1,508,362$-147Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,393
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,642
Total Redeem
$13,102
Portfolio
$2,456
Predictions
98
total markets
Trades
598B / 150S
Daily Volume
$341
Account Age
67d
since Mar 12, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$960
Vol: $125
Week
$1,096
Vol: $10,552
Month
$3,062
Vol: $16,592
All Time
$3,393
Vol: $51,642

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
65%
28W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$5,714
Win Rate
85%
58W / 10L
Profit Factor
6.1x
Avg Win
$114
Avg Loss
$-109

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,052 (37% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$770
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on Ma$652
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?$630
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on Ap$450
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?$394
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on Ma$331
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?$302
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on Ma$184
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?$181
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 27?$174

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?$-244
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on Ap$-206
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?$-206
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 24?$-127
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on Ap$-93
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?$-71
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$-59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?$-46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 21?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.215
Sortino
0.182
HHI
306
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.713
Kelly %
70.5%
Half-Kelly
35.3%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
30.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — typical for humanSize CV 2.12 — diverse, typical for human36% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness13 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.1
Active DCA
<=1
31 entries
<=2
44 entries
<=5
64 entries
<=10
78 entries
<=20
93 entries
<=50
98 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.9%
Mid (20-55c)44.5%
High (>55c)33.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 44%

Hong Kong$5,542
Other$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.3
Events covered
43

Moderate coverage

<=1
12 brackets
<=2
25 brackets
<=3
37 brackets
<=4
43 brackets
<=5
43 brackets
<=8
43 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/17/2026, 11:14:51 PM4 trades$55 min
3/17/2026, 11:28:03 PM3 trades$23 min
3/17/2026, 11:40:43 PM1 trades$10 min
3/17/2026, 11:46:35 PM2 trades$43 min
3/18/2026, 12:00:19 AM7 trades$71 min
3/18/2026, 2:04:45 AM3 trades$680 min
3/18/2026, 2:29:17 AM1 trades$120 min
3/18/2026, 2:57:49 AM1 trades$60 min
3/18/2026, 6:08:03 AM6 trades$885 min
3/18/2026, 6:59:53 AM4 trades$152 min
3/18/2026, 7:37:15 AM1 trades$140 min
3/18/2026, 8:08:45 AM2 trades$130 min
3/18/2026, 9:01:01 AM3 trades$95 min
3/18/2026, 9:18:57 AM2 trades$94 min
3/18/2026, 9:45:37 AM1 trades$10 min
3/18/2026, 11:39:11 AM4 trades$107 min
3/18/2026, 11:55:57 AM1 trades$90 min
3/18/2026, 12:05:17 PM1 trades$60 min
3/18/2026, 12:17:55 PM1 trades$80 min
3/18/2026, 12:23:19 PM3 trades$98 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-19
03-25
04-08
04-20
04-28
05-04
05-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
93.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.3 br/event