Polydata
Data is 5 days old — refreshing in background...

@727a642b

#2,607,62297

0x727a642b439b50a9b6ede6dcdbd2f57da65b1174

~102d· 1531 markets · 1075 tradesVol: $156,3092026-05-16T09:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 9.86x15/15
Sharpe 0.65812/15
Sortino 6.07010/10
EV $+0.40010/10
HHI 5010/10
Profit Days 84%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Trader 727a642b is moderately active on Polymarket, with 1,075 trades across 574 markets over 102 days. Despite a high volume of $156,309, their net PnL stands at -$1,110.16, placing them at rank #2,607,622 globally. Their Smart Score of 97/100 reflects elite analytical skill, even though their portfolio value is currently zero and the Sharpe ratio is a modest 0.66.

727a642b tends to take a consistent, low-risk approach, as indicated by an 86.6% win rate and a strong profit factor of 9.86. They rarely engage in weather markets but maintain a relatively low sell percentage of 29%, suggesting a preference for holding positions. The trader’s activity pattern appears steady without significant drawdowns, supported by badges like Sniper and Cool Head, highlighting disciplined timing and calm execution.

The key strength of 727a642b lies in their consistency and disciplined strategy on Polymarket, which enables them to sustain a stable equity trend. However, the negative net PnL despite a high win rate signals potential issues with trade sizing or market selection. Additionally, their likely human trading style may limit scalability compared to automated strategies, posing some risk in highly volatile conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
61 wins in a row
Consistent
68/81 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,459,213$-1,028Vol: $141,273
🏛️ POLITICS#1,406,237$-68Vol: $14,559
💰 FINANCE#538,686$-14Vol: $468
📈 ECONOMICS#326,771$-0Vol: $6
🎭 CULTURE#371,447$-0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,110
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$156,309
Total Redeem
$751
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1531
total markets
Trades
763B / 312S
Daily Volume
$147
Account Age
~102d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-125
Vol: $4,815
Month
$-259
Vol: $24,069
All Time
$-1,110
Vol: $156,309

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$5,000
Win Rate
87%
284W / 44L
Profit Factor
9.86x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $555 (12.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - February 8, 7AM ET$339
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on Febru$110
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8AM ET$106
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ET$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1AM ET$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET$79
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET$79
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12PM ET$67
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ET$60

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9AM ET$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8AM ET$-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3AM ET$-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4PM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6AM ET$-29
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6AM ET$-23
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET$-23
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 6AM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12PM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.658
Sortino
6.070
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.400
Kelly %
76.8%
Half-Kelly
38.4%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
8.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
29.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1738s — typical for humanSize CV 1.36 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.72 — human randomness10 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
442 entries
<=2
539 entries
<=5
571 entries
<=10
574 entries
<=20
574 entries
<=50
574 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)38.5%
High (>55c)57.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 62%

Other$4,438
Up or Down$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
574

Single bracket

<=1
574 brackets
<=2
574 brackets
<=3
574 brackets
<=4
574 brackets
<=5
574 brackets
<=8
574 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/1/2026, 3:10:26 AM1 trades$50 min
2/7/2026, 10:37:33 AM1 trades$160 min
2/7/2026, 10:43:57 AM9 trades$17412 min
2/7/2026, 11:05:03 AM2 trades$400 min
2/7/2026, 11:15:45 AM1 trades$200 min
2/8/2026, 12:43:27 PM4 trades$352 min
2/8/2026, 1:30:05 PM1 trades$3640 min
2/10/2026, 10:37:57 AM1 trades$200 min
2/10/2026, 10:47:35 AM1 trades$200 min
2/10/2026, 11:58:55 AM1 trades$490 min
2/10/2026, 5:22:13 PM1 trades$200 min
2/10/2026, 5:27:57 PM1 trades$480 min
2/10/2026, 5:44:43 PM1 trades$800 min
2/12/2026, 4:07:47 PM1 trades$370 min
2/12/2026, 4:36:23 PM1 trades$450 min
2/13/2026, 4:27:39 AM1 trades$240 min
2/13/2026, 5:04:01 AM1 trades$370 min
2/13/2026, 8:17:31 AM1 trades$200 min
2/13/2026, 9:01:21 AM1 trades$360 min
2/13/2026, 3:08:41 PM1 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
02-24
03-11
03-25
04-16
04-29
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event