Polydata

@76d4d470

#2,752,25699

0x76d4d4703add6e94cfdb1107f3d991d85ff2c512

~289d· 50963 markets · 52283 tradesVol: $29,656,1592026-05-24T20:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 94%20/20
Profit Factor 724.94x15/15
Sharpe 0.77114/15
Sortino 265.30710/10
EV $+647.67810/10
HHI 6210/10
Profit Days 85%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 76d4d470 is a highly active participant on Polymarket with 52,283 trades across 283 markets over 289 days. Despite a substantial total volume of nearly $30 million, their net PnL stands at a significant loss of $37,777.34, placing them at rank #2,752,256 globally. The portfolio value is low at $208.31, indicating limited current capital relative to past trading activity. Their Smart Score of 99/100 reflects elite status, though their Profit Factor is 0.00 and win rate is only 8.4%.

The trading style of 76d4d470 appears to be high-frequency and high-risk, focusing on a large number of trades rather than selective betting. They do not engage in weather-related markets and have a sell percentage of 0%, suggesting a preference for holding positions until settlement. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.77 implies moderate risk-adjusted returns, while their bot score of 65/100 indicates a mix of automated and manual trading. Timing patterns show a flat equity trend and no maximal drawdown duration, hinting at consistent but unprofitable trading behavior.

Strengths for 76d4d470 include elite Smart Score badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, signaling persistence and precision in execution. However, the substantial net loss and low win rate highlight significant risks and inefficiencies in their strategy. Their contrarian and lottery player badges suggest a speculative approach, which may contribute to volatility and poor profitability. Continued activity at this level on Polymarket may require strategy adjustments to improve outcomes.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 94%
Lottery Player
30% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
57% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$670,539
Consistent
35/41 days
High Roller
$2,320/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,532,419$-30,819Vol: $28,285,855
SPORTS#1,659,161$-6,650Vol: $1,340,014
💰 FINANCE#601,387$-275Vol: $28,655
🏛️ POLITICS#1,331,526$-24Vol: $759
🎭 CULTURE#647,521$-8Vol: $541
📈 ECONOMICS#446,837$-1Vol: $319
💻 TECH#164,663$-1Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-37,777
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,656,159
Total Redeem
$179
Portfolio
$208
Predictions
50963
total markets
Trades
52283B / 0S
Daily Volume
$2,320
Account Age
~289d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,398
Vol: $599,108
Week
$-7,362
Vol: $599,108
Month
$-34,377
Vol: $15,477,485
All Time
$-37,777
Vol: $29,656,159

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
245W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$203,731
Win Rate
8%
22W / 241L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-2,730

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$83
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$54
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$23

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro$-11,803
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playo$-11,497
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$-10,804
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qu$-10,771
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul$-10,417
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristia$-9,980
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik$-9,612
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B$-8,952
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers B$-7,400
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray$-7,252

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.771
Sortino
265.307
HHI
62
Diversified
EV per $1
$647.678
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
576.3
Very active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
265.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
46% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 1.72 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.23 — human randomness576 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
184.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
3 entries
<=2
4 entries
<=5
9 entries
<=10
15 entries
<=20
21 entries
<=50
46 entries
>50
237 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.5%
Mid (20-55c)30.6%
High (>55c)39%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51.1%

Paris$0
Los Angeles$-1,991
Toronto$-3,330
Chicago$-5,806
Other$-646,393

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
265

Single bracket

<=1
253 brackets
<=2
259 brackets
<=3
265 brackets
<=4
265 brackets
<=5
265 brackets
<=8
265 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/23/2026, 3:11:02 AM1 trades$10 min
4/24/2026, 6:59:36 AM102 trades$1,18012 min
4/24/2026, 1:59:42 PM334 trades$2,92214 min
4/25/2026, 6:29:58 AM247 trades$1,6255 min
4/25/2026, 8:00:02 AM322 trades$2,46415 min
4/25/2026, 8:54:46 PM368 trades$2,4875 min
4/25/2026, 10:34:08 PM321 trades$2,1356 min
4/27/2026, 12:54:58 AM297 trades$2,7209 min
4/27/2026, 5:15:04 AM185 trades$1,9773 min
4/27/2026, 8:05:08 AM216 trades$1,7735 min
4/27/2026, 2:20:18 PM122 trades$1,0705 min
4/27/2026, 3:00:12 PM422 trades$3,7179 min
4/27/2026, 3:19:58 PM221 trades$1,6053 min
4/27/2026, 3:30:02 PM249 trades$2,1464 min
4/27/2026, 11:40:14 PM218 trades$1,8344 min
4/28/2026, 1:34:58 AM436 trades$3,2355 min
4/28/2026, 4:40:08 AM310 trades$2,6025 min
4/28/2026, 5:29:56 AM233 trades$2,0205 min
4/28/2026, 8:15:08 AM275 trades$2,2735 min
4/29/2026, 6:20:00 AM346 trades$3,0135 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
04-24
05-01
05-08
05-20
05-25
05-27
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 184.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event