Polydata

@weatherman12

#7162

0xd1c537b2a7cba8d365e111bffb9de7b205e2cbd0

~16d· 36 markets · 12932 tradesVol: $46,149,7162026-07-31 12:21:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (18/36)10/20
1.18x (win $16,398,597 / loss $13,852,104)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.32415/15
Sortino 1.79410/10
$+0.1175 per $1 invested5.9/10
HHI 526 (36 markets)9.9/10
13/24 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 209% of peak ($7,264,355 / $3,477,886)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+2,098,409
Contrarian
73% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 359.2 entries/market
Whale
$21,676,150 invested
High Roller
$361,269/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#47$2,098,431Vol: $46,149,598
🎭 CULTURE#729,540$-22Vol: $118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,098,409
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,149,716
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
8399B / 4533S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Month
$1,822,553
Vol: $7,586,861
All Time
$2,098,409
Vol: $46,149,716

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
18W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$2,098,409
Win Rate
50%
18W / 18L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$911,033
Avg Loss
$-769,561

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,254,841 (2.9807536716375327% of PnL)

Top Winners

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$3,204,636
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$1,683,813
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?$1,366,392
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5$1,343,633
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$1,329,236
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?$1,095,974
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$990,867
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$848,840
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?$842,629
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$718,522

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-3,394,394
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$-2,086,926
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$-2,079,479
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-1,247,136
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$-886,462
Spread: Norway (-2.5)$-770,978
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$-712,366
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-663,185
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$-620,068
Spread: France (-1.5)$-312,947

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.068
Sortino
0.088
HHI
516
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.117
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
40.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
215.5
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
258.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
61% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 8.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule216 trades/day — automation0.6 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
359.22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)69.8%
High (>55c)27.1%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 11:38:34 PM601 trades$4,435,7345 min
6/25/2026, 10:30:50 PM2373 trades$3,170,48329 min
6/26/2026, 1:16:20 AM1205 trades$2,293,36344 min
6/16/2026, 6:23:44 PM2632 trades$2,175,38836 min
5/13/2026, 6:38:29 PM245 trades$2,071,62321 min
6/19/2026, 12:54:20 AM192 trades$1,708,6546 min
5/19/2026, 6:42:17 PM291 trades$1,604,99014 min
6/23/2026, 8:55:19 PM96 trades$1,554,1597 min
6/15/2026, 3:17:19 PM86 trades$1,473,7097 min
5/24/2026, 2:58:56 PM120 trades$1,307,8611 min
5/23/2026, 6:54:08 PM206 trades$1,073,8966 min
6/17/2026, 12:50:34 AM171 trades$950,5111 min
6/15/2026, 1:50:49 AM537 trades$903,6899 min
6/23/2026, 9:34:46 PM248 trades$828,2493 min
7/11/2026, 9:53:20 PM372 trades$812,1746 min
7/9/2026, 6:21:40 PM37 trades$784,1810 min
7/10/2026, 7:45:59 PM555 trades$774,2868 min
6/14/2026, 10:43:49 PM92 trades$717,7911 min
6/14/2026, 11:01:31 PM311 trades$579,5152 min
6/16/2026, 10:57:14 PM10 trades$562,3942 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-03-21 15:00:00
2026-05-17 19:00:00
2026-05-24 15:00:00
2026-06-15 16:00:00
2026-06-17 01:00:00
2026-06-26 02:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 359.22/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.1 / M69.8 / H27.1