Polydata
Aching-Stack

@Aching-Stack

#98,73082

0xca81ee04602ec484ff7fb5eef187451fae07f2ab

229d· 1836 markets · 2317 tradesVol: $481,6142026-07-21T15:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 60%15/20
Profit Factor 12.02x15/15
Sharpe 0.3827/15
Sortino 0.5345/10
EV $+0.26710/10
HHI 5810/10
Profit Days 74%10/10
DD/Peak 12%10/10

Summary

Aching-Stack is an active Polymarket trader with a strong track record, ranked #98,730 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 229 days, they executed 2,317 trades across 705 markets, generating a net profit of $685.87 on a total volume exceeding $480,000. Their portfolio value currently stands at $1,772.23, supported by a very good Smart Score of 82/100, reflecting consistent performance.

This trader favors a high-frequency trading style with a focus on low-risk, high-confidence bets, as evidenced by a remarkable 95.8% win rate and a profit factor above 12. Aching-Stack's approach involves minimal selling (1%) and limited exposure to volatile markets like weather events, indicating a preference for stability. Their semi-automated trading (Bot Score 40/100) suggests a combination of algorithmic signals and manual decision-making, contributing to steady equity trends and quick recovery from drawdowns.

Aching-Stack’s key strengths lie in consistency, discipline, and the ability to maintain a winning streak without significant drawdowns, supported by multiple badges that highlight their reliability. However, the relatively low Sharpe Ratio of 0.38 and flat equity trend hint at modest returns relative to risk, which may limit growth during more volatile market conditions. Overall, Aching-Stack exemplifies a cautious, methodical trader within the Polymarket ecosystem.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+686
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
251 wins in a row
Whale
$131,218
Consistent
94/127 days
Cool Head
DD 12%

Categories

6
SPORTS#16,230$2,648Vol: $61,999
🏛️ POLITICS#1,386,256$-24Vol: $746
🎭 CULTURE#746,182$-39Vol: $566
CRYPTO#246,756$8Vol: $274
📈 ECONOMICS#135,863$0Vol: $50
💻 TECH#53,656$1Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$686
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$481,614
Total Redeem
$99,473
Portfolio
$1,772
Predictions
1836
total markets
Trades
2302B / 15S
Daily Volume
$573
Account Age
229d
since Dec 3, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-301
Vol: $4,475
Week
$-296
Vol: $15,376
Month
$231
Vol: $133,359
All Time
$686
Vol: $481,614

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
64%
216W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$45,891
Win Rate
96%
481W / 18L
Profit Factor
12.02x
Avg Win
$64
Avg Loss
$-142

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,372 (8.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

ITF Castelo Branco: Goncalo Marques vs Joao Domingues$975
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$700
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season$697
FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?$604
LoL: ZennIT vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regula$487
LoL: G2 NORD vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Divisi$435
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner$430
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Sta$425
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$402
Will England win on 2026-07-18?$395

Top Losers

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner$-392
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner$-375
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoff$-361
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner$-310
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group S$-197
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$-191
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qua$-190
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime L$-133
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?$-93
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 3 Winner$-88

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.382
Sortino
0.534
HHI
58
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.267
Kelly %
93.7%
Half-Kelly
46.9%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
10.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.1
Active
Markets / Day
6.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
57s
between trades
Avg Gap
33.6m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 57s — typical for humanSize CV 1.94 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness22 trades/day — suspiciously high441 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
269 entries
<=2
422 entries
<=5
612 entries
<=10
667 entries
<=20
701 entries
<=50
705 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)42.1%
High (>55c)51.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 24.4%

Other$27,867
Atlanta$170
Dallas$60
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
447

Single bracket

<=1
253 brackets
<=2
403 brackets
<=3
438 brackets
<=4
444 brackets
<=5
445 brackets
<=8
446 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:44:59 PM1 trades$400 min
4/8/2026, 12:17:41 AM1 trades$1220 min
4/8/2026, 1:24:41 PM1 trades$910 min
4/8/2026, 1:54:59 PM1 trades$710 min
4/8/2026, 2:16:35 PM1 trades$10 min
4/8/2026, 3:13:21 PM1 trades$10 min
4/8/2026, 4:47:59 PM1 trades$520 min
4/8/2026, 5:07:55 PM1 trades$1120 min
4/8/2026, 6:04:07 PM1 trades$560 min
4/8/2026, 6:12:11 PM2 trades$1692 min
4/8/2026, 9:03:47 PM2 trades$670 min
4/8/2026, 9:13:21 PM2 trades$1081 min
4/8/2026, 9:57:47 PM2 trades$790 min
4/8/2026, 10:51:49 PM1 trades$10 min
4/9/2026, 12:32:35 AM1 trades$110 min
4/9/2026, 1:00:45 AM1 trades$70 min
4/9/2026, 2:01:45 AM2 trades$330 min
4/9/2026, 5:21:37 AM1 trades$780 min
4/9/2026, 6:03:51 AM2 trades$740 min
4/9/2026, 9:12:53 AM2 trades$110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-08
03-18
04-18
05-18
07-03
07-21
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event