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@0x8bc3adbbfafbeaf13aeeb0ca8847c8e9

#36164

0x5248313731287b61d714ab9df655442d6ed28aa2

269d· 9541 markets · 67833 tradesVol: $62,500,5612026-06-25T00:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 47%9/20
Profit Factor 0.34x0/15
Sharpe 1.28315/15
Sortino 36.70810/10
HHI 3510/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 0x8bc3adbbfafbeaf13aeeb0ca8847c8e9 ranks #361 on Polymarket’s global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $485,895.33. Over 34 active days, they executed 67,833 trades across 1,615 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $62 million. Their portfolio currently holds no open positions, and their Sharpe ratio stands at 1.28, indicating a moderate risk-adjusted return.

This trader demonstrates a high-frequency trading style with a strong focus on short-term opportunities, as evidenced by the large number of trades and zero max drawdown duration. Their win rate is relatively low at 17%, and the profit factor of 0.34 suggests they accept frequent losses but rely on a few big wins to maintain profitability. The absence of weather market exposure and a sell percentage of zero imply a buy-and-hold or long-only approach. The “SEMI-BOT” bot score of 65 indicates a hybrid strategy combining automated and manual trading.

Key strengths of 0x8bc3adbbfafbeaf13aeeb0ca8847c8e9 include consistent profitability and an upward equity trend, supported by badges like “Profitable” and “Diamond Hands.” However, their low win rate and profit factor point to a high-risk approach that could lead to volatility. The contrarian and lottery player badges suggest a willingness to take unconventional bets, which may yield large payoffs but also increases exposure to unpredictable outcomes.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+485,895
Lottery Player
49% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
85% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$908,476
Consistent
32/35 days
High Roller
$26,487/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#39$485,895Vol: $62,500,561

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$485,895
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,500,561
Total Redeem
$529,553
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9541
total markets
Trades
67833B / 0S
Daily Volume
$26,487
Account Age
269d
since Oct 21, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
252W / 282L events
Realized PnL
$2,327,670
Win Rate
17%
199W / 972L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$547
Avg Loss
$-334

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$8,714
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6,452
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 6PM ET$6,250
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5,678
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 5PM ET$5,136
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$4,628
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2PM ET$4,216
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3,837
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3,496
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$3,190

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$-4,456
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$-4,409
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$-3,811
Solana Up or Down - November 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$-3,618
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-2,722
Solana Up or Down - November 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-2,680
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$-2,643
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$-2,580
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-2,560
Solana Up or Down - December 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-2,456

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.283
Sortino
36.708
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.289
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1977.7
Very active
Markets / Day
47.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
64% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 2.53 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.46 — human randomness1978 trades/day — automation47 markets/day — mass coverage534 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
42
Heavy DCA
<=1
32 entries
<=2
58 entries
<=5
126 entries
<=10
256 entries
<=20
561 entries
<=50
1172 entries
>50
443 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.1%
Mid (20-55c)39.7%
High (>55c)11.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 36.6%

Other$-215,801

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1615

Single bracket

<=1
1615 brackets
<=2
1615 brackets
<=3
1615 brackets
<=4
1615 brackets
<=5
1615 brackets
<=8
1615 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/2/2025, 4:38:23 PM1 trades$40 min
11/3/2025, 10:11:43 AM30 trades$861 min
11/3/2025, 11:58:55 AM1 trades$10 min
11/3/2025, 12:08:17 PM8 trades$1164 min
11/3/2025, 1:00:21 PM4 trades$2900 min
11/3/2025, 1:20:07 PM5 trades$1324 min
11/3/2025, 1:41:37 PM7 trades$162 min
11/3/2025, 1:52:03 PM4 trades$60 min
11/3/2025, 2:17:03 PM1 trades$60 min
11/3/2025, 2:23:53 PM24 trades$1056 min
11/3/2025, 2:47:39 PM1 trades$10 min
11/3/2025, 2:54:41 PM35 trades$43815 min
11/3/2025, 3:23:37 PM29 trades$503 min
11/3/2025, 4:01:21 PM37 trades$8441 min
11/3/2025, 4:46:47 PM80 trades$4141 min
11/3/2025, 5:01:17 PM34 trades$3341 min
11/3/2025, 5:14:57 PM13 trades$4282 min
11/3/2025, 5:43:39 PM1 trades$20 min
11/3/2025, 5:52:03 PM5 trades$190 min
11/3/2025, 5:58:23 PM8 trades$1601 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
11-07
11-12
11-17
11-22
11-27
12-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 42/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event