Polydata

@Gigantic-Apology

#2,39580

0x8320b90db15e5b777e5a023b5ba3cfa214d4904e

97d· 7269 markets · 5403 tradesVol: $9,005,0262026-07-20T16:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%4/20
Profit Factor 3.10x15/15
Sharpe 0.61812/15
Sortino 1.38310/10
EV $+2.48510/10
HHI 5910/10
Profit Days 71%10/10
DD/Peak 4%10/10

Summary

Gigantic-Apology is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2395 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 98 days, they have executed 5,403 trades across 766 markets, generating a net PnL of $76,803.21 on a total volume exceeding $9 million. Their portfolio value remains stable around $2,660, reflecting a consistent approach rather than aggressive growth or decline.

This trader favors a diversified strategy, engaging in a broad range of markets without a specific focus on weather-related events. With a high win rate of 81.1% and a profit factor of 1.74, Gigantic-Apology appears to balance risk well, supported by a Smart Score of 80 indicating a very good trading skill. They exhibit a moderate sell percentage of 28%, suggesting a mix of holding and timely exits. The Sharpe ratio of 0.62 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, while their bot score of 55 hints at a semi-automated trading style blending manual and algorithmic decisions.

Gigantic-Apology’s strengths lie in their consistency, high win rate, and effective risk management, which contribute to their reputation as a profitable and reliable trader on Polymarket. However, the flat equity trend and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside volatility, and the semi-bot approach may expose them to execution risks if not carefully monitored. Overall, their disciplined style and stable results make them a noteworthy participant in the Polymarket ecosystem.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+76,803
DCA Master
avg 5.1 entries/market
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
Whale
$270,626
Consistent
69/97 days
High Roller
$2,761/day
Cool Head
DD 4%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#508$71,713Vol: $8,981,026
🏛️ POLITICS#6,187$5,090Vol: $24,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$76,803
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,005,026
Total Redeem
$153,596
Portfolio
$2,661
Predictions
7269
total markets
Trades
3886B / 1517S
Daily Volume
$2,761
Account Age
97d
since Apr 14, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-3,531
Vol: $115,217
Week
$-3,531
Vol: $138,120
Month
$4,960
Vol: $1,612,402
All Time
$76,803
Vol: $9,005,026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
37%
273W / 471L events
Realized PnL
$204,135
Win Rate
81%
215W / 50L
Profit Factor
1.74x
Avg Win
$96
Avg Loss
$-236

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,911 (44.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2PM ET$1,571
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET$1,343
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4AM ET$996
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9AM ET$863
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1PM ET$831
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10PM ET$785
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$732
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$613
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 17?$612
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4PM ET$576

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$-1,912
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3AM ET$-1,209
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$-957
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-896
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-728
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9AM ET$-603
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$-549
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$-544
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-405
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2PM ET$-374

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.618
Sortino
1.383
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.485
Kelly %
51.7%
Half-Kelly
25.9%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
8.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
55.8
Very active
Markets / Day
7.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
28.3m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 1.80 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.28 — human randomness56 trades/day — mass trading758 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.1
Active DCA
<=1
284 entries
<=2
402 entries
<=5
562 entries
<=10
675 entries
<=20
737 entries
<=50
764 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.8%
Mid (20-55c)34.3%
High (>55c)47.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.4%

Other$7,704
Up or Down$1,089

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
761

Single bracket

<=1
757 brackets
<=2
761 brackets
<=3
761 brackets
<=4
761 brackets
<=5
761 brackets
<=8
761 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/14/2026, 7:00:08 PM7 trades$3111 min
4/14/2026, 7:57:14 PM1 trades$40 min
4/14/2026, 8:05:02 PM1 trades$20 min
4/14/2026, 9:00:26 PM2 trades$585 min
4/14/2026, 9:25:22 PM2 trades$400 min
4/14/2026, 9:45:20 PM1 trades$50 min
4/14/2026, 9:50:30 PM1 trades$510 min
4/14/2026, 10:54:04 PM1 trades$30 min
4/15/2026, 2:40:20 AM2 trades$503 min
4/15/2026, 3:16:32 AM1 trades$290 min
4/15/2026, 3:37:16 AM1 trades$30 min
4/15/2026, 3:47:36 AM1 trades$360 min
4/15/2026, 4:49:58 AM1 trades$40 min
4/15/2026, 7:45:10 AM13 trades$3046 min
4/15/2026, 8:00:18 AM1 trades$400 min
4/15/2026, 8:07:22 AM5 trades$528 min
4/15/2026, 8:53:34 AM2 trades$280 min
4/15/2026, 11:30:58 AM1 trades$560 min
4/15/2026, 5:45:12 PM1 trades$60 min
4/15/2026, 10:00:08 PM6 trades$1075 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-14
05-01
05-18
06-03
06-19
07-05
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event