@Kreosan
#34,2291000xa43e62df799e00815f50e68dc31f3a8d7812ec90
~52d· 45 markets · 5329 tradesVol: $477,7902026-07-31 20:37:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
80% (36/45)20/20
3.54x (win $60,772 / loss $17,155)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.70315/15
Sortino 12.94610/10
$+0.2045 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 475 (45 markets)10/10
29/35 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($8,769 / $43,617)10/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+3,420
DCA Master
Avg 118.4 entries/market
Whale
$213,248 invested
Consistent
29/35 profitable days
High Roller
$1,823/day
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🎭 CULTURE#2,053$3,497Vol: $462,698
₿ CRYPTO#1,569,422$-357Vol: $10,839
🏛️ POLITICS#61,038$110Vol: $1,785
💰 FINANCE#13,756$166Vol: $1,496
📈 ECONOMICS#64,321$4Vol: $973
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,420
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$477,790
Total Redeem
$1,242
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
2534B / 2795S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d
Periods
#2Today
$46
Vol: $7,137
Week
$79
Vol: $22,278
Month
$1,386
Vol: $160,151
All Time
$3,420
Vol: $477,790
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
80%
36W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$3,420
Win Rate
80%
36W / 9L
Profit Factor
3.54x
Avg Win
$1,688
Avg Loss
$-1,906
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,022 (6.146082822659868% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$8,375
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$6,465
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$6,182
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$4,890
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$4,211
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$3,526
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3,368
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3,141
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2,631
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$2,430
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-8,763
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-6,441
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-1,187
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$-299
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$-242
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$-217
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$-5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.397
Sortino
0.317
HHI
512
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.204
Kelly %
14.4%
Half-Kelly
7.2%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
38.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
45.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.3m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
35.5
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 69s — normal for humanCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock46 trades/day — high frequency0.4 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
118.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)90.3%
Sessions
#125/14/2026, 7:29:29 PM60 trades$4,33817 min
6/2/2026, 1:02:34 AM44 trades$4,08317 min
6/14/2026, 9:34:01 PM64 trades$4,03744 min
6/22/2026, 8:38:19 PM31 trades$3,91614 min
6/15/2026, 6:45:22 PM52 trades$3,88013 min
6/15/2026, 3:55:37 PM52 trades$3,65616 min
6/2/2026, 1:41:32 AM37 trades$3,60811 min
7/23/2026, 10:22:54 PM67 trades$3,37810 min
5/18/2026, 4:07:01 PM22 trades$3,16317 min
7/24/2026, 7:52:52 AM38 trades$3,14710 min
7/24/2026, 3:30:46 AM50 trades$3,04213 min
6/23/2026, 6:04:22 AM49 trades$3,00512 min
7/13/2026, 6:38:19 PM35 trades$2,86511 min
6/22/2026, 3:57:20 PM36 trades$2,44816 min
7/23/2026, 10:40:00 PM64 trades$2,43624 min
6/15/2026, 4:43:28 PM43 trades$2,41210 min
5/18/2026, 8:27:11 PM32 trades$2,40816 min
7/9/2026, 4:21:46 PM39 trades$2,38610 min
6/30/2026, 6:00:05 AM37 trades$2,35510 min
6/22/2026, 2:54:58 PM36 trades$2,22019 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-28
05-15
06-13
06-22
07-06
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 118.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M7.4 / H90.3