@Ethan.F

#3,065,61721

0x772b24772ea63fed7e8aa2d7684d2d5355231840

~30d· 82 markets · 269 tradesVol: $748,9852026-08-01 13:36:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (42/82)10.6/20
0.72x (win $14,949 / loss $20,802)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7400/15
Sortino -1.8340/10
$-0.1789 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1765 (82 markets)3.7/10
17/29 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 208% of peak ($11,295 / $5,442)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,880,398$-38,826Vol: $728,273
📈 ECONOMICS#1,042$5,046Vol: $20,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-33,455
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$748,985
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
112B / 157S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$4,422
Vol: $136,731
Week
$-32,959
Vol: $715,501
Month
$4,422
Vol: $136,731
All Time
$-33,455
Vol: $748,985

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
51%
42W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-33,955
Win Rate
51%
42W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$356
Avg Loss
$-578

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,388 (0.3059315734478684% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5,046
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$4,889
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$453
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$294
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner$253
Spread: Japan (-1.5)$244
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$208
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$205
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$188
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$176

Top Losers

San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas$-11,295
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-4,000
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)$-1,200
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5$-326
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?$-303
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-25?$-280
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-224
France to score first vs. Spain?$-220
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-220
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.089
Sortino
-0.063
HHI
2482
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.179
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.7%
Top-5 markets
77.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4535s — normal for humanCV 3.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.28
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)38.4%
High (>55c)55.4%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 6:23:05 PM5 trades$11,1110 min
7/28/2026, 12:42:32 PM1 trades$8,6630 min
7/28/2026, 10:31:43 PM1 trades$6,2910 min
7/29/2026, 1:07:59 AM8 trades$4,4440 min
7/30/2026, 7:41:48 PM11 trades$3,4880 min
7/28/2026, 10:43:05 PM11 trades$3,1200 min
7/29/2026, 2:02:45 AM3 trades$1,2330 min
7/30/2026, 6:16:30 PM6 trades$9500 min
7/26/2026, 11:19:30 AM6 trades$5823 min
7/3/2026, 8:22:31 PM2 trades$5260 min
7/4/2026, 10:12:02 PM2 trades$5070 min
6/24/2026, 8:59:13 PM6 trades$4482 min
7/25/2026, 11:38:18 AM2 trades$4170 min
6/20/2026, 10:56:28 PM6 trades$4004 min
6/28/2026, 1:35:41 AM6 trades$4002 min
6/20/2026, 12:40:55 AM5 trades$3920 min
6/20/2026, 1:35:02 AM2 trades$3920 min
6/22/2026, 4:51:28 PM4 trades$3761 min
7/6/2026, 8:35:26 PM3 trades$3710 min
7/15/2026, 6:18:56 PM2 trades$3120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-19
06-23
06-27
07-04
07-14
07-25
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M38.4 / H55.4