greyoctober

@greyoctober

#70857

0xc65ca4755436f82d8eb461e65781584b8cadea39

~148d· 981 markets · 23639 tradesVol: $22,535,200 @grittypudding72026-08-01 15:42:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (530/980)12/20
1.07x (win $4,626,432 / loss $4,340,572)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.87315/15
Sortino 1.18910/10
$+0.0277 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 32 (980 markets)10/10
75/144 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 130% of peak ($535,059 / $411,610)0/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+286,943
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
0% sells
DCA Master
Avg 24.1 entries/market
Whale
$10,304,966 invested
High Roller
$43,665/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,880,229$-34,453Vol: $14,196,089

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$286,943
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,535,200
Total Redeem
$488,337
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
981
total markets
Trades
23593B / 46S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~148d

Periods

#2
Today
$11,623
Vol: $46,623
Week
$19,382
Vol: $154,485
Month
$11,623
Vol: $46,623
All Time
$286,943
Vol: $22,535,200

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
529W / 449L events
Realized PnL
$286,943
Win Rate
54%
529W / 449L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$8,729
Avg Loss
$-9,646

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $193,111 (0.6729929550087794% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets$70,016
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)$64,649
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$58,446
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)$57,640
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage$54,708
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)$48,307
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)$47,673
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 164.5$40,800
Bills vs. Jaguars$38,610
Senators vs. Penguins$37,600

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$-101,736
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks$-84,500
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs$-82,733
Islanders vs. Oilers$-81,435
Wild vs. Bruins$-70,720
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$-66,044
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers$-62,433
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$-51,961
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 157.5$-50,740
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner$-49,433

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.045
Sortino
0.054
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
100.2
Very active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.8m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
28 min
Avg Trades / Session
77.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 6.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock100 trades/day — automation4.2 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.09
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)56.1%
High (>55c)42.3%

Sessions

#12
1/22/2026, 10:54:00 PM4 trades$121,27013 min
3/30/2026, 5:32:59 PM1 trades$107,8000 min
1/20/2026, 11:38:22 PM3 trades$98,0623 min
3/31/2026, 12:22:41 PM1 trades$85,5750 min
1/9/2026, 2:09:26 PM584 trades$85,243291 min
3/30/2026, 12:18:34 PM1 trades$84,5000 min
1/15/2026, 4:22:54 PM7 trades$81,4356 min
3/4/2026, 12:45:53 PM63 trades$79,47545 min
1/7/2026, 7:48:39 PM96 trades$77,02442 min
12/31/2025, 9:53:09 PM2 trades$74,0772 min
1/18/2026, 4:41:52 PM52 trades$73,85818 min
1/21/2026, 11:52:18 PM18 trades$70,80320 min
5/1/2026, 1:20:18 PM2 trades$68,7960 min
1/24/2026, 5:43:36 PM96 trades$68,329100 min
3/29/2026, 12:54:00 PM1 trades$65,0000 min
3/27/2026, 2:51:33 PM1 trades$63,0000 min
2/2/2026, 11:56:12 PM29 trades$62,39915 min
1/22/2026, 2:45:52 PM142 trades$62,31788 min
1/31/2026, 5:25:20 PM19 trades$61,99426 min
3/18/2026, 6:22:23 PM50 trades$59,6001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
01-10
02-03
03-02
03-26
05-05
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M56.1 / H42.3