Polydata

@f705fa04

#5156

0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7

~462d· 1513 markets · 13348 tradesVol: $67,238,3262026-04-28T08:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 90%20/20
Profit Factor 74.64x15/15
EV $+3.53310/10
HHI 8210/10
Profit Days 32%1/10

Summary

Trader f705fa04 ranks 51st on Polymarket’s global profit and loss leaderboard, demonstrating significant engagement with a net PnL of approximately $1.86 million. Over 462 active days, this trader completed 13,348 trades across 353 markets, with a total trading volume exceeding $67 million. Despite a relatively high volume and activity level, f705fa04’s portfolio value currently stands at about $920,000, reflecting a downward equity trend.

f705fa04 appears to favor a high-frequency trading style, given the large number of trades and markets engaged. The trader’s win rate is 25%, paired with a low profit factor of 0.05 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.53, indicating a high-risk approach with frequent losses offset by occasional large gains. The sell percentage of 32% suggests active position management, and the absence of weather markets points to preference for other event types. The semi-bot score of 55/100 indicates a hybrid manual and algorithmic strategy.

While f705fa04’s strong net PnL and ranking highlight trading skill and market insight, the negative risk metrics and declining equity trend pose potential concerns. The trader’s profile suggests resilience and adaptability, but the relatively low profit factor and Sharpe ratio indicate volatility and drawdown risks that could impact long-term sustainability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+1,862,383
Hedger
avg 3.8 brackets/event
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$10,278,521
High Roller
$22,248/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#2$1,862,383Vol: $67,238,326

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,862,383
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,238,326
Total Redeem
$347,278
Portfolio
$919,609
Predictions
1513
total markets
Trades
9064B / 4284S
Daily Volume
$22,248
Account Age
~462d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3,232
Vol: $33,902
Week
$-53,683
Vol: $413,200
Month
$-43,095
Vol: $5,221,369
All Time
$1,862,383
Vol: $67,238,326

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
103W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$3,233,440
Win Rate
25%
58W / 174L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$3,994
Avg Loss
$-28,537

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?$52,814
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 30?$21,800
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$16,527
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$12,686
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?$12,632
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 2?$12,603
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?$12,073
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?$10,701
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?$10,397
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?$7,114

Top Losers

Will Solana dip to $90 in January?$-138,547
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?$-135,173
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$-127,997
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?$-127,523
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$-115,005
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?$-113,565
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$-112,333
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?$-109,230
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-108,396
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?$-107,903

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.532
Sortino
-0.472
HHI
82
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.533
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
64.6
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.3m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — typical for humanSize CV 1.78 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness65 trades/day — mass trading328 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
39 entries
<=2
58 entries
<=5
106 entries
<=10
144 entries
<=20
201 entries
<=50
304 entries
>50
49 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.1%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)51.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 33.2%

Other$-4,733,834

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.8
Events covered
93

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
29 brackets
<=2
45 brackets
<=3
57 brackets
<=4
64 brackets
<=5
71 brackets
<=8
83 brackets
>8
10 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/3/2025, 12:32:16 PM1 trades$6120 min
10/3/2025, 3:53:14 PM1 trades$1210 min
10/3/2025, 6:08:02 PM1 trades$3510 min
10/3/2025, 6:21:34 PM1 trades$1250 min
10/4/2025, 3:31:56 PM2 trades$3,8050 min
10/5/2025, 2:34:28 AM1 trades$2260 min
10/5/2025, 6:12:05 PM1 trades$6100 min
10/5/2025, 6:34:53 PM1 trades$3190 min
10/5/2025, 7:24:41 PM1 trades$1790 min
10/5/2025, 10:21:59 PM1 trades$1,6770 min
10/5/2025, 11:08:31 PM1 trades$1,4760 min
10/6/2025, 2:32:31 AM2 trades$2223 min
10/6/2025, 7:34:53 AM1 trades$1040 min
10/6/2025, 1:11:41 PM1 trades$2850 min
10/6/2025, 11:23:16 PM1 trades$2290 min
10/7/2025, 8:06:36 AM1 trades$180 min
10/7/2025, 1:42:38 PM1 trades$340 min
10/7/2025, 2:08:24 PM1 trades$130 min
10/7/2025, 5:57:32 PM1 trades$3000 min
10/9/2025, 7:59:15 PM1 trades$4270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
12-31
01-30
03-01
04-06
04-13
04-23
05-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.7/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.8 br/event