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@0xB29304109238401

#1,25987

0x97e1e8027dd31b5db1467bb870c4bc0d1637ae74

306d· 251 markets · 1812 tradesVol: $463,9822026-06-30T21:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 84%20/20
Profit Factor 71.44x15/15
Sharpe 0.2364/15
Sortino 3.52810/10
EV $+1041.44710/10
HHI 9258/10
Profit Days 88%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Trader 0xB29304109238401 ranks #1259 on Polymarket’s global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $144,208.34 and a total trading volume of $463,982 across 1,812 trades. They have been active for 486 days, participating in 248 different markets. Their win rate is exceptionally high at 97.3%, supported by a profit factor of 95.75, indicating consistent profitability. Despite this, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their Sharpe ratio is modest at 0.24.

0xB29304109238401 prefers a low-risk, high-frequency trading style, reflected in a minimal sell percentage of 4% and a zero-day max drawdown duration. Their trading approach focuses on steady gains rather than large directional bets, as evidenced by a flat equity trend and badges like "Sniper" and "DCA Master." This trader avoids weather markets entirely and demonstrates disciplined timing, likely capitalizing on short-term opportunities rather than long-term holds.

The main strength of 0xB29304109238401 lies in their exceptional win rate and profit factor, suggesting a reliable and systematic strategy on Polymarket. However, the low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend may indicate limited upside potential or capital constraints. Additionally, the low bot score confirms human-driven decisions, which can be both an advantage in adaptability and a risk if emotional biases arise. Overall, they exhibit consistency but may face challenges scaling their portfolio further.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+144,208
Diamond Hands
4% sell
DCA Master
avg 7.0 entries/market
Win Streak
138 wins in a row
Whale
$189,944
Consistent
70/80 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#465$110,259Vol: $330,914
📢 MENTIONS#139$14,033Vol: $90,585
CRYPTO#2,335$18,484Vol: $30,853
🎭 CULTURE#4,627$1,101Vol: $8,541
💰 FINANCE#8,800$333Vol: $3,080
📈 ECONOMICS#470,731$-1Vol: $6
SPORTS#935,056$-1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$144,208
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$463,982
Total Redeem
$360,811
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
251
total markets
Trades
1742B / 70S
Daily Volume
$391
Account Age
306d
since Sep 1, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
94W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$144,347
Win Rate
97%
216W / 6L
Profit Factor
95.75x
Avg Win
$846
Avg Loss
$-318

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $114,673 (63.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$60,893
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$31,226
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$22,554
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$18,485
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?$16,131
Will Trump say "Young people don't die" this week? (September 15-$2,808
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends $2,553
Will Joe Biden say "Trump" during his appearance at the Ben Nelso$2,235
Will Jensen Huang say "Grok" during NVIDIA keynote?$2,162
Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Seas$2,151

Top Losers

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$-1,617
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$-289
Will Bernie Sanders say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 16+ times $-1
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-1
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$-0
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.236
Sortino
3.528
HHI
925
Moderate
EV per $1
$1041.447
Kelly %
96.1%
Half-Kelly
48.0%
Top-1 market
20.6%
Top-5 markets
53.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.4m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastSize CV 4.18 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7
Active DCA
<=1
181 entries
<=2
224 entries
<=5
241 entries
<=10
244 entries
<=20
246 entries
<=50
246 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)42.3%
High (>55c)56.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 99.4%

Other$162,882
Disclosure Bill$16,131
Warsh$1,712

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.1
Events covered
116

Moderate coverage

<=1
57 brackets
<=2
84 brackets
<=3
97 brackets
<=4
107 brackets
<=5
110 brackets
<=8
115 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/1/2025, 10:54:29 PM1 trades$10 min
9/2/2025, 6:22:36 PM2 trades$20 min
9/2/2025, 6:44:22 PM1 trades$1400 min
9/5/2025, 9:30:18 PM1 trades$480 min
9/6/2025, 10:24:02 PM1 trades$1700 min
9/8/2025, 3:01:16 PM6 trades$9239 min
9/8/2025, 3:18:14 PM3 trades$2,5950 min
9/8/2025, 3:28:24 PM1 trades$120 min
9/11/2025, 1:58:53 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
9/11/2025, 9:12:15 PM1 trades$70 min
9/12/2025, 4:08:59 AM1 trades$10 min
9/12/2025, 5:29:45 AM1 trades$10 min
9/12/2025, 12:07:57 PM7 trades$4,0325 min
9/12/2025, 12:31:01 PM5 trades$9067 min
9/12/2025, 12:50:31 PM1 trades$3520 min
9/14/2025, 8:29:54 AM1 trades$10 min
9/14/2025, 8:46:16 AM1 trades$10 min
9/15/2025, 4:15:06 PM1 trades$850 min
9/15/2025, 5:55:52 PM1 trades$3390 min
9/17/2025, 6:37:16 AM3 trades$33 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-28
10-29
11-25
12-17
02-08
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.1 br/event