Polydata

@0xA3cB435B86702608C4617129A8b2fbA85Eb72526-1773176564617

#2,669,35930

0xa3cb435b86702608c4617129a8b2fba85eb72526

69d· 6221 markets · 7324 tradesVol: $861,1162026-05-19T01:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.55x0/15
HHI 5610/10
Profit Days 21%0/10
DD/Peak 6486%0/10

Summary

The trader 0xA3cB435B86702608C4617129A8b2fbA85Eb72526-1773176564617 is moderately active on Polymarket, having conducted 7,324 trades across 383 markets over 64 days. Despite this high activity and a total volume of $861,116, their overall performance ranks low at #2,669,359 globally, with a net loss of $2,044.70 and a below-average Smart Score of 30/100. The portfolio currently holds no value, and the Sharpe Ratio of -0.23 indicates negative risk-adjusted returns.

This trader tends to engage in a broad range of markets without specializing in weather-related events, as indicated by 0% exposure. The very low sell percentage of 1% suggests a buy-and-hold approach or limited profit-taking, while the semi-automated bot score of 60/100 implies a mix of manual and algorithm-driven decisions. The win rate of 37.1% and profit factor of 0.55 point to a high-risk profile that struggles to generate consistent profits. Their trading style appears to be more frequent and volume-driven rather than timing-focused for optimal exits.

0xA3cB435B86702608C4617129A8b2fbA85Eb72526-1773176564617’s strengths lie in their high trade volume and an upward equity trend, suggesting persistence and an ability to maintain engagement over time. However, their negative PnL, low win rate, and poor risk-adjusted returns highlight significant challenges in achieving profitability on Polymarket. The minimal sell activity and reliance on a semi-bot strategy may contribute to missed opportunities for cutting losses or locking in gains.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
82 wins in a row
Whale
$80,140
High Roller
$1,255/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,506,751$-3,790Vol: $793,660
SPORTS#22,261$1,745Vol: $67,456

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,045
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$861,116
Total Redeem
$37,117
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6221
total markets
Trades
7268B / 56S
Daily Volume
$1,255
Account Age
69d
since Mar 10, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-2,437
Vol: $29,029
Month
$-1,052
Vol: $196,693
All Time
$-2,045
Vol: $861,116

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
249W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$47,419
Win Rate
37%
111W / 188L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$211
Avg Loss
$-225

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1,047
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$977
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$974
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$963
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$946
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$911
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$889
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$783
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$755
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$601

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-1,054
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-928
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-831
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-786
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-737
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$-704
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-658
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-649
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$-609
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$-603

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.227
Sortino
-0.333
HHI
56
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.269
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
114.7
Very active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.4m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
42% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 1.81 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.53 — human randomness115 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19
Heavy DCA
<=1
46 entries
<=2
70 entries
<=5
114 entries
<=10
169 entries
<=20
243 entries
<=50
361 entries
>50
22 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)44.3%
High (>55c)50.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 73.5%

Madrid$911
Miami$710
Other$-20,444

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
383

Single bracket

<=1
383 brackets
<=2
383 brackets
<=3
383 brackets
<=4
383 brackets
<=5
383 brackets
<=8
383 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/15/2026, 6:11:13 PM3 trades$910 min
3/15/2026, 6:24:43 PM1 trades$3820 min
3/15/2026, 11:37:37 PM15 trades$8082 min
3/16/2026, 1:13:31 AM6 trades$3170 min
3/16/2026, 3:42:35 AM4 trades$3120 min
3/16/2026, 4:24:23 AM14 trades$3540 min
3/16/2026, 12:33:49 PM59 trades$8694 min
3/16/2026, 1:39:13 PM9 trades$1070 min
3/16/2026, 2:08:05 PM16 trades$4770 min
3/16/2026, 2:13:41 PM16 trades$5001 min
3/16/2026, 2:58:51 PM3 trades$2370 min
3/16/2026, 3:52:37 PM22 trades$7371 min
3/16/2026, 4:44:23 PM3 trades$4820 min
3/16/2026, 5:19:01 PM1 trades$5800 min
3/16/2026, 5:37:35 PM20 trades$7861 min
3/16/2026, 6:12:37 PM30 trades$1,0542 min
3/17/2026, 2:25:01 AM1 trades$930 min
3/17/2026, 3:08:39 AM1 trades$950 min
3/17/2026, 4:00:45 AM1 trades$3810 min
3/17/2026, 2:04:45 PM11 trades$3040 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
03-22
04-05
04-22
04-29
05-10
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event