Polydata

@0x738

#2,943,06051

0x8533670e13aa38a421dafc3d05ebbac9fd667c76

~75d· 212 markets · 1445 tradesVol: $103,3802026-07-31 13:23:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (50/133)3.8/20
1.26x (win $3,844 / loss $3,052)5.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.57915/15
Sortino 4.00610/10
$+0.0342 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 268 (133 markets)10/10
30/63 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($716 / $833)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#13,809$28Vol: $25,136
SPORTS#1,741,276$-209Vol: $19,086
🏛️ POLITICS#1,568,419$-234Vol: $17,345
💰 FINANCE#641,110$-211Vol: $11,668
💻 TECH#251,463$-188Vol: $10,578
🎭 CULTURE#788,639$-146Vol: $7,404
📈 ECONOMICS#662,045$-126Vol: $4,869
CRYPTO#1,317,329$-30Vol: $2,977
📢 MENTIONS#122,177$-7Vol: $90

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,205
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103,380
Total Redeem
$200
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
212
total markets
Trades
790B / 655S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $1,041
Week
$-149
Vol: $7,759
Month
$-971
Vol: $54,907
All Time
$-1,205
Vol: $103,380

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
38%
50W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-1,205
Win Rate
38%
50W / 83L
Profit Factor
1.26x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,871 (1.5525431324221375% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$794
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?$558
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$518
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?$388
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$280
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$266
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in June?$234
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$178
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$125
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 27?$102

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-589
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-279
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-251
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?$-107
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-87
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-86
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-79
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$-68
Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-61
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.082
Sortino
0.191
HHI
233
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
23%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 159s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.32
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.9%
High (>55c)62.5%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 7:05:15 AM8 trades$1,3330 min
5/13/2026, 11:04:23 AM16 trades$1,2542 min
4/26/2026, 9:20:10 PM50 trades$1,0380 min
3/30/2026, 6:37:28 AM2 trades$1,0051 min
4/25/2026, 11:47:24 AM10 trades$9990 min
5/7/2026, 7:50:26 AM11 trades$9990 min
5/12/2026, 10:58:53 AM10 trades$9990 min
5/14/2026, 7:04:55 AM10 trades$9990 min
5/14/2026, 12:04:19 PM10 trades$9990 min
4/30/2026, 10:52:26 PM10 trades$9670 min
5/3/2026, 9:36:08 PM8 trades$7990 min
5/28/2026, 6:25:11 AM11 trades$7990 min
5/11/2026, 8:55:32 AM7 trades$6070 min
5/9/2026, 12:06:44 PM6 trades$5990 min
4/25/2026, 9:20:14 PM11 trades$5460 min
7/25/2026, 9:21:34 AM6 trades$4160 min
7/7/2026, 5:38:22 AM4 trades$3970 min
7/7/2026, 4:02:52 PM6 trades$3814 min
5/11/2026, 11:10:01 AM4 trades$3010 min
7/15/2026, 3:27:43 AM5 trades$2910 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-03-30 12:00:00
2026-05-01 12:00:00
2026-06-15 00:00:00
2026-06-25 00:00:00
2026-07-12 00:00:00
2026-07-24 23:59:00
2027-06-30 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.6 / M12.9 / H62.5