Polydata

@A-Train

#3,064,04023

0x8ec829f01516095606e4c265768d75238ebf5709

~125d· 80 markets · 2110 tradesVol: $4,584,3072026-07-31 13:20:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (34/77)7.1/20
0.84x (win $106,339 / loss $126,773)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9930/15
Sortino -1.6190/10
$-0.0540 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 415 (77 markets)10/10
12/24 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 123% of peak ($108,423 / $87,989)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20
Whale
$378,658 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#2,119$20,868Vol: $3,528,296
SPORTS#1,879,226$-29,285Vol: $646,173
📈 ECONOMICS#681,624$-25,348Vol: $399,667
🎭 CULTURE#774,903$-83Vol: $9,912
CRYPTO#1,311,902$-29Vol: $114

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-33,871
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,584,307
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
1727B / 383S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d

Periods

#2
Week
$-884
Vol: $0
Month
$5,996
Vol: $2,033,317
All Time
$-33,871
Vol: $4,584,307

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
44%
34W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-32,987
Win Rate
44%
34W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$3,128
Avg Loss
$-2,948

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,988 (1.6366384564525218% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump wins every swing state?$21,471
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$17,380
Will Trump win 7 swing states?$15,137
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $14,485
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$7,636
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$7,436
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$7,101
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$3,250
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1,793
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,540

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-16,005
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-15,946
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?$-15,479
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?$-14,212
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?$-9,204
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$-7,355
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2025 WNBA Championship?$-6,789
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-5,838
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?$-4,877
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$-3,878

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.051
Sortino
-0.076
HHI
306
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
27.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.4m
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 3.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)52% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.06
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.5%
Mid (20-55c)19.4%
High (>55c)11.1%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 3:46:18 AM164 trades$39,0310 min
11/2/2025, 4:03:49 AM6 trades$23,6855 min
7/21/2026, 3:16:07 AM163 trades$23,1060 min
5/29/2025, 12:04:02 AM3 trades$20,5402 min
11/19/2025, 11:28:47 PM4 trades$12,4576 min
11/2/2025, 2:05:03 AM3 trades$12,0036 min
9/5/2025, 11:15:32 AM1 trades$12,0000 min
12/1/2025, 12:46:12 AM12 trades$11,78111 min
11/2/2025, 3:33:17 AM2 trades$11,1703 min
7/16/2025, 3:52:32 PM18 trades$10,5394 min
12/1/2025, 1:03:04 AM17 trades$10,38614 min
7/26/2025, 10:27:57 PM2 trades$10,0040 min
11/4/2025, 2:49:45 AM2 trades$8,7661 min
10/14/2024, 2:10:34 AM7 trades$8,6606 min
11/2/2025, 3:49:37 AM2 trades$6,8552 min
5/31/2025, 8:40:51 PM2 trades$6,6511 min
5/31/2025, 11:59:28 PM5 trades$5,8125 min
8/19/2025, 10:58:24 PM11 trades$5,11211 min
6/15/2025, 5:52:57 PM1 trades$4,9750 min
8/11/2025, 6:04:28 PM7 trades$4,70711 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2024-11-04 12:00:00
2025-06-23 12:00:00
2025-08-15 00:00:00
2025-09-17 12:00:00
2025-10-28 00:08:00
2025-11-30 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.06/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.5 / M19.4 / H11.1