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0x9982F8D01f0b1A746d4e9b50Bd-c8c5C5Ff268a5

@0x9982F8D01f0b1A746d4e9b50Bd-c8c5C5Ff268a5

#9148

0x7ee1b64be7016b0b0234ab6cabcaa689fd18dae8

304d· 65 markets · 1728 tradesVol: $23,095,7572026-05-15T23:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 56%13/20
Profit Factor 1.23x5/15
Sharpe 0.1643/15
Sortino 0.4164/10
EV $+0.1276/10
HHI 30110/10
Profit Days 56%6/10
DD/Peak 122%0/10

Summary

The trader known as 0x9982F8D01f0b1A746d4e9b50Bd-c8c5C5Ff268a5 is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, having executed 1,728 trades across 65 markets over 8 days. With a net profit of approximately $1.19 million, they currently hold the #91 position on the global PnL leaderboard. Their overall trading volume exceeds $23 million, reflecting significant market engagement in a short period. The trader's equity trend is upward, supported by a 56.9% win rate and a profit factor of 1.25.

This trader’s style appears to favor a contrarian and disciplined approach, as indicated by badges such as Contrarian and DCA Master. Their zero sell percentage suggests a strong buy-and-hold or averaging strategy, consistent with their Diamond Hands badge. Risk-wise, 0x9982F8D01f0b1A746d4e9b50Bd-c8c5C5Ff268a5 maintains a low Sharpe ratio of 0.16 and a short max drawdown duration, implying limited exposure to prolonged losses. The absence of weather market trades shows a focus on other event types. Their semi-automated trading style (Bot Score 40/100) indicates a blend of manual and algorithmic decision-making.

Strengths for this Polymarket trader include a solid net profit in a brief timeframe and a consistent upward equity trend, highlighting effective risk management and timing. Potential risks arise from the relatively average Sharpe ratio and moderate Smart Score of 48/100, suggesting room for improvement in volatility-adjusted returns and trade selection. Additionally, the zero sell rate may expose them to downside if market conditions shift abruptly. Overall, 0x9982F8D01f0b1A746d4e9b50Bd-c8c5C5Ff

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+1,189,929
Contrarian
77% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 26.5 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$10,155,907
High Roller
$1,269,488/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#52$1,189,929Vol: $23,095,757

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,189,929
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,095,757
Total Redeem
$11,441,519
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
1724B / 4S
Daily Volume
$1,269,488
Account Age
304d
since Jul 21, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
57%
37W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$1,189,929
Win Rate
57%
37W / 28L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$171,798
Avg Loss
$-180,910

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,513,075 (117.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Red Sox vs. Phillies$524,433
Rockies vs. Guardians$501,649
Royals vs. Cubs$486,993
Phillies vs. White Sox$446,323
Padres vs. Marlins$388,367
Nationals vs. Astros$373,322
Rangers vs. Angels$363,039
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates$346,424
Dodgers vs. Red Sox$282,038
Nationals vs. Twins$273,344

Top Losers

Orioles vs. Guardians$-522,306
Athletics vs. Astros$-483,576
Dodgers vs. Red Sox$-447,197
Orioles vs. Guardians$-427,845
Padres vs. Marlins$-407,556
Nationals vs. Twins$-382,787
Phillies vs. Yankees$-371,507
Braves vs. Royals$-369,025
Padres vs. Cardinals$-295,848
Giants vs. Braves$-254,942

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.164
Sortino
0.416
HHI
301
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.127
Kelly %
22.4%
Half-Kelly
11.2%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
23.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
240.1
Very active
Markets / Day
9.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 3.58 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?12/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.17 — human randomness240 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
2 entries
<=2
5 entries
<=5
12 entries
<=10
25 entries
<=20
37 entries
<=50
57 entries
>50
8 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)90.1%
High (>55c)9.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Other$1,291,047

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
65

Single bracket

<=1
65 brackets
<=2
65 brackets
<=3
65 brackets
<=4
65 brackets
<=5
65 brackets
<=8
65 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/21/2025, 9:18:43 PM48 trades$201,68028 min
7/21/2025, 9:52:37 PM133 trades$458,00852 min
7/21/2025, 11:04:53 PM141 trades$445,33212 min
7/21/2025, 11:37:10 PM4 trades$3484 min
7/21/2025, 11:47:36 PM28 trades$218,49217 min
7/22/2025, 1:18:49 AM1 trades$10 min
7/22/2025, 1:24:15 AM15 trades$3,27519 min
7/22/2025, 1:57:09 AM20 trades$148,13413 min
7/22/2025, 10:00:16 PM6 trades$14,3686 min
7/22/2025, 10:12:24 PM64 trades$990,85633 min
7/22/2025, 11:06:39 PM12 trades$38,43616 min
7/22/2025, 11:28:05 PM5 trades$1,1065 min
7/22/2025, 11:43:47 PM1 trades$1590 min
7/22/2025, 11:58:01 PM10 trades$208,0867 min
7/23/2025, 12:52:19 AM1 trades$7,6800 min
7/23/2025, 1:01:27 AM13 trades$12,57021 min
7/23/2025, 1:35:01 AM7 trades$1,3584 min
7/23/2025, 3:47:29 PM1 trades$8,3630 min
7/23/2025, 3:58:57 PM1 trades$30 min
7/23/2025, 4:04:53 PM37 trades$165,60110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-28
07-29
07-30
07-31
08-01
08-02
08-03
08-04
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event