Polydata

@4e65d91c

#80,71275

0x4e65d91cd77f09fb256206e9111d4ce44ee8cb6c

~6d· 3888 markets · 7159 tradesVol: $172,2832026-05-20T19:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 0.13x0/15
Sharpe 1.23115/15
Sortino 2260778.52210/10
HHI 4910/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 4e65d91c is an active participant on Polymarket, with 7,159 trades executed over just six days. They have achieved a net profit and loss (PnL) of $817.50, placing them at rank #80,712 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their total trading volume is substantial at $172,283, indicating high engagement and significant market exposure despite a relatively modest portfolio value of $124.95. The trader’s upward equity trend and a very good Smart Score of 75/100 suggest effective trading performance.

4e65d91c exhibits a high-frequency trading style across 474 different markets, favoring a diversified portfolio rather than concentrating on specific market types, as evidenced by zero participation in weather markets. Their win rate stands at 29.4%, paired with a profit factor of 0.13, indicating that while they win less frequently, their wins are impactful enough to maintain profitability. The Sharpe Ratio of 1.23 suggests a reasonable balance between risk and return, with a maximum drawdown duration of zero days reflecting effective risk management. Their trading includes a 27% sell percentage, hinting at a mix of holding and quick exits.

The strengths of 4e65d91c lie in their consistency and ability to maintain an upward equity trend in a short active period, supported by badges such as Sniper and Win Streak. Their combination of bot-assisted and manual strategies (Bot Score 65/100) allows for both precision and adaptability. However, the relatively low profit factor and win rate could be areas of concern, suggesting that sustained profitability might depend on maintaining high trade volumes and careful timing. Monitoring their long-term performance on Polymarket will be important to assess if their current strategy remains effective.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+818
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Consistent
7/7 days
High Roller
$3,999/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#30,933$818Vol: $172,283

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$818
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$172,283
Total Redeem
$346
Portfolio
$125
Predictions
3888
total markets
Trades
5219B / 1940S
Daily Volume
$3,999
Account Age
~6d

Periods

#2
Today
$-718
Vol: $30,317
Week
$1,063
Vol: $138,266
Month
$818
Vol: $172,283
All Time
$818
Vol: $172,283

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
252W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$15,815
Win Rate
29%
118W / 283L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-45

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$146
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$127
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$83
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$74
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$35

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$-297
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-278
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$-267
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$-258
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$-244
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$-217
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-205
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$-185
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-175
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$-169

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.231
Sortino
inf
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.463
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1192.2
Very active
Markets / Day
78.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.3

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
50% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 1.98 — diverse, typical for human9% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.37 — human randomness1192 trades/day — automation79 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11
Heavy DCA
<=1
72 entries
<=2
111 entries
<=5
178 entries
<=10
275 entries
<=20
407 entries
<=50
467 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)70.3%
High (>55c)29.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.2%

Other$-10,936

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
474

Single bracket

<=1
474 brackets
<=2
474 brackets
<=3
474 brackets
<=4
474 brackets
<=5
474 brackets
<=8
474 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 7:36:47 PM23 trades$1697 min
5/14/2026, 7:52:40 PM15 trades$654 min
5/14/2026, 10:19:37 PM4 trades$140 min
5/14/2026, 10:31:10 PM1 trades$60 min
5/14/2026, 10:43:25 PM4 trades$283 min
5/14/2026, 10:52:08 PM1 trades$110 min
5/14/2026, 11:29:07 PM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2026, 12:33:08 AM18 trades$614 min
5/15/2026, 1:17:42 AM15 trades$563 min
5/15/2026, 1:29:36 AM35 trades$5315 min
5/15/2026, 1:57:56 AM36 trades$9010 min
5/15/2026, 2:52:00 AM4 trades$7710 min
5/15/2026, 3:07:29 AM12 trades$1311 min
5/15/2026, 3:24:35 AM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2026, 3:31:35 AM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2026, 3:37:14 AM102 trades$22420 min
5/15/2026, 7:24:48 AM3 trades$425 min
5/15/2026, 8:27:55 AM8 trades$452 min
5/15/2026, 8:57:05 AM19 trades$10713 min
5/15/2026, 1:40:10 PM146 trades$34731 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
05-15
05-16
05-17
05-18
05-19
05-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event