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@0xa5Ed1Fa8CC5bA17DbF9dgS2c40aB8sC9e04fE9

#5,58493

0xae2e04fe9d8ccba5e45ba17ddf9dfbef498c40ad

76d· 525 markets · 3021 tradesVol: $818,1002026-06-30T02:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 67%19/20
Profit Factor 464.33x15/15
Sharpe 0.51610/15
Sortino 2113.38010/10
EV $+2.15110/10
HHI 15610/10
Profit Days 90%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 0xa5Ed1Fa8CC5bA17DbF9dgS2c40aB8sC9e04fE9 is an active participant on Polymarket, ranked #5584 on the global PnL leaderboard. With 3,021 trades across 388 markets and a net profit of $27,157, the trader demonstrates consistent engagement over 252 days. Their Smart Score of 93/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong trading performance despite a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.52 and a stable equity trend.

This trader shows a clear preference for weather-related markets, accounting for 97% of their volume, indicating specialization. Their win rate of 55.6% combined with a high profit factor of 17.21 suggests a strategy focused on selective, high-reward opportunities. The relatively low sell percentage (21%) and the presence of the DCA Master badge imply a measured, dollar-cost averaging approach, while the bot score of 70/100 hints at some degree of automation in their trading style.

Key strengths of 0xa5Ed1Fa8CC5bA17DbF9dgS2c40aB8sC9e04fE9 include disciplined risk management, reflected in zero reported max drawdown duration and strong profitability metrics. However, the flat equity trend and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest limited volatility capture and potential challenges in scaling gains. Their concentrated focus on weather markets could also pose risks if those markets experience sudden shifts or liquidity changes.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+27,157
Lottery Player
81% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
89% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 6.2 entries/market
Weather Pro
97% weather
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Consistent
18/20 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#70$19,850Vol: $761,473
💰 FINANCE#683$7,547Vol: $21,886
📢 MENTIONS#164,940$-330Vol: $16,602
🎭 CULTURE#17,095$135Vol: $14,062
🏛️ POLITICS#1,418,931$-40Vol: $4,069
CRYPTO#1,013,874$-5Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$27,157
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$818,100
Total Redeem
$5,883
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
525
total markets
Trades
2388B / 633S
Daily Volume
$98
Account Age
76d
since Apr 22, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$27,157
Vol: $818,100

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
101W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$42,982
Win Rate
56%
129W / 103L
Profit Factor
17.21x
Avg Win
$306
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,329 (65.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?$17,494
Will Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?$4,675
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of May 11 2026?$2,160
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?$1,890
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10$1,748
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$1,543
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?$879
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of May 11 2026?$713
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?$554
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?$507

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 2?$-296
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 4?$-196
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on May 5$-179
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 2?$-171
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F $-159
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?$-158
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?$-139
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 5?$-132
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 2?$-116
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 5?$-92

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.516
Sortino
inf
HHI
156
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.151
Kelly %
47.8%
Half-Kelly
23.9%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
19.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
105.2
Very active
Markets / Day
13.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.5m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 3.42 — diverse, typical for human40% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness105 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.2
Active DCA
<=1
98 entries
<=2
158 entries
<=5
252 entries
<=10
326 entries
<=20
372 entries
<=50
386 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)80.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 76.3%

Taipei$17,506
Other$7,707
Hong Kong$4,210
Tokyo$1,972
Ankara$1,347
Seoul$1,254
Lagos$678
Madrid$648
Toronto$575
London$511
New York City$490
Shenzhen$347
Shanghai$301
Istanbul$229
Singapore$149
Wellington$63
Atlanta$27
Jakarta$10

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
191

Moderate coverage

<=1
87 brackets
<=2
136 brackets
<=3
164 brackets
<=4
183 brackets
<=5
189 brackets
<=8
191 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 3:00:10 AM23 trades$2518 min
4/23/2026, 3:23:24 AM2 trades$220 min
4/23/2026, 3:32:26 AM1 trades$00 min
4/23/2026, 4:05:36 AM1 trades$00 min
4/23/2026, 4:53:48 AM8 trades$11 min
4/23/2026, 5:57:38 AM1 trades$30 min
5/2/2026, 2:10:46 AM3 trades$20 min
5/2/2026, 3:32:06 AM2 trades$10 min
5/2/2026, 3:38:02 AM4 trades$168 min
5/2/2026, 3:52:20 AM8 trades$718 min
5/2/2026, 4:05:54 AM3 trades$700 min
5/2/2026, 4:29:46 AM9 trades$436 min
5/2/2026, 5:06:48 AM9 trades$618 min
5/2/2026, 5:40:14 AM2 trades$832 min
5/2/2026, 5:48:28 AM4 trades$1165 min
5/2/2026, 6:04:48 AM3 trades$855 min
5/2/2026, 6:14:46 AM1 trades$40 min
5/2/2026, 6:21:06 AM2 trades$404 min
5/2/2026, 6:31:06 AM6 trades$3312 min
5/2/2026, 6:58:18 AM4 trades$440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
05-04
05-07
05-10
05-14
05-17
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event