Polydata

@0x8d2D7BAe900cC62bBAC531f900dBf58a6F8c5517-1779036172957

#2,94780

0x8d2d7bae900cc62bbac531f900dbf58a6f8c5517

12d· 259 markets · 7424 tradesVol: $927,3832026-05-29T17:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 3.56x15/15
Sharpe 0.71213/15
Sortino 9.97410/10
HHI 18610/10
Profit Days 67%9/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Trader 0x8d2D7BAe900cC62bBAC531f900dBf58a6F8c5517-1779036172957 is moderately active on Polymarket, with 7,424 trades executed over 12 days and participation across 241 markets. They hold a global PnL rank of #2947, with a net profit of $50,047.50 and a total trading volume nearing $927,383. The trader’s Smart Score is a strong 80/100, reflecting very good overall performance, while their portfolio value currently stands at zero, suggesting recent full liquidation or withdrawal.

This trader exhibits a semi-automated trading style, as indicated by a Bot Score of 65/100, blending algorithmic and manual decision-making. Their win rate is relatively low at 19.8%, and profit factor is 0.19, implying that while many trades may not be winners, they potentially capitalize on larger payoffs or contrarian opportunities. They do not engage in weather markets and have a low sell percentage of 18%, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.71 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, consistent with a contrarian and high roller approach.

Key strengths for 0x8d2D7BAe900cC62bBAC531f900dBf58a6F8c5517-1779036172957 include their ability to generate significant profits in a short timeframe and maintain stability with minimal drawdown duration. However, the low win rate and profit factor hint at a higher risk profile, potentially exposing them to volatile swings. Their semi-bot strategy may offer efficiency advantages but also carries risks if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, the trader’s performance on Polymarket reflects disciplined risk management paired with aggressive, contrarian positioning.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+50,048
Contrarian
93% entries <$0.50
Whale
$292,119
Consistent
8/12 days
High Roller
$24,343/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#677$50,048Vol: $927,383

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$50,048
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$927,383
Total Redeem
$62,389
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
259
total markets
Trades
6100B / 1324S
Daily Volume
$24,343
Account Age
12d
since May 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$720
Vol: $7,993
Week
$2,561
Vol: $272,510
Month
$50,048
Vol: $927,383
All Time
$50,048
Vol: $927,383

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
55%
130W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$120,845
Win Rate
20%
47W / 191L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$795
Avg Loss
$-1,021

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$4,552
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$4,372
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$3,920
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$3,204
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2,918
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2,563
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$2,023
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1,610
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1,164
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$899

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$-11,187
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$-8,275
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$-7,605
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$-7,483
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$-6,340
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$-6,234
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$-5,586
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$-5,224
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$-5,124
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$-4,282

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.712
Sortino
9.974
HHI
186
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.554
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
22.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
636.1
Very active
Markets / Day
20.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.5m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
47% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 5.93 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.54 — human randomness636 trades/day — automation21 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
16 entries
<=2
40 entries
<=5
74 entries
<=10
96 entries
<=20
128 entries
<=50
206 entries
>50
35 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.2%
Mid (20-55c)71.2%
High (>55c)5.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.3%

Other$-157,645

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
241

Single bracket

<=1
241 brackets
<=2
241 brackets
<=3
241 brackets
<=4
241 brackets
<=5
241 brackets
<=8
241 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/17/2026, 6:57:24 PM104 trades$4547 min
5/17/2026, 7:13:26 PM3 trades$2581 min
5/17/2026, 7:22:44 PM71 trades$6837 min
5/17/2026, 7:43:41 PM25 trades$220 min
5/17/2026, 7:48:58 PM105 trades$61911 min
5/17/2026, 8:12:51 PM22 trades$2295 min
5/17/2026, 8:30:52 PM64 trades$2152 min
5/17/2026, 8:38:29 PM6 trades$210 min
5/17/2026, 8:44:05 PM18 trades$1260 min
5/17/2026, 9:23:22 PM41 trades$351 min
5/17/2026, 9:34:43 PM37 trades$4312 min
5/17/2026, 9:43:16 PM13 trades$761 min
5/17/2026, 9:49:32 PM1 trades$2070 min
5/17/2026, 9:55:54 PM55 trades$1,0727 min
5/17/2026, 10:14:20 PM13 trades$1940 min
5/17/2026, 10:21:51 PM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 10:29:28 PM41 trades$9434 min
5/18/2026, 4:52:13 AM38 trades$3552 min
5/18/2026, 5:38:11 AM32 trades$4,6627 min
5/18/2026, 7:17:19 AM212 trades$4,80311 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-17
05-19
05-21
05-24
05-26
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event