Polydata

@Profitable-Recorder

#2,69138

0x92a6294cd55b9c6ccd57efaffc365ad943118b84

184d· 1776 markets · 5344 tradesVol: $13,228,8562026-07-18T18:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 0.31x0/15
HHI 9110/10
Profit Days 62%8/10

Summary

Profitable-Recorder is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 5,344 trades across 717 markets over the span of one year. With a net PnL of $66,245.29 and a global rank of #2691, they demonstrate consistent engagement but remain mid-tier in overall profitability. Despite a high win rate of 79.2%, their Smart Score of 38/100 and Sharpe Ratio of -0.22 indicate below-average risk-adjusted returns and some volatility in their performance.

This trader appears to favor a high-volume, diversified approach, spreading activity across many markets without a specific preference for weather-related bets. Their low sell percentage of 6% and badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master suggest a tendency toward holding positions and dollar-cost averaging, indicating a moderate to low risk tolerance. The downward equity trend and negative profit factor of 0.31 imply that Profitable-Recorder may struggle with timing or exit strategies despite frequent wins.

Profitable-Recorder’s strengths include a strong win rate and steady participation on Polymarket, leveraging a strategy that prioritizes patience and accumulation. However, the declining equity trend and negative Sharpe Ratio highlight risks related to managing drawdowns and portfolio volatility. Their performance might benefit from refined risk controls or more selective market entries to improve long-term profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+66,245
Diamond Hands
6% sell
DCA Master
avg 7.0 entries/market
Win Streak
156 wins in a row
Whale
$7,454,853
Consistent
56/90 days
High Roller
$20,424/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#797$63,236Vol: $9,104,112
📢 MENTIONS#732$1,998Vol: $1,304,935
🎭 CULTURE#950$8,429Vol: $755,830
SPORTS#1,858,715$-22,505Vol: $740,081
💰 FINANCE#4,005$1,031Vol: $492,864
💻 TECH#2,650$374Vol: $246,256
🌤️ WEATHER#2,546$488Vol: $156,074
CRYPTO#34,617$762Vol: $72,553
📈 ECONOMICS#2,266$1,426Vol: $62,818

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$66,245
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,228,856
Total Redeem
$4,496,393
Portfolio
$63,345
Predictions
1776
total markets
Trades
5023B / 321S
Daily Volume
$20,424
Account Age
184d
since Jan 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-555
Vol: $46,810
Week
$-488
Vol: $234,363
Month
$-9,600
Vol: $1,187,792
All Time
$66,245
Vol: $13,228,856

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
153W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$217,824
Win Rate
79%
564W / 148L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$1,557
Avg Loss
$-19,444

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$185,809
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conf$139,911
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$91,525
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?$85,395
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$44,862
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$41,962
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$40,025
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25,193
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$21,410
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy $12,221

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-127,824
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Semifinals i$-126,599
Sweeny vs. Wu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$-105,198
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-101,862
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30$-98,878
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$-94,969
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$-94,524
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$-78,991
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States oc$-77,853
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-77,671

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.225
Sortino
-0.162
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.271
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
13.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
30.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — typical for humanSize CV 4.41 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness29 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7
Active DCA
<=1
304 entries
<=2
424 entries
<=5
540 entries
<=10
606 entries
<=20
663 entries
<=50
702 entries
>50
15 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)98.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55.3%

Hong Kong$34
Shanghai$10
London$2
New York City$0
Lebanon$-4,367
Gaza$-32,378
Seoul$-38,143
Other$-1,924,815

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.3
Events covered
307

Moderate coverage

<=1
189 brackets
<=2
243 brackets
<=3
265 brackets
<=4
276 brackets
<=5
280 brackets
<=8
291 brackets
>8
16 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 4:03:42 PM5 trades$6184 min
1/17/2026, 4:15:58 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 4:21:20 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 4:29:06 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 4:37:24 PM4 trades$271 min
1/18/2026, 12:22:28 AM3 trades$1115 min
1/19/2026, 7:12:40 AM13 trades$1,72111 min
1/19/2026, 7:35:14 AM1 trades$1440 min
1/19/2026, 7:44:56 AM3 trades$522 min
1/21/2026, 4:49:02 PM16 trades$1,1735 min
1/21/2026, 5:15:02 PM1 trades$430 min
1/21/2026, 5:55:06 PM5 trades$4301 min
1/21/2026, 8:37:18 PM1 trades$2030 min
1/21/2026, 9:26:08 PM1 trades$700 min
1/21/2026, 9:46:00 PM1 trades$780 min
1/22/2026, 4:36:38 PM1 trades$1,7980 min
1/22/2026, 4:47:56 PM1 trades$4800 min
1/22/2026, 5:38:50 PM1 trades$2210 min
1/23/2026, 8:57:30 AM10 trades$3,0996 min
1/23/2026, 9:09:54 AM3 trades$2,2542 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-01
05-09
05-27
06-16
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.3% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.3 br/event