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@0xPolymarketAnon

#2,973,71210

0xe4f5305ba3cc55013196ad7888e427c06e239663

797d· 109 markets · 4862 tradesVol: $18,689,2062026-07-05T09:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 4%0/20
Profit Factor 0.47x0/15
HHI 57410/10
Profit Days 5%0/10
DD/Peak 258%0/10

Summary

0xPolymarketAnon is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 4,862 trades across 109 markets over 760 days. Despite the high trading volume of nearly $18.7 million, their net profit and loss stands at a significant negative $99,974.20, placing them at rank #2,973,712 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their overall performance metrics, including a win rate of just 3.4% and a profit factor of 0.49, indicate consistent losses throughout their trading history.

The trader’s style appears to be aggressive and contrarian, as suggested by their badges and low sell percentage of 1%, signaling a tendency to hold positions long-term ("Diamond Hands"). They do not focus on weather markets and seem to prefer a broad range of markets, given their participation in 109 different ones. The low Sharpe ratio of -0.17 and negative profit factor suggest a high-risk profile with poor risk-adjusted returns. Their trading frequency and volume indicate quick, frequent trades, but their Bot Score suggests they are likely a human executing fast interface actions.

Key strengths for 0xPolymarketAnon include their ability to sustain an upward equity trend despite losses, implying some resilience or capital inflow. However, the overwhelmingly negative PnL, low win rate, and poor risk metrics highlight substantial risks and inefficiencies in their trading approach. Their contrarian and lottery-player style may expose them to significant downside, which is reflected in their current zero portfolio value.

Badges

4
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Whale
$196,325

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,616,832$-121,411Vol: $17,099,962
🎭 CULTURE#805,163$-27,293Vol: $882,328
📈 ECONOMICS#670,419$-11,820Vol: $521,778
💰 FINANCE#47$62,672Vol: $158,871
CRYPTO#19,004$2,140Vol: $5,322
📢 MENTIONS#161,573$-161Vol: $945

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-99,974
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,689,206
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
4833B / 29S
Daily Volume
$258
Account Age
797d
since May 20, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
3%
2W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-76,912
Win Rate
3%
3W / 86L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$24,277
Avg Loss
$-1,740

Top Winners

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?$55,081
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$15,611
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?$2,140

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominatio$-25,231
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominat$-20,469
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?$-6,171
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?$-6,107
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$-5,800
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-5,034
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$-4,978
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominati$-4,736
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$-4,166
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3,876

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.170
Sortino
-0.245
HHI
574
Moderate
EV per $1
$-4.335
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
41.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.4m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 50s — typical for humanSize CV 5.80 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
44.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
28 entries
<=2
38 entries
<=5
60 entries
<=10
74 entries
<=20
84 entries
<=50
97 entries
>50
12 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 85.7%

Other$-76,842

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.8
Events covered
61

Single bracket

<=1
48 brackets
<=2
54 brackets
<=3
54 brackets
<=4
56 brackets
<=5
56 brackets
<=8
59 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/20/2024, 10:23:09 AM1 trades$2,8900 min
5/20/2024, 10:36:23 AM2 trades$210 min
5/20/2024, 10:50:45 AM4 trades$5002 min
5/20/2024, 11:05:16 AM2 trades$7982 min
5/20/2024, 11:21:21 AM1 trades$40 min
5/20/2024, 11:52:42 AM1 trades$80 min
5/20/2024, 12:09:30 PM2 trades$42 min
5/20/2024, 12:23:46 PM2 trades$11 min
5/20/2024, 12:40:40 PM4 trades$976 min
5/20/2024, 12:51:44 PM4 trades$95 min
5/20/2024, 1:28:54 PM3 trades$3,0926 min
5/20/2024, 1:50:22 PM1 trades$130 min
5/20/2024, 1:58:48 PM5 trades$17 min
5/20/2024, 2:13:44 PM3 trades$14 min
5/20/2024, 2:39:18 PM1 trades$10 min
5/20/2024, 2:44:22 PM3 trades$37 min
5/20/2024, 2:59:04 PM1 trades$160 min
5/20/2024, 3:09:20 PM2 trades$04 min
5/20/2024, 3:47:59 PM1 trades$950 min
5/20/2024, 4:04:31 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
07-20
08-19
09-24
12-31
08-31
03-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.8 br/event