Polydata

@kingofcoinflips

#222100

0xe9c6312464b52aa3eff13d822b003282075995c9

335d· 3713 markets · 20714 tradesVol: $45,840,4492026-07-21T08:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 75%20/20
Profit Factor 20.30x15/15
Sharpe 0.90915/15
Sortino 1.74010/10
EV $+19.46410/10
HHI 11610/10
Profit Days 88%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

kingofcoinflips is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #222 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $837,522.93. Over 336 days, they have executed 20,714 trades across 292 markets, accumulating a total volume of $45.8 million. Despite the large volume, their portfolio value remains stable at around $19,000, reflecting consistent but cautious equity management. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.91 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of kingofcoinflips appears to be focused on high-frequency activity with a low win rate of 24.7%, suggesting they engage in many small, potentially speculative bets rather than relying on high-probability trades. Their profit factor of 0.01 is unusually low, implying that wins may be small or infrequent, balanced by a high volume of trades. The absence of weather market exposure and a sell percentage of zero indicate a preference for holding positions rather than frequent selling, which aligns with their "Diamond Hands" badge and semi-bot trading approach.

kingofcoinflips’ key strengths include a high Smart Score of 100/100 and a stable equity trend with no prolonged drawdowns, demonstrating disciplined risk management and resilience. However, the low win rate and profit factor might raise concerns about the sustainability of their strategy, as it relies heavily on volume rather than consistent profitability per trade. The mix of bot and manual trading could also introduce variability in execution quality. Overall, kingofcoinflips is a seasoned trader leveraging volume and endurance on Polymarket but may face risks if market conditions shift.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+837,523
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$3,992,501
Consistent
189/216 days
High Roller
$11,882/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#19$765,580Vol: $45,440,687
SPORTS#1,034$71,943Vol: $399,762

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$837,523
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,840,449
Total Redeem
$340,868
Portfolio
$19,066
Predictions
3713
total markets
Trades
20714B / 0S
Daily Volume
$11,882
Account Age
335d
since Aug 19, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$965
Vol: $24,624
Week
$1,334
Vol: $159,842
Month
$-20,145
Vol: $1,477,807
All Time
$837,523
Vol: $45,840,449

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
77%
273W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$2,549,556
Win Rate
25%
39W / 119L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$1,076
Avg Loss
$-25,403

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down on July 18?$7,365
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?$6,838
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 20?$4,938
Ethereum Up or Down on July 15?$4,103
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$2,549
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$2,059
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20?$1,759
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?$1,426
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12?$1,419
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$1,043

Top Losers

Warriors vs. Knicks$-176,000
Warriors vs. Hawks$-151,818
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?$-76,229
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?$-74,098
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?$-70,488
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24?$-62,687
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 10?$-62,194
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9?$-60,345
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$-58,754
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?$-57,465

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.908
Sortino
1.740
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$19.464
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
13.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
105.5
Very active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.3m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — typical for humanSize CV 7.88 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.15 — human randomness105 trades/day — automation407 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
70.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
21 entries
<=2
30 entries
<=5
60 entries
<=10
97 entries
<=20
125 entries
<=50
174 entries
>50
118 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.2%
Mid (20-55c)31.3%
High (>55c)48.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 63.7%

Up or Down$-435,789
Other$-2,545,185

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
241

Single bracket

<=1
194 brackets
<=2
237 brackets
<=3
241 brackets
<=4
241 brackets
<=5
241 brackets
<=8
241 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/6/2026, 12:36:49 AM1 trades$00 min
1/6/2026, 1:20:27 AM1 trades$00 min
1/6/2026, 2:07:05 AM1 trades$00 min
1/6/2026, 7:58:25 AM1 trades$00 min
1/8/2026, 7:26:21 AM1 trades$50 min
1/8/2026, 7:31:46 PM1 trades$500 min
1/8/2026, 8:16:44 PM1 trades$40 min
1/9/2026, 1:29:14 AM2 trades$151 min
1/9/2026, 3:48:28 AM1 trades$120 min
1/9/2026, 4:04:44 AM1 trades$10 min
1/9/2026, 11:18:32 AM1 trades$10 min
1/9/2026, 1:25:04 PM1 trades$90 min
1/9/2026, 2:38:14 PM1 trades$80 min
1/9/2026, 7:59:40 PM1 trades$90 min
1/10/2026, 6:54:04 AM1 trades$80 min
1/10/2026, 11:54:06 AM1 trades$90 min
1/10/2026, 2:19:40 PM1 trades$90 min
1/10/2026, 3:39:36 PM1 trades$450 min
1/10/2026, 6:39:06 PM1 trades$20 min
1/11/2026, 1:01:52 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-25
10-22
12-08
02-17
04-17
06-19
07-21
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 70.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event