Polydata
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@76d4d470

#2,878,65675

0x76d4d4703add6e94cfdb1107f3d991d85ff2c512

~289d· 76958 markets · 57590 tradesVol: $45,328,6992026-06-17T22:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 0.00x0/15
Sharpe 0.86115/15
Sortino 2081.82210/10
HHI 5210/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 76d4d470 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, having executed 57,590 trades across 301 markets over 289 days. Despite the high volume, their net PnL stands at -$68,573.58, placing them at rank #2,878,656 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is low at $86.83, and their Sharpe ratio of 0.86 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns. The trader’s Smart Score of 75/100 reflects strong trading skills, though their Profit Factor of 0.00 and win rate of 11.2% suggest challenges in profitability.

The trading style of 76d4d470 combines high-frequency activity with a contrarian and sniper approach, as highlighted by their badges. They show no engagement with weather markets and exclusively use buy-side trades, indicating a focused but risky strategy. The trader’s equity trend is stable and flat, implying consistent but non-growing capital. Their bot score of 65 suggests a semi-automated trading method, blending algorithmic and manual decisions. The combination of a lottery player and diamond hands badge points to a high-risk tolerance and willingness to hold positions through volatility.

76d4d470’s key strengths include a very good smart score and a consistent trading pattern, benefiting from disciplined execution. However, the substantial negative net PnL and low win rate highlight significant downside risks. The absence of sell trades and a profit factor of zero may indicate issues with exiting positions profitably. Overall, while 76d4d470 demonstrates strong market engagement and strategic intent, their performance metrics signal caution for traders analyzing their activity on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Lottery Player
33% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
57% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$766,787
Consistent
46/49 days
High Roller
$2,653/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,589,518$-61,560Vol: $43,951,501
SPORTS#1,702,675$-4,014Vol: $621,527
💰 FINANCE#619,290$-275Vol: $28,661
🏛️ POLITICS#1,362,838$-24Vol: $772
🎭 CULTURE#667,978$-10Vol: $541
📈 ECONOMICS#219,919$0Vol: $319
💻 TECH#31,780$2Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-68,574
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,328,699
Total Redeem
$1,270
Portfolio
$87
Predictions
76958
total markets
Trades
57590B / 0S
Daily Volume
$2,653
Account Age
~289d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,300
Vol: $515,763
Week
$-1,542
Vol: $1,060,444
Month
$-23,548
Vol: $11,477,498
All Time
$-68,574
Vol: $45,328,699

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
241W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$228,517
Win Rate
11%
33W / 261L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-2,842

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$160
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$107
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$30

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro$-11,803
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playo$-11,497
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$-10,804
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qu$-10,771
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul$-10,417
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristia$-9,980
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B$-8,952
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers B$-7,400
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Gray$-7,252
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships $-7,163

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.861
Sortino
inf
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.967
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
7.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
501.7
Very active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
250.7

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
44% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 1.69 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness502 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
191.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
2 entries
<=5
2 entries
<=10
7 entries
<=20
19 entries
<=50
40 entries
>50
261 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.2%
Mid (20-55c)27.5%
High (>55c)39.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.6%

Chicago$-5,806
Up or Down$-10,720
Other$-724,508

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
287

Single bracket

<=1
276 brackets
<=2
284 brackets
<=3
287 brackets
<=4
287 brackets
<=5
287 brackets
<=8
287 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/23/2026, 3:11:02 AM1 trades$10 min
4/22/2026, 6:59:40 PM171 trades$1,6034 min
4/25/2026, 8:00:02 AM322 trades$2,46415 min
4/25/2026, 10:34:08 PM321 trades$2,1356 min
4/27/2026, 5:15:04 AM185 trades$1,9773 min
4/27/2026, 8:05:08 AM216 trades$1,7735 min
4/27/2026, 2:20:18 PM122 trades$1,0705 min
4/27/2026, 3:04:58 PM292 trades$2,1614 min
4/27/2026, 3:30:02 PM249 trades$2,1464 min
4/28/2026, 1:34:58 AM436 trades$3,2355 min
4/28/2026, 4:40:08 AM310 trades$2,6025 min
4/28/2026, 5:29:56 AM233 trades$2,0205 min
4/28/2026, 8:15:08 AM275 trades$2,2735 min
4/29/2026, 6:20:00 AM346 trades$3,0135 min
4/29/2026, 6:40:06 AM409 trades$3,7085 min
4/29/2026, 7:45:08 AM209 trades$1,8675 min
4/29/2026, 11:30:08 AM294 trades$3,6604 min
4/29/2026, 11:44:54 AM341 trades$2,8715 min
4/29/2026, 12:49:58 PM572 trades$6,4215 min
4/29/2026, 1:29:58 PM93 trades$2,93912 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
04-29
05-08
05-24
06-02
06-10
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 191.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event