Polydata

@d4d5

#2,689,5764

0xf0558d650871f4149e83ce51e811770e35cf2015

~22d· 147 markets · 602 tradesVol: $91,3022026-07-31 16:06:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

3% (3/92)0/20
0.04x (win $5 / loss $134)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1180/15
Sortino -5.8320/10
$-0.5748 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1771 (92 markets)3.6/10
1/15 profitable days (7%)0/10
Max DD 2721% of peak ($134 / $5)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,493,245$-126Vol: $36,947
🏛️ POLITICS#1,397,694$-25Vol: $29,732
🌤️ WEATHER#253,057$-14Vol: $14,367
SPORTS#1,183,689$-4Vol: $4,326
🎭 CULTURE#641,325$-5Vol: $3,373
💰 FINANCE#497,382$-2Vol: $1,201
📈 ECONOMICS#403,271$-0Vol: $273
💻 TECH#173,187$-0Vol: $145

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-188
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$91,302
Total Redeem
$696
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
147
total markets
Trades
406B / 196S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $180
Month
$-18
Vol: $62,441
All Time
$-188
Vol: $91,302

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
3%
3W / 89L events
Realized PnL
$-187
Win Rate
3%
3W / 89L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (0.02636353933183904% of PnL)

Top Winners

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$3
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$1
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-68
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-41
Will England win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will Morocco win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$-2
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$-1
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 18?$-1
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-1
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 The Open Championship?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.309
Sortino
-0.301
HHI
580
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.939
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
49.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.2m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 510s — normal for humanCV 4.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.4%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)23.2%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 12:53:05 PM11 trades$687 min
4/8/2026, 4:36:35 PM2 trades$500 min
7/7/2026, 1:16:38 PM54 trades$312 min
4/8/2026, 10:07:27 AM2 trades$210 min
6/27/2026, 6:59:02 PM2 trades$190 min
7/17/2026, 7:01:48 PM3 trades$191 min
7/7/2026, 9:49:53 AM89 trades$179 min
7/7/2026, 1:43:17 PM33 trades$51 min
7/17/2026, 3:00:25 PM5 trades$51 min
7/7/2026, 1:32:34 PM44 trades$45 min
7/16/2026, 11:52:05 AM3 trades$42 min
7/14/2026, 2:20:16 AM2 trades$40 min
7/19/2026, 11:04:04 PM7 trades$33 min
7/15/2026, 10:29:22 PM3 trades$27 min
7/7/2026, 1:24:19 PM22 trades$22 min
7/14/2026, 2:30:47 AM2 trades$20 min
7/10/2026, 12:27:58 PM2 trades$20 min
7/18/2026, 2:30:18 AM15 trades$18 min
7/18/2026, 9:52:37 AM2 trades$10 min
7/17/2026, 8:49:00 PM13 trades$114 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
07-07
07-09
07-14
07-16
07-18
07-20
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 108 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.4 / M0.5 / H23.2