Polydata

@Adorable-Acquaintance

#28886

0x228b8d11eba89bf1c554f8879a9293b7106daf4c

217d· 8104 markets · 13789 tradesVol: $105,721,6502026-07-16T15:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 44%7/20
Profit Factor 6.93x15/15
Sharpe 0.76214/15
Sortino 12.85410/10
EV $+38.48110/10
HHI 7410/10
Profit Days 69%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Adorable-Acquaintance ranks #288 on Polymarket’s global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $656,328.33. Over 107 days, they completed 13,789 trades across 652 markets, accumulating a total trading volume exceeding $105 million. Despite a relatively modest win rate of 36.5%, their portfolio value shows an upward equity trend, indicating consistent long-term growth. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.76 suggests a moderate risk-adjusted return, and their Smart Score of 86/100 places them in the elite category.

This trader demonstrates a high-frequency, high-volume trading style with a semi-automated approach, reflected in their Bot Score of 60/100. Adorable-Acquaintance appears to prefer diverse markets without a particular focus on weather-related events, as their exposure there is zero. Their zero sell percentage and badges like Diamond Hands and Contrarian imply a tendency to hold positions for extended periods rather than quick flips, aligning with a medium-risk profile that balances patience with active market engagement.

Adorable-Acquaintance’s key strengths include strong profitability despite a low win rate and a large, diversified portfolio across many markets, which helps mitigate risk. However, their profit factor of 0.22 points to relatively small gains per winning trade compared to losses on others, indicating potential vulnerability during market downturns. The absence of drawdown duration suggests good risk management, but their semi-bot trading style may expose them to automated strategy risks. Overall, they maintain an upward trajectory but should monitor trade efficiency closely.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+656,328
Lottery Player
33% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Whale
$1,918,249
Consistent
61/89 days
High Roller
$17,928/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

2
SPORTS#176$656,321Vol: $105,719,565
CRYPTO#252,721$8Vol: $2,085

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$656,328
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$105,721,650
Total Redeem
$68,922
Portfolio
$636
Predictions
8104
total markets
Trades
13789B / 0S
Daily Volume
$17,928
Account Age
217d
since Dec 11, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$29,138
Vol: $3,992,348
Month
$195,270
Vol: $29,884,202
All Time
$656,328
Vol: $105,721,650

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
188W / 213L events
Realized PnL
$2,980,217
Win Rate
37%
19W / 33L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$642
Avg Loss
$-1,672

Top Winners

England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5$1,685
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?$1,475
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5$1,316
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?$1,100
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?$1,090
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$1,034
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half$962
Will England win on 2026-07-15?$855
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$829
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$594

Top Losers

Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?$-6,530
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5$-4,835
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-4,683
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$-4,057
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-3,430
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?$-3,089
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-2,102
England leading at halftime?$-2,075
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)$-2,036
England to score first vs. Argentina?$-2,015

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.762
Sortino
12.854
HHI
74
Diversified
EV per $1
$38.481
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
9.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
129.0
Very active
Markets / Day
6.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
11s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.1m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 11s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.45 — diverse, typical for human40% at night — bot never sleeps17/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.16 — human randomness129 trades/day — automation1034 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
140 entries
<=2
216 entries
<=5
333 entries
<=10
402 entries
<=20
481 entries
<=50
570 entries
>50
82 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.8%
Mid (20-55c)24.9%
High (>55c)42.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 36.2%

Madrid$0
Toronto$0
Los Angeles$0
Miami$0
Houston$0
Chicago$0
Other$-42,965

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
332

Moderate coverage

<=1
187 brackets
<=2
258 brackets
<=3
298 brackets
<=4
311 brackets
<=5
323 brackets
<=8
330 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/30/2026, 11:24:05 PM1 trades$20 min
4/7/2026, 1:01:59 AM220 trades$17,24038 min
4/7/2026, 2:08:13 AM50 trades$2,5396 min
4/7/2026, 2:43:47 AM70 trades$14,5987 min
4/8/2026, 12:11:41 AM6 trades$392 min
4/8/2026, 12:18:27 AM5 trades$512 min
4/8/2026, 12:32:37 AM3 trades$124 min
4/8/2026, 12:42:21 AM4 trades$131 min
4/8/2026, 12:48:39 AM4 trades$43 min
4/8/2026, 12:57:47 AM2 trades$20 min
4/8/2026, 1:25:27 AM2 trades$884 min
4/8/2026, 2:10:35 AM1 trades$420 min
4/8/2026, 2:28:59 AM1 trades$40 min
4/8/2026, 3:19:49 AM2 trades$20 min
4/8/2026, 3:39:23 AM1 trades$70 min
4/9/2026, 12:26:15 AM12 trades$2469 min
4/9/2026, 12:40:51 AM6 trades$2257 min
4/9/2026, 12:56:17 AM5 trades$453 min
4/9/2026, 1:08:57 AM3 trades$330 min
4/9/2026, 1:19:57 AM2 trades$3780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-22
05-12
05-27
06-12
06-26
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event