@mrmuller
#2,908,292750x975dfcf6d2d8268f563c693fc748ae58876f01be
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (41/83)9.7/20
2.62x (win $1,339 / loss $510)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.32115/15
Sortino 13.46610/10
$+0.0288 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 286 (83 markets)10/10
27/55 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($215 / $871)9.1/10
Badges
6Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 39.2 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#199,988$6Vol: $551,042
💰 FINANCE#654,128$-924Vol: $169,831
📈 ECONOMICS#629,715$-22Vol: $35,590
₿ CRYPTO#271,978$6Vol: $10,682
🎭 CULTURE#41,680$28Vol: $5,860
🌤️ WEATHER#21,605$11Vol: $5,052
⚽ SPORTS#329,264$5Vol: $250
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-886
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$778,347
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
263
total markets
Trades
6445B / 2635S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~227d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $448
Week
$4
Vol: $9,807
Month
$1
Vol: $448
All Time
$-886
Vol: $778,347
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
49%
41W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-886
Win Rate
49%
41W / 42L
Profit Factor
2.62x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-12
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $878 (0.9916441774596041% of PnL)
Top Winners
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?$382
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?$272
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$224
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$80
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$69
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?$35
Will there be no coalition by October 31?$24
Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$22
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?$21
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$17
Top Losers
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-127
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?$-59
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-42
US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?$-26
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-26
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$-25
Sudan civil war ceasefire in 2025?$-21
Will Extended launch a token by March 31 2026?$-19
Will Trump end NASA in 2025?$-18
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?$-17
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.120
Sortino
0.577
HHI
1
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.527
Kelly %
21.5%
Half-Kelly
10.7%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
1.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
32.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.0m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
41.3
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 195s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
39.22
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)59.1%
Mid (20-55c)12.6%
High (>55c)28.3%
Sessions
#127/9/2026, 9:37:43 PM70 trades$99823 min
7/23/2026, 8:01:45 PM48 trades$86322 min
7/17/2026, 8:46:51 PM81 trades$83725 min
7/15/2026, 8:06:47 PM73 trades$83123 min
7/18/2026, 9:00:13 PM70 trades$81122 min
7/7/2026, 1:02:38 PM60 trades$74518 min
6/17/2026, 9:23:14 AM77 trades$72518 min
7/14/2026, 9:14:40 PM61 trades$67416 min
7/11/2026, 10:47:40 AM63 trades$66618 min
7/1/2026, 2:38:53 PM42 trades$66112 min
7/12/2026, 8:58:58 PM72 trades$65025 min
7/23/2026, 7:13:57 AM40 trades$65020 min
7/16/2026, 9:01:31 PM56 trades$64321 min
7/10/2026, 8:04:13 PM64 trades$63626 min
7/21/2026, 7:20:39 PM37 trades$62614 min
6/17/2026, 9:04:37 PM72 trades$6176 min
7/10/2026, 8:11:02 AM47 trades$61326 min
7/18/2026, 7:16:04 AM38 trades$59416 min
7/8/2026, 8:24:40 AM51 trades$58021 min
7/13/2026, 4:33:20 PM53 trades$55418 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-05
12-26
01-14
02-17
03-16
06-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 65 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 39.22/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.1 / M12.6 / H28.3