Polydata

@0xA2cd4CcdA9A1f95949DF7A3355C4c2DAa0642Ba0-1729178570395

#3,029,11331

0xa2cd4ccda9a1f95949df7a3355c4c2daa0642ba0

639d· 19 markets · 2013 tradesVol: $21,651,3292026-07-16T18:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 67%18/20
Profit Factor 0.55x0/15
HHI 18823/10
Profit Days 78%10/10
DD/Peak 824%0/10

Summary

The trader 0xA2cd4CcdA9A1f95949DF7A3355C4c2DAa0642Ba0-1729178570395 is moderately active on Polymarket, having executed over 2,000 trades across 19 markets in 254 days. Despite a high win rate of 92.9%, their net PnL stands at a significant loss of $376,014, placing them at rank #3,029,113 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value remains substantial at approximately $1.35 million, with a total traded volume exceeding $21.6 million.

This trader favors a low-risk, high-frequency style, as indicated by a very low sell percentage (1%) and a top badge for dollar-cost averaging mastery. The combination of a high win rate but a profit factor below 0.5 and a negative Sharpe ratio suggests many small winning trades but occasional large losses. The equity trend is upward, implying steady portfolio growth despite the overall net loss. Their approach appears semi-automated, blending manual and bot-driven trades.

0xA2cd4CcdA9f95949DF7A3355C4c2DAa0642Ba0's strengths lie in consistent small wins and disciplined market participation. However, the large negative PnL and below-average smart score highlight the risk of substantial drawdowns or inefficient risk management. Their low sell rate and semi-bot trading style may limit flexibility in volatile conditions, potentially exposing them to prolonged adverse market moves on Polymarket.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 67%
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 105.2 entries/market
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$18,071,354
Consistent
7/9 days
High Roller
$71,147/day

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,400$-729,199Vol: $8,263,717
🎭 CULTURE#50$112,909Vol: $6,774,073
₿ CRYPTO#327$100,422Vol: $6,084,030
⚽ SPORTS#598$140,500Vol: $500,000
💰 FINANCE#642,424$-767Vol: $20,500
💻 TECH#5,284$120Vol: $9,009

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-376,014
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,651,329
Total Redeem
$16,167,620
Portfolio
$1,350,086
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
1998B / 15S
Daily Volume
$71,147
Account Age
639d
since Oct 17, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-22
Vol: $0
Week
$261
Vol: $350,000
Month
$161,706
Vol: $500,000
All Time
$-376,014
Vol: $21,651,329

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
11W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$355,322
Win Rate
93%
13W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$28,732
Avg Loss
$-823,662

Top Winners

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card$140,500
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$100,187
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$89,088
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$27,421
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$6,510
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5,195
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$3,819
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$556
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Clau$103
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$62

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-823,662

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.141
Sortino
-0.072
HHI
1882
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.181
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.5%
Top-5 markets
85.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.2m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 81s — typical for humanSize CV 9.19 — diverse, typical for human34% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.20 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
105.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
5 entries
<=2
9 entries
<=5
10 entries
<=10
10 entries
<=20
10 entries
<=50
12 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)9.8%
High (>55c)86.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.8%

Los Angeles$89,088
Other$-539,231

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
16

Single bracket

<=1
14 brackets
<=2
15 brackets
<=3
16 brackets
<=4
16 brackets
<=5
16 brackets
<=8
16 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 9:13:00 PM1 trades$300,0000 min
4/30/2026, 9:54:42 PM31 trades$1,550,3567 min
4/30/2026, 10:10:20 PM40 trades$327,11034 min
4/30/2026, 10:52:00 PM1 trades$3,3230 min
4/30/2026, 11:00:30 PM48 trades$4,052,86741 min
5/1/2026, 12:00:22 AM1 trades$2,7320 min
5/8/2026, 1:11:45 PM3 trades$19,7561 min
5/8/2026, 1:39:29 PM2 trades$5,2860 min
5/8/2026, 1:45:10 PM29 trades$93,2479 min
5/8/2026, 11:14:10 PM5 trades$225,2841 min
5/10/2026, 12:51:21 AM2 trades$1,2140 min
5/10/2026, 5:40:31 PM1 trades$20,3010 min
5/12/2026, 11:59:46 AM13 trades$10,3987 min
5/12/2026, 12:21:59 PM1 trades$660 min
5/12/2026, 12:29:27 PM2 trades$2162 min
5/15/2026, 10:47:24 PM11 trades$32,9601 min
5/15/2026, 11:09:20 PM1 trades$6,6190 min
5/15/2026, 11:45:07 PM1 trades$1150 min
5/15/2026, 11:53:10 PM1 trades$3040 min
5/16/2026, 12:02:09 AM5 trades$1,1077 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
05-15
05-31
06-02
06-15
06-30
07-01
07-12
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 105.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event