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@12b40753

#11,06075

0x12b407534fd10478ead51d5dc7e1c5aa4fc2a662

~88d· 6545 markets · 5746 tradesVol: $683,3592026-06-18T11:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.16x0/15
Sharpe 1.48015/15
Sortino 779927.42510/10
HHI 3810/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 12b40753 is an active participant on Polymarket, ranking #11060 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $12,233.36. Over 88 days, they executed 5,746 trades across 941 markets, accumulating a total volume of $683,359. Despite a high volume of trades, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their equity trend remains flat, indicating steady but unspectacular growth.

12b40753 shows a diversified trading approach with a preference for a broad range of markets, given the large number of different markets traded. Their 50.6% win rate combined with a profit factor of 0.16 suggests a conservative risk profile focused on consistent, small gains rather than high-risk bets. The low sell percentage of 4% and badges like “Diamond Hands” and “DCA Master” imply a strategy reliant on holding positions and averaging into trades. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 1.48 and zero-day max drawdown duration highlight disciplined risk management and effective timing.

The strengths of 12b40753 lie in their steady and disciplined trading style, reflected by their “Very Good” Smart Score of 75 and stable equity trend. However, their low profit factor and flat portfolio value may indicate limited upside potential. Additionally, a semi-bot trading style could introduce systematic risks if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, 12b40753 demonstrates consistent performance with a focus on risk control within Polymarket’s diverse trading environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+12,233
Diamond Hands
4% sell
DCA Master
avg 5.9 entries/market
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
Whale
$94,469
Consistent
73/73 days
High Roller
$1,074/day

Categories

3
SPORTS#3,774$12,132Vol: $503,753
CRYPTO#126,662$45Vol: $169,676
🏛️ POLITICS#629,149$-0Vol: $107

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,233
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$683,359
Total Redeem
$27,406
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6545
total markets
Trades
5519B / 227S
Daily Volume
$1,074
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-3,176
Vol: $82,938
All Time
$12,233
Vol: $683,359

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
209W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$56,934
Win Rate
51%
403W / 394L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-169

Top Winners

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles$455
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$411
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)$371
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5$361
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$273
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)$258
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5$252
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)$251
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5$250
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies$217

Top Losers

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers$-1,374
Thunder vs. Spurs$-912
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)$-746
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs$-680
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)$-628
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$-586
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies$-586
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)$-577
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies$-554
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres$-553

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.480
Sortino
inf
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.622
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
71.0
Very active
Markets / Day
11.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.4m
between trades
Night Trading
60%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
35.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 39s — typical for humanSize CV 2.85 — diverse, typical for human60% at night — bot never sleeps17/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.16 — human randomness71 trades/day — mass trading12 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.9
Active DCA
<=1
267 entries
<=2
436 entries
<=5
682 entries
<=10
820 entries
<=20
895 entries
<=50
927 entries
>50
14 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)56.2%
High (>55c)39.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 63.2%

Dallas$0
San Francisco$-32
Atlanta$-405
Houston$-742
Toronto$-824
Miami$-1,017
Seattle$-1,318
Los Angeles$-1,983
Chicago$-5,600
Other$-43,920

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.3
Events covered
287

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
173 brackets
<=2
200 brackets
<=3
207 brackets
<=4
218 brackets
<=5
227 brackets
<=8
253 brackets
>8
34 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/22/2026, 4:45:09 AM60 trades$1685 min
3/22/2026, 5:09:03 AM135 trades$42911 min
3/22/2026, 5:32:47 AM86 trades$1482 min
3/22/2026, 6:05:03 AM72 trades$2416 min
3/22/2026, 7:13:41 AM34 trades$641 min
3/23/2026, 4:22:11 AM89 trades$1993 min
3/24/2026, 12:10:57 AM77 trades$37511 min
3/24/2026, 3:05:13 AM84 trades$2255 min
3/24/2026, 7:27:05 AM44 trades$793 min
3/25/2026, 1:19:11 AM54 trades$936 min
3/25/2026, 2:14:55 AM40 trades$905 min
3/25/2026, 3:14:37 AM38 trades$2561 min
3/25/2026, 4:24:49 AM14 trades$790 min
3/25/2026, 4:40:07 AM47 trades$2585 min
3/25/2026, 5:59:59 AM62 trades$3085 min
3/25/2026, 6:45:53 AM70 trades$1425 min
3/25/2026, 11:55:19 PM51 trades$1095 min
3/26/2026, 12:06:25 AM68 trades$1184 min
3/26/2026, 12:33:41 AM44 trades$682 min
3/26/2026, 1:59:21 AM65 trades$961 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-09
04-22
05-04
05-17
05-30
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.9/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.3 br/event