Polydata

@baulkham

#163,05239

0xf5e72de981de84bcc33d78d793b92aa337d47380

~7d· 19 markets · 200 tradesVol: $152,7512026-07-31 13:16:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (5/15)1.7/20
2.67x (win $3,983 / loss $1,493)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.1471 per $1 invested7.4/10
HHI 2905 (15 markets)0/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($593 / $3,083)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+231
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 19%

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,647,727$-2,259Vol: $68,301
🎭 CULTURE#6,102$753Vol: $43,864
SPORTS#18,545$2,330Vol: $31,762
📈 ECONOMICS#665,820$-178Vol: $5,155
💰 FINANCE#646,921$-415Vol: $3,669

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$231
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$152,751
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
86B / 114S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3,702
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,498
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,259
Vol: $67,901
All Time
$231
Vol: $152,751

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
33%
5W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$231
Win Rate
33%
5W / 10L
Profit Factor
2.67x
Avg Win
$797
Avg Loss
$-149

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,965 (17.147577854671283% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$2,053
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1,366
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?$546
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?$13
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$6

Top Losers

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$-415
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-178
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?$-162
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-143
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$-126
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-119
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-109
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-107
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-70
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-65

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.478
Sortino
3.723
HHI
1536
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.231
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37.4%
Top-5 markets
56.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.8m
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 3.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.47
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.3%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)20.9%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 2:40:32 PM52 trades$54,3772 min
1/25/2026, 2:13:42 AM27 trades$7,63213 min
7/13/2026, 2:42:52 AM16 trades$7,0900 min
1/25/2026, 1:39:28 AM25 trades$2,54621 min
1/24/2026, 12:23:56 PM12 trades$1,0372 min
1/24/2026, 11:35:20 AM7 trades$7662 min
7/14/2026, 5:44:02 AM11 trades$6190 min
1/29/2026, 11:46:22 AM1 trades$6050 min
1/29/2026, 6:50:28 AM1 trades$5800 min
1/29/2026, 5:01:22 AM3 trades$4567 min
1/29/2026, 12:39:22 PM2 trades$4360 min
7/13/2026, 3:58:55 AM9 trades$2320 min
1/29/2026, 4:25:36 AM1 trades$2220 min
1/30/2026, 9:34:22 AM21 trades$1593 min
1/29/2026, 3:49:22 AM3 trades$1306 min
1/24/2026, 12:42:34 PM1 trades$1260 min
1/29/2026, 5:14:20 AM2 trades$694 min
1/29/2026, 6:56:46 AM2 trades$410 min
1/29/2026, 4:20:24 AM1 trades$400 min
1/30/2026, 9:55:22 AM3 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-24
01-25
01-29
01-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.47/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.3 / M19.8 / H20.9