Polydata
trade-bet

@trade-bet

#139,34782

0xef32ca22132e192cb40dc8ebbee3ac04df5e265c

~57d· 85 markets · 1589 tradesVol: $533,8102026-07-31 15:25:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (43/73)14.5/20
2.02x (win $31,562 / loss $15,595)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.08715/15
Sortino 8.40010/10
$+0.1054 per $1 invested5.3/10
HHI 654 (73 markets)9.2/10
21/37 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($7,309 / $18,082)5.9/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+328
DCA Master
Avg 15.5 entries/market
Whale
$151,529 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#8,255$3,346Vol: $293,173
🌤️ WEATHER#298,226$-5,808Vol: $185,943
SPORTS#13,583$3,246Vol: $30,290
📈 ECONOMICS#27,871$22Vol: $17,752
🎭 CULTURE#802,127$-376Vol: $3,297
📢 MENTIONS#152,097$-37Vol: $1,842
💰 FINANCE#78,595$4Vol: $302
CRYPTO#1,398,403$-55Vol: $182

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$328
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$533,810
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
603B / 986S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-462
Vol: $37,281
Month
$-3,187
Vol: $240,007
All Time
$328
Vol: $533,810

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
59%
43W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$328
Win Rate
59%
43W / 30L
Profit Factor
2.02x
Avg Win
$734
Avg Loss
$-557

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,243 (67.85606638396534% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$12,960
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$7,751
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,532
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1,260
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 8?$1,187
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$855
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$722
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$642
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$600
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?$515

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-5,517
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-3,589
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$-1,721
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-1,274
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-970
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?$-692
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$-419
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?$-346
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?$-325
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$-288

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.159
Sortino
0.321
HHI
464
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.124
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
42.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 441s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.52
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)65.8%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 5:02:23 PM2 trades$18,1790 min
7/29/2026, 8:31:21 PM5 trades$10,5111 min
7/7/2026, 7:34:08 PM3 trades$8,7950 min
6/21/2026, 1:14:26 PM4 trades$8,5124 min
6/22/2026, 10:11:50 PM3 trades$7,6361 min
7/29/2026, 6:03:33 PM2 trades$7,5300 min
6/21/2026, 11:48:31 AM7 trades$6,7532 min
6/18/2026, 8:07:41 PM2 trades$6,5270 min
6/19/2026, 8:33:07 AM17 trades$6,2401 min
6/17/2026, 3:43:11 PM33 trades$6,2358 min
7/8/2026, 8:29:25 PM8 trades$5,2890 min
6/13/2026, 4:34:39 AM18 trades$5,2693 min
6/14/2026, 9:44:54 PM13 trades$5,1019 min
7/8/2026, 12:07:44 PM25 trades$5,05915 min
6/23/2026, 10:26:31 PM10 trades$4,9960 min
7/7/2026, 6:41:29 PM9 trades$4,3660 min
6/15/2026, 3:57:06 PM21 trades$4,2768 min
6/23/2026, 12:45:14 PM2 trades$4,1250 min
7/16/2026, 12:35:20 AM16 trades$3,9431 min
6/23/2026, 10:14:55 PM7 trades$3,8690 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
06-07
06-17
06-26
07-10
07-20
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
30% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M24.4 / H65.8