@tobedualc
#2,666,306180x9ecbcdfb2203d37d5b9797df162b1ab376b04c3a
~79d· 118 markets · 2138 tradesVol: $46,0642026-07-31 16:46:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (47/101)8.3/20
0.37x (win $1,308 / loss $3,548)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6660/15
Sortino -4.7690/10
$-0.3230 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1593 (101 markets)4.5/10
25/48 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 1178% of peak ($2,563 / $218)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 19.4 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8💻 TECH#252,912$-263Vol: $22,041
🎭 CULTURE#31,638$47Vol: $6,233
💰 FINANCE#43,526$17Vol: $6,142
📈 ECONOMICS#28,055$21Vol: $4,582
🏛️ POLITICS#104,767$36Vol: $4,249
⚽ SPORTS#1,487,087$-24Vol: $2,140
🌤️ WEATHER#36,665$3Vol: $501
₿ CRYPTO#513,928$0Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-165
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,064
Total Redeem
$16
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
878B / 1260S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-163
Vol: $30,462
All Time
$-165
Vol: $46,064
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
47%
47W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$-165
Win Rate
47%
47W / 54L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-72
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $610 (3.7051671732522795% of PnL)
Top Winners
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$371
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$133
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$106
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$93
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$92
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$65
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$40
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$39
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$31
Top Losers
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-441
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?$-419
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$-418
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?$-409
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-259
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-240
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026$-229
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?$-173
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?$-117
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-110
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.242
Sortino
-0.199
HHI
232
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.356
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
25.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.5
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1144s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
19.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.8%
Mid (20-55c)17.1%
High (>55c)58.1%
Sessions
#127/12/2026, 5:45:10 AM656 trades$7,0000 min
7/9/2026, 6:24:22 AM10 trades$1,1940 min
7/11/2026, 10:48:56 PM11 trades$4941 min
6/30/2026, 9:37:05 AM40 trades$4384 min
7/8/2026, 5:23:10 PM5 trades$2794 min
6/27/2026, 6:23:13 AM5 trades$2580 min
7/2/2026, 7:43:16 AM2 trades$2540 min
6/29/2026, 2:39:26 AM9 trades$2317 min
7/9/2026, 11:20:19 AM4 trades$1783 min
7/6/2026, 11:10:47 AM2 trades$1680 min
6/30/2026, 3:11:58 PM14 trades$1579 min
6/26/2026, 10:00:17 PM2 trades$1500 min
7/12/2026, 12:39:58 AM4 trades$1440 min
6/30/2026, 5:32:28 PM21 trades$1415 min
6/28/2026, 2:08:08 AM6 trades$1395 min
6/29/2026, 5:48:17 PM2 trades$1350 min
6/28/2026, 6:01:14 PM3 trades$1330 min
6/28/2026, 4:51:11 PM9 trades$1323 min
5/2/2026, 7:06:46 AM2 trades$1300 min
6/27/2026, 5:42:49 AM8 trades$1263 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
05-02
05-29
06-19
06-29
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.8 / M17.1 / H58.1