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@4zzzz

#2,720,70813

0xf7a19aad8bd78c2e5e50a0729f6342775a909dce

245d· 31 markets · 735 tradesVol: $4,477,5572026-05-16T10:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 35%3/20
Profit Factor 0.95x2/15
HHI 11157/10
Profit Days 36%2/10
DD/Peak 264%0/10

Summary

Trader 4zzzz is a relatively active participant on Polymarket, having executed 735 trades across 31 markets over 256 days. Despite a high total trading volume of approximately $4.48 million, 4zzzz currently ranks at #2,720,708 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net loss of $28,148.56. The trader’s Smart Score of 13/100 indicates a beginner status, and their portfolio value stands at zero.

4zzzz appears to favor a contrarian trading style with a preference for dollar-cost averaging, as suggested by badges like Contrarian and DCA Master. The trader shows a high win rate of 78.6% and a very strong profit factor of 41.32, indicating that winning trades are substantially more profitable than losses. However, the low sell percentage (11%) and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.02) suggest a riskier approach with poor risk-adjusted returns, possibly holding positions for extended durations or not cutting losses quickly.

The key strength of 4zzzz lies in consistent winning trades and a growing equity trend despite an overall net loss, which may imply effective position sizing or selective market entries. On the downside, the large negative net PnL and beginner status highlight potential risks in risk management and strategy execution. Maintaining discipline and improving timing could help mitigate drawdowns and improve long-term profitability on Polymarket.

Badges

6
Lottery Player
53% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
99% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 21.1 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$646,024
High Roller
$2,524/day

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,511,639$-114,881Vol: $4,123,415
SPORTS#683$89,104Vol: $260,770
📈 ECONOMICS#638,096$-2,371Vol: $93,371

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-28,149
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,477,557
Total Redeem
$271,995
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
653B / 82S
Daily Volume
$2,524
Account Age
245d
since Sep 17, 2025

Periods

#2
Month
$88,054
Vol: $107,831
All Time
$-28,149
Vol: $4,477,557

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
43%
6W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$330,351
Win Rate
79%
11W / 2L
Profit Factor
41.32x
Avg Win
$27,916
Avg Loss
$-3,716

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $240,382 (80.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$108,180
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main $88,422
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$43,780
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$30,699
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$12,302
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$6,881
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$5,918
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$4,083
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3,784
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$2,914

Top Losers

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-7,327
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-105

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.028
HHI
1115
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.047
Kelly %
73.5%
Half-Kelly
36.8%
Top-1 market
23.4%
Top-5 markets
63.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — typical for humanSize CV 2.56 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
11 entries
<=2
12 entries
<=5
18 entries
<=10
23 entries
<=20
23 entries
<=50
25 entries
>50
6 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.8%
Mid (20-55c)46.4%
High (>55c)0.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 91.9%

Other$295,855
Madrid$3,784

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.2
Events covered
14

Moderate coverage

<=1
6 brackets
<=2
9 brackets
<=3
11 brackets
<=4
13 brackets
<=5
14 brackets
<=8
14 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/17/2025, 1:02:50 PM1 trades$1,2040 min
12/5/2025, 3:26:33 PM1 trades$9,9990 min
12/5/2025, 3:46:31 PM1 trades$540 min
12/5/2025, 4:25:29 PM1 trades$550 min
12/5/2025, 4:40:37 PM1 trades$540 min
12/5/2025, 5:24:13 PM1 trades$30 min
12/5/2025, 5:32:05 PM2 trades$862 min
12/5/2025, 8:14:43 PM1 trades$1080 min
12/6/2025, 2:30:09 AM1 trades$2210 min
12/6/2025, 3:54:03 AM1 trades$40 min
12/6/2025, 6:05:59 AM1 trades$3400 min
12/6/2025, 6:47:01 AM1 trades$1750 min
12/6/2025, 7:40:45 AM1 trades$870 min
12/6/2025, 8:10:59 AM1 trades$4240 min
12/6/2025, 9:23:09 AM1 trades$120 min
12/6/2025, 1:03:21 PM1 trades$80 min
12/6/2025, 2:07:33 PM1 trades$50 min
12/6/2025, 3:21:41 PM9 trades$28419 min
12/7/2025, 6:39:21 PM1 trades$1,8330 min
12/9/2025, 6:31:08 PM7 trades$4,9879 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-17
12-10
12-31
01-01
02-01
03-01
04-01
05-01
05-10
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.2 br/event