Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...

@727a642b

#2,820,86197

0x727a642b439b50a9b6ede6dcdbd2f57da65b1174

~140d· 2332 markets · 1053 tradesVol: $184,1762026-06-27T14:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 13.97x15/15
Sharpe 0.66012/15
Sortino 5.73310/10
EV $+0.43610/10
HHI 4610/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Trader 727a642b is an experienced and highly active participant on Polymarket, with 1,053 trades across 647 markets over 146 days. Despite a negative net PnL of $-1,363.79, they hold an elite Smart Score of 97/100, reflecting skillful trading relative to peers. Their global rank stands at #2,820,861, indicating room for improvement in overall profitability. The trader has generated substantial volume, totaling over $184,000, and maintains a portfolio value of zero, suggesting full position closures.

727a642b favors a disciplined, manual trading style, as indicated by a low Bot Score of 15/100. Their strategy appears risk-conscious with a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.66 and zero max drawdown duration, demonstrating effective risk management. A notably high win rate of 91.5% and profit factor of 13.97 point to consistent, high-probability bets. The trader tends to hold positions rather than sell frequently, with a sell percentage of 27%, and has earned badges for sniper-like precision and cool-headedness.

The main strength of 727a642b lies in their consistency and disciplined approach, as evidenced by an upward equity trend and multiple performance badges. However, their negative net PnL despite strong win metrics highlights potential issues with trade sizing or market selection. The absence of weather market exposure suggests a focused trading scope but may also limit diversification. Overall, 727a642b demonstrates strong tactical skill on Polymarket but faces challenges in translating this into sustained profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
53 wins in a row
Consistent
88/97 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,565,445$-1,282Vol: $169,140
🏛️ POLITICS#1,461,434$-68Vol: $14,559
💰 FINANCE#566,374$-14Vol: $468
📈 ECONOMICS#337,245$-0Vol: $6
🎭 CULTURE#383,159$-0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,364
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$184,176
Total Redeem
$885
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2332
total markets
Trades
769B / 284S
Daily Volume
$100
Account Age
~140d

Periods

#2
Today
$-42
Vol: $397
Week
$-44
Vol: $3,970
Month
$-38
Vol: $19,086
All Time
$-1,364
Vol: $184,176

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$5,361
Win Rate
92%
336W / 31L
Profit Factor
13.97x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $555 (11.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - February 8, 7AM ET$339
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on Febru$110
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8AM ET$106
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ET$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1AM ET$84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET$79
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET$79
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12PM ET$67
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET$62

Top Losers

XRP Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET$-42
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2PM ET$-34
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4PM ET$-30
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-25
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET$-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12PM ET$-20
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7AM ET$-19
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6AM ET$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.660
Sortino
5.733
HHI
46
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.435
Kelly %
83.0%
Half-Kelly
41.5%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1589s — typical for humanSize CV 1.41 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
546 entries
<=2
631 entries
<=5
646 entries
<=10
647 entries
<=20
647 entries
<=50
647 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.6%
High (>55c)64.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 59%

Other$4,949

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
647

Single bracket

<=1
647 brackets
<=2
647 brackets
<=3
647 brackets
<=4
647 brackets
<=5
647 brackets
<=8
647 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/1/2026, 3:10:26 AM1 trades$50 min
2/8/2026, 12:43:27 PM4 trades$352 min
2/8/2026, 1:30:05 PM1 trades$3640 min
2/10/2026, 10:37:57 AM1 trades$200 min
2/10/2026, 10:47:35 AM1 trades$200 min
2/10/2026, 11:58:55 AM1 trades$490 min
2/10/2026, 5:22:13 PM1 trades$200 min
2/10/2026, 5:27:57 PM1 trades$480 min
2/10/2026, 5:44:43 PM1 trades$800 min
2/13/2026, 4:27:39 AM1 trades$240 min
2/13/2026, 5:04:01 AM1 trades$370 min
2/13/2026, 8:17:31 AM1 trades$200 min
2/13/2026, 9:01:21 AM1 trades$360 min
2/13/2026, 3:08:41 PM1 trades$120 min
2/13/2026, 3:41:33 PM1 trades$210 min
2/13/2026, 4:04:09 PM3 trades$564 min
2/13/2026, 5:08:03 PM1 trades$310 min
2/14/2026, 7:15:43 AM1 trades$240 min
2/14/2026, 7:30:57 AM2 trades$311 min
2/14/2026, 8:10:09 AM1 trades$340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
03-03
03-25
04-23
05-09
06-02
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event