Polydata

@f705fa04

#8259

0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7

~457d· 1975 markets · 14335 tradesVol: $81,711,2842026-07-20T14:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 84.57x15/15
EV $+9.25110/10
HHI 8410/10
Profit Days 47%4/10

Summary

Trader f705fa04 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, with over 14,000 trades executed across nearly 400 markets and a net profit of approximately $1.9 million. Ranked #82 on the global PnL leaderboard, their portfolio currently holds close to $380,000. Despite a substantial total trading volume exceeding $81 million and a solid smart score of 59, the trader’s Sharpe ratio is negative, indicating volatility in returns. They have maintained activity over 457 days, showing consistent engagement in the platform.

The trading style of f705fa04 appears to blend both manual and automated approaches, as suggested by their semi-bot score of 45. Their win rate of 43.5% combined with a low profit factor of 0.08 suggests frequent trading with smaller profit margins and a notable risk profile. They do not focus on weather markets and tend to keep a sell percentage of 32%, implying selective exit strategies. The trader’s badges, including Sniper and Hedger, point to a preference for precision trades and risk mitigation, though their equity trend is currently downward, hinting at recent challenges.

Key strengths for f705fa04 include their experience, high trading volume, and ability to stay profitable over time, as reflected by badges and leaderboard rank. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and declining equity trend raise concerns about risk management and sustainability of returns. Polymarket participants monitoring f705fa04 should consider these factors when evaluating their trading behavior and potential market impact.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+1,912,371
Hedger
avg 3.8 brackets/event
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
Whale
$10,211,156
High Roller
$22,344/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#2$1,912,371Vol: $81,711,284

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,912,371
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$81,711,284
Total Redeem
$818,760
Portfolio
$378,912
Predictions
1975
total markets
Trades
9721B / 4614S
Daily Volume
$22,344
Account Age
~457d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,740
Vol: $31,761
Week
$-1,740
Vol: $67,708
Month
$-40,998
Vol: $2,234,473
All Time
$1,912,371
Vol: $81,711,284

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
115W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$3,560,702
Win Rate
44%
108W / 140L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$3,340
Avg Loss
$-34,315

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?$52,814
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 30?$21,800
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?$20,822
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?$18,272
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$16,527
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?$14,705
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$13,220
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?$12,632
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 2?$12,629
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?$12,073

Top Losers

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?$-170,168
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?$-157,887
Will Solana dip to $90 in January?$-138,547
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?$-135,173
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$-127,997
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?$-127,523
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$-115,005
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$-112,333
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?$-109,230
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-108,396

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.419
Sortino
-0.334
HHI
84
Diversified
EV per $1
$9.251
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.7m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — typical for humanSize CV 1.79 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness49 trades/day — suspiciously high340 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
60 entries
<=2
91 entries
<=5
145 entries
<=10
180 entries
<=20
239 entries
<=50
335 entries
>50
61 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.9%
Mid (20-55c)21.3%
High (>55c)49.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 34.9%

Other$-4,443,277

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.8
Events covered
104

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
38 brackets
<=2
53 brackets
<=3
69 brackets
<=4
79 brackets
<=5
82 brackets
<=8
91 brackets
>8
13 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/3/2025, 12:32:16 PM1 trades$6120 min
10/3/2025, 3:53:14 PM1 trades$1210 min
10/3/2025, 6:08:02 PM1 trades$3510 min
10/3/2025, 6:21:34 PM1 trades$1250 min
10/4/2025, 3:31:56 PM2 trades$3,8050 min
10/5/2025, 2:34:28 AM1 trades$2260 min
10/5/2025, 6:12:05 PM1 trades$6100 min
10/5/2025, 6:34:53 PM1 trades$3190 min
10/5/2025, 7:24:41 PM1 trades$1790 min
10/5/2025, 10:21:59 PM1 trades$1,6770 min
10/5/2025, 11:08:31 PM1 trades$1,4760 min
10/6/2025, 2:32:31 AM2 trades$2223 min
10/6/2025, 7:34:53 AM1 trades$1040 min
10/6/2025, 1:11:41 PM1 trades$2850 min
10/6/2025, 11:23:16 PM1 trades$2290 min
10/7/2025, 8:06:36 AM1 trades$180 min
10/7/2025, 1:42:38 PM1 trades$340 min
10/7/2025, 2:08:24 PM1 trades$130 min
10/7/2025, 5:57:32 PM1 trades$3000 min
10/9/2025, 7:59:15 PM1 trades$4270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
01-23
04-17
06-02
06-16
07-01
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.5/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.8 br/event